Sertanense vs Benfica Castelo Branco — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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Sertanense and Benfica Castelo Branco meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Sertanense have recorded 0 wins from 7 matches this season (0% win rate), averaging 0.71 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 29%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Benfica Castelo Branco have won 43% of their 7 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 2.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.25 for Sertanense and 1.53 for Benfica Castelo Branco. The models give Sertanense a 32% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Benfica Castelo Branco win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
SertanenseBenfica Castelo BrancoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Sertanense | Home | Away | Benfica Castelo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 57% | 100% | 25% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 14% | 33% | 0% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 0% | 75% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Sertanense | Home | Away | Benfica Castelo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 100% | 75% | 71% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 67% | 25% | 71% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 33% | 0% | 57% | 100% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 0% | 25% | 29% | 0% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sertanense | Benfica Castelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 29% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 43% |
| BTTS | 57% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 43% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 71% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sertanense | Benfica Castelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 71% | 71% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 57% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 0% | 86% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Sertanense (H)
Fátima2–2
Atlético Malveira1–1
Mortágua1–3
Alcains3–1Mortágua0–2
O Elvas0–0Benfica Castelo (A)Mortágua1–0
FC Alverca II1–0Fátima1–3
Oliveira Hospital3–2Fátima1–4
Peniche2–0Head to Head · 12 matches
SertanenseBenfica Castelo BrancoSertanenseBenfica Castelo BrancoBenfica Castelo BrancoSertanenseBenfica Castelo BrancoSertanenseSertanenseBenfica Castelo BrancoBenfica Castelo BrancoBenfica Castelo Branco| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oliveira Hospital | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 | Mortágua | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 | O Elvas | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Os Marialvas | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 |  UD da Serra | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 | Benfica Castelo Branco | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 7 | Atlético Malveira | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 |  Naval 1893 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |  AD Nogueirense | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | FC Alverca II | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 11 | Fátima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 |  Nazarenos | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 |  Fazendense | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 1 |
Team Insights
Sertanense- ●Sertanense have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●67% of Sertanense's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Benfica Castelo- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●83% of Benfica Castelo Branco's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●100% of Benfica Castelo Branco's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
SertanenseFátima2–2Os Marialvas0–0O Elvas0–2Atlético Malveira1–1Mortágua1–3AD Nogueirense1–1Nazarenos01/11Oliveira Hospital08/11Fazendense28/11Benfica CasteloO Elvas1–3Mortágua1–0AD Nogueirense2–3FC Alverca II1–0Naval 18931–4Oliveira Hospital3–2Atlético Malveira01/11Os Marialvas08/11Fátima28/11Top Scorers
SertanenseBenfica CasteloCards Given
SertanenseBenfica Castelo