FC Alverca II vs Nazarenos — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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FC Alverca II and Nazarenos meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 20 December 2026. FC Alverca II have recorded 2 wins from 7 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.43 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 29% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Nazarenos have won 13% of their 8 matches, with 0.63 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.03 for FC Alverca II and 1.10 for Nazarenos. The models give FC Alverca II a 56% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Nazarenos win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
FC Alverca IINazarenosHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| FC Alverca | Home | Away | Nazarenos | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 57% | 67% | 50% | 38% | 20% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 67% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 67% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 33% | 50% | 63% | 80% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| FC Alverca | Home | Away | Nazarenos | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 33% | 75% | 88% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 40% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 40% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 67% | 25% | 13% | 20% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FC Alverca | Nazarenos | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 57% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS | 29% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 29% | 38% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FC Alverca | Nazarenos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 13% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 13% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 13% |
Recent Venue Form
FC Alverca (H)
AD Nogueirense3–0
Fazendense5–0
Benfica Castelo Branco0–1
Comércio Indústria5–0
Alcochetense0–1
Portimonense B4–0Nazarenos (A)
Fátima3–1
Atlético Malveira0–3
Mortágua1–3| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Os Marialvas | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 2 |  O Elvas | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 | Mortágua | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 |
| 4 |  Oliveira Hospital | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 |  UD da Serra | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 | Benfica Castelo Branco | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 7 | Atlético Malveira | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Fátima | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 8 |
| 9 | AD Nogueirense | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Naval 1893 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | FC Alverca II | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 12 |  Sertanense | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 | Nazarenos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 | Fazendense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 1 |
Team Insights
FC Alverca- ●FC Alverca II have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●FC Alverca II have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●FC Alverca II have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●80% of FC Alverca II's goals have been scored at home.
- ●86% of FC Alverca II's points have been earned at home.
Nazarenos- ●Nazarenos have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Nazarenos have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
Season Schedule
FC AlvercaMortágua0–0AD Nogueirense3–0Oliveira Hospital1–3Fazendense5–0Naval 18930–1Benfica Castelo Branco0–1O Elvas08/11Atlético Malveira28/11Os Marialvas06/12NazarenosSertanense0–0Oliveira Hospital1–1Fátima3–1Os Marialvas0–3Atlético Malveira0–3O Elvas0–1Fazendense08/11UD da Serra28/11Benfica Castelo Branco06/12Top Scorers
FC AlvercaNazarenosCards Given
FC AlvercaNazarenos