Sertanense vs FC Alverca II — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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Sertanense and FC Alverca II meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 10 January 2027. Sertanense have recorded 0 wins from 9 matches this season (0% win rate), averaging 0.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. FC Alverca II have won 38% of their 8 matches, with 1.63 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.40 for Sertanense and 1.32 for FC Alverca II. The models give Sertanense a 38% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an FC Alverca II win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
SertanenseFC Alverca IIHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Sertanense | Home | Away | FC Alverca | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 100% | 20% | 63% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 11% | 25% | 0% | 38% | 75% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 38% | 75% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 0% | 80% | 38% | 25% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Sertanense | Home | Away | FC Alverca | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 100% | 60% | 63% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 75% | 20% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 25% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 0% | 40% | 38% | 50% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sertanense | FC Alverca | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 78% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 13% |
| BTTS | 56% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sertanense | FC Alverca | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 56% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 11% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Sertanense (H)
Oliveira Hospital1–2
Fátima2–2
Atlético Malveira1–1
Mortágua1–3
Alcains3–1Mortágua0–2FC Alverca (A)Mortágua0–0Oliveira Hospital1–3
Naval 18930–1
UD da Serra1–2
FC Serpa1–0
Oriental Lisboa2–1Head to Head · 4 matches
SertanenseFC Alverca IISertanenseFC Alverca II| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Os Marialvas | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 3 |  O Elvas | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | Mortágua | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 15 |
| 5 | Atlético Malveira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 | UD da Serra | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 | Fátima | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 8 |  Benfica Castelo Branco | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 9 | FC Alverca II | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 10 |  AD Nogueirense | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 |  Nazarenos | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 | Naval 1893 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Sertanense | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 14 |  Fazendense | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 1 |
Team Insights
Sertanense- ●Sertanense have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Sertanense have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Sertanense have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Sertanense have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●73% of Sertanense's goals conceded were conceded at home.
FC Alverca- ●FC Alverca II have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●FC Alverca II have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●85% of FC Alverca II's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of FC Alverca II's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●90% of FC Alverca II's points have been earned at home.
- ●FC Alverca II have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
SertanenseOliveira Hospital1–2Nazarenos0–0Fátima2–2Os Marialvas0–0O Elvas0–2Atlético Malveira1–1Fazendense28/11UD da Serra06/12Benfica Castelo Branco13/12FC AlvercaO Elvas3–1Mortágua0–0AD Nogueirense3–0Oliveira Hospital1–3Fazendense5–0Naval 18930–1Atlético Malveira28/11Os Marialvas06/12Fátima13/12Top Scorers
SertanenseFC AlvercaCards Given
SertanenseFC Alverca