Naval 1893 vs Sertanense — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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Naval 1893 and Sertanense meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 20 December 2026. Naval 1893 have recorded 3 wins from 10 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Sertanense have won 0% of their 8 matches, with 0.63 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 25%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.17 for Naval 1893 and 0.97 for Sertanense. The models give Naval 1893 a 45% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Sertanense win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 36% and BTTS at 43%.
Season Statistics
Naval 1893SertanenseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Naval 1893 | Home | Away | Sertanense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 100% | 20% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 0% | 33% | 13% | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 80% |
Goals Conceded
| Naval 1893 | Home | Away | Sertanense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 75% | 83% | 75% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 75% | 33% | 38% | 67% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 17% | 13% | 33% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% | 25% | 0% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Naval 1893 | Sertanense | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 25% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 0% |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 38% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Naval 1893 | Sertanense | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 60% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 30% | 0% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Naval 1893 (H)
Mortágua0–2
Felgueiras 19320–2
FC Alverca II1–0
UD da Serra1–2
Vitória de Sernache2–0
Lajense2–1Sertanense (A)
Nazarenos0–0
Os Marialvas0–0
O Elvas0–2
Alcains0–1
AD Nogueirense1–1
Benfica Castelo Branco0–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Os Marialvas | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 2 | O Elvas | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 | Mortágua | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 |
| 4 |  Oliveira Hospital | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 | UD da Serra | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 | Benfica Castelo Branco | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 7 |  Atlético Malveira | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Fátima | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 8 |
| 9 | AD Nogueirense | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Naval 1893 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | FC Alverca II | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 | Nazarenos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |  Fazendense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 1 |
Team Insights
Naval 1893- ●Naval 1893 have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Naval 1893 have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Sertanense- ●Sertanense have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Sertanense have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of Sertanense's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Naval 1893O Elvas1–3Mortágua0–2AD Nogueirense0–0FC Alverca II1–0Oliveira Hospital0–1Benfica Castelo Branco4–1Atlético Malveira08/11Os Marialvas28/11Fátima06/12SertanenseNazarenos0–0Fátima2–2Os Marialvas0–0O Elvas0–2Atlético Malveira1–1Mortágua1–3Oliveira Hospital08/11Fazendense28/11UD da Serra06/12Top Scorers
Naval 1893SertanenseCards Given
Naval 1893Sertanense