UD da Serra vs Benfica Castelo Branco — Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
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UD da Serra and Benfica Castelo Branco meet in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2026 season on 10 January 2027. UD da Serra have recorded 5 wins from 11 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.91 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 91% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Benfica Castelo Branco have won 33% of their 9 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 2.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.35 for UD da Serra and 1.35 for Benfica Castelo Branco. The models give UD da Serra a 41% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Benfica Castelo Branco win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
UD da SerraBenfica Castelo BrancoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| UD da | Home | Away | Benfica Castelo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 89% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 40% | 50% | 33% | 25% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| UD da | Home | Away | Benfica Castelo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 80% | 100% | 78% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 20% | 33% | 78% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 17% | 56% | 100% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 20% | 0% | 22% | 0% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| UD da | Benfica Castelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 33% |
| BTTS | 91% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 36% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 36% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| UD da | Benfica Castelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 78% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 78% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 78% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 91% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
UD da (H)
Fátima1–2
Atlético Malveira1–1
Mortágua1–1
Uniao de Pombal5–0
FC Alverca II2–1
Peniche3–1Benfica Castelo (A)Atlético Malveira2–2Mortágua1–0FC Alverca II1–0Fátima1–3
Oliveira Hospital3–2Fátima1–4Head to Head · 4 matches
Benfica Castelo BrancoUD da SerraUD da SerraBenfica Castelo Branco| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Os Marialvas | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 3 |  O Elvas | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | Mortágua | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 15 |
| 5 | Atlético Malveira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 | UD da Serra | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 | Fátima | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 8 | Benfica Castelo Branco | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 9 | FC Alverca II | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 10 |  AD Nogueirense | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 |  Nazarenos | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 |  Naval 1893 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 |  Sertanense | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 14 |  Fazendense | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 1 |
Team Insights
UD da- ●UD da Serra have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●UD da Serra failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●UD da Serra have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●UD da Serra have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●UD da Serra have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●UD da Serra have conceded 70% of their goals in the first half.
Benfica Castelo- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Benfica Castelo Branco have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●64% of Benfica Castelo Branco's goals have been scored away.
- ●76% of Benfica Castelo Branco's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●100% of Benfica Castelo Branco's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
UD daFátima1–2Os Marialvas1–2Atlético Malveira1–1O Elvas2–1Mortágua1–1AD Nogueirense1–1Nazarenos28/11Sertanense06/12Fazendense13/12Benfica CasteloOs Marialvas0–3Atlético Malveira2–2O Elvas1–3Mortágua1–0AD Nogueirense2–3FC Alverca II1–0Fátima28/11Nazarenos06/12Sertanense13/12Top Scorers
UD daBenfica CasteloCards Given
UD daBenfica Castelo