Benfica Castelo Branco vs Fazendense — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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Benfica Castelo Branco and Fazendense meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 20 December 2026. Benfica Castelo Branco have recorded 3 wins from 8 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 2.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Fazendense have won 20% of their 10 matches, with 1.60 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 80%, Over 2.5 at 90%, and clean sheets at 10%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.30 for Benfica Castelo Branco and 1.49 for Fazendense. The models give Benfica Castelo Branco a 59% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Fazendense win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Benfica Castelo BrancoFazendenseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Benfica Castelo | Home | Away | Fazendense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 90% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 33% | 40% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 20% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Benfica Castelo | Home | Away | Fazendense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 100% | 60% | 90% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 75% | 100% | 60% | 80% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 50% | 100% | 20% | 40% | 17% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 0% | 40% | 10% | 17% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Benfica Castelo | Fazendense | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 | 75% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 40% |
| BTTS | 75% | 80% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 75% | 80% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Benfica Castelo | Fazendense | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 63% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 60% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 20% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 75% | 70% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 88% | 80% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 75% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Benfica Castelo (H)
O Elvas1–3
AD Nogueirense2–3
Naval 18931–4
Samora Correir1–2
Oliveira Hospital1–1
Lusitânia2–0Fazendense (A)
Fátima1–6
Atlético Malveira1–3
FC Alverca II0–5
Mortágua1–2
Sintrense0–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Os Marialvas | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 2 | O Elvas | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 | Mortágua | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 |
| 4 | Oliveira Hospital | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 |  UD da Serra | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 | Benfica Castelo Branco | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 7 | Atlético Malveira | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Fátima | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 8 |
| 9 | AD Nogueirense | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Naval 1893 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | FC Alverca II | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 12 |  Sertanense | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 |  Nazarenos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 | Fazendense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 1 |
Team Insights
Benfica Castelo- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●64% of Benfica Castelo Branco's goals have been scored away.
- ●71% of Benfica Castelo Branco's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●100% of Benfica Castelo Branco's points have been earned away.
Fazendense- ●Fazendense have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Fazendense have lost their last 6 matches.
- ●Fazendense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Fazendense have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Fazendense have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Fazendense have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●63% of Fazendense's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of Fazendense's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Benfica CasteloAtlético Malveira2–2O Elvas1–3Mortágua1–0AD Nogueirense2–3FC Alverca II1–0Naval 18931–4Os Marialvas08/11Fátima28/11Nazarenos06/12FazendenseFátima1–6Os Marialvas1–2Atlético Malveira1–3FC Alverca II0–5O Elvas1–2Mortágua1–2Nazarenos08/11Sertanense28/11Oliveira Hospital06/12Top Scorers
Benfica CasteloFazendenseCards Given
Benfica CasteloFazendense