Vegalta Sendai vs Tokushima Vortis — J2 League
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Vegalta Sendai and Tokushima Vortis meet in the J2 League 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Vegalta Sendai have recorded 22 wins from 37 matches this season (59% win rate), averaging 1.89 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Tokushima Vortis have won 48% of their 33 matches, with 1.64 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 39%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 48%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.83 for Vegalta Sendai and 1.23 for Tokushima Vortis. The models give Vegalta Sendai a 54% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Tokushima Vortis win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Vegalta Sendai—
Tokushima Vortis1º
Position
12º
2.11
PPG
1.30
61%
Win %
40%
1.78
Goals / game
1.00
0.83
Conceded / game
1.20
54%
BTTS %
39%
38%
Clean sheet %
48%
54%
Over 2.5 %
64%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Vegalta Sendai
Home (9)
—
Tokushima Vortis
Away (5)
1.67
PPG
0.60
44%
Win %
20%
2.11
Goals / game
0.80
1.44
Conceded / game
2.00
67%
BTTS %
44%
28%
Clean sheet %
38%
61%
Over 2.5 %
69%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Vegalta Sendai | Home | Away | Tokushima Vortis | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 84% | 83% | 84% | 82% | 88% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 51% | 44% | 58% | 36% | 41% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 22% | 37% | 24% | 29% | 19% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 17% | 16% | 18% | 12% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Vegalta Sendai | Home | Away | Tokushima Vortis | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 72% | 53% | 52% | 41% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 33% | 21% | 39% | 24% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 17% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 28% | 47% | 48% | 59% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Vegalta Sendai | Tokushima Vortis | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 15% |
| BTTS | 54% | 39% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 27% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Vegalta Sendai | Tokushima Vortis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 61% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 48% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 30% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 39% | 39% |
Recent Venue Form
Vegalta Sendai (H)W
Jubilo Iwata2–1
Jubilo Iwata2–1D
Consadole Sapporo1–1
Consadole Sapporo1–1W
Tegevajaro Miyazaki4–2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki4–2L
Tochigi City1–2
Tochigi City1–2D
Oita Trinita0–0
Oita Trinita0–0D
Kataller Toyama1–1
Kataller Toyama1–1Tokushima Vortis (A)L
Albirex Niigata1–2
Albirex Niigata1–2L
Gamba Osaka0–5
Gamba Osaka0–5W
Ventforet Kofu1–0
Ventforet Kofu1–0L
Blaublitz Akita1–4
Blaublitz Akita1–4D
FC Gifu0–0
FC Gifu0–0LJubilo Iwata1–2
Jubilo Iwata1–2Head to Head · 13 matches
2
Vegalta Sendai
15%
5
Draws
38%
6
Tokushima Vortis
46%
54%
Over 1.5
7/13
15%
Over 2.5
2/13
8%
Over 3.5
1/13
38%
BTTS
5/13
10/08/25Tokushima Vortis
Vegalta Sendai
0–2Tokushima Vortis23/02/25Vegalta Sendai
Tokushima Vortis
1–0Vegalta Sendai14/07/24Vegalta Sendai
Tokushima Vortis
2–0Vegalta Sendai12/06/24Vegalta Sendai
Tokushima Vortis
1–0Vegalta Sendai24/03/24Tokushima Vortis
Vegalta Sendai
0–0Tokushima Vortis25/06/23Tokushima Vortis
Vegalta Sendai
1–1Tokushima Vortis04/03/23Vegalta Sendai
Tokushima Vortis
1–1Vegalta Sendai18/09/22Tokushima Vortis
Vegalta Sendai
1–1Tokushima Vortis11/06/22Vegalta Sendai
Tokushima Vortis
2–2Vegalta Sendai25/09/21Tokushima Vortis
Vegalta Sendai
0–1Tokushima Vortis07/04/21Vegalta Sendai
Tokushima Vortis
1–0Vegalta Sendai29/11/14Tokushima Vortis
Vegalta Sendai
2–1Tokushima Vortis03/05/14Vegalta Sendai
Tokushima Vortis
0–1Vegalta Sendai| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | +24 | 47 |
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | +17 | 43 |
| 1 | Kataller Toyama | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | +13 | 38 |
| 1 | Ventforet Kofu | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | +8 | 35 |
| 2 | Blaublitz Akita | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 35 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 35 |
| 2 |  Kagoshima United | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +8 | 33 |
| 2 | Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 31 |
| 3 |  Sagan Tosu | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | +10 | 32 |
| 3 | Tokushima Vortis | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +14 | 32 |
| 3 |  Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +6 | 31 |
| 3 |  Iwaki | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 31 |
| 4 |  Omiya Ardija | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +10 | 30 |
| 4 |  Kochi United | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 30 |
| 4 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +2 | 29 |
| 4 |  Yokohama FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 29 |
| 5 |  Fujieda MYFC | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | +4 | 30 |
| 5 |  Sagamihara | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 28 |
| 5 |  Ehime FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 28 |
| 5 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 | FC Gifu | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 |  Kanazawa | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | -6 | 27 |
| 6 |  Gainare Tottori | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -4 | 27 |
| 6 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | +10 | 26 |
| 7 |  Montedio Yamagata | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -5 | 22 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 |  Nara Club | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 21 |
| 8 | Jubilo Iwata | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -7 | 25 |
| 8 |  Biwako Shiga | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 | Tochigi City | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Osaka | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 |  Vanraure Hachinohe | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Imabari | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Fukushima United | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 18 |
| 9 |  FC Ryukyu | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -12 | 17 |
| 10 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 19 |
| 10 |  Tochigi SC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 18 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Kitakyushu | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 15 |
Team Insights
Vegalta Sendai- ●Vegalta Sendai have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Vegalta Sendai have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Vegalta Sendai have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Vegalta Sendai have won their last 5 away matches.
- ●Vegalta Sendai have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Vegalta Sendai have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Vegalta Sendai have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Vegalta Sendai have won 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Vegalta Sendai have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●65% of Vegalta Sendai's points have been earned away.
- ●Vegalta Sendai have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Vegalta Sendai have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Tokushima Vortis- ●Tokushima Vortis have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Tokushima Vortis have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Tokushima Vortis have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Tokushima Vortis have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Tokushima Vortis failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Tokushima Vortis have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●83% of Tokushima Vortis's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●77% of Tokushima Vortis's points have been earned at home.
- ●Tokushima Vortis have conceded 75% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Vegalta SendaiWAMontedio Yamagata1–0
Montedio Yamagata1–0WHJubilo Iwata2–1
Jubilo Iwata2–1WAIwaki2–0
Iwaki2–0WATochigi City3–1
Tochigi City3–1DHConsadole Sapporo1–1
Consadole Sapporo1–1WAShonan Bellmare3–1
Shonan Bellmare3–1–HTokushima Vortis17/10
Tokushima Vortis17/10–HImabari21/10
Imabari21/10–AAlbirex Niigata25/10
Albirex Niigata25/10Tokushima VortisLHImabari1–2
Imabari1–2LAAlbirex Niigata1–2
Albirex Niigata1–2WHTochigi City3–0
Tochigi City3–0WAVentforet Kofu1–0
Ventforet Kofu1–0LABlaublitz Akita1–4
Blaublitz Akita1–4WHIwaki1–0
Iwaki1–0–AVegalta Sendai17/10
Vegalta Sendai17/10–HVanraure Hachinohe21/10
Vanraure Hachinohe21/10–AFujieda MYFC24/10
Fujieda MYFC24/10Top Scorers
Vegalta SendaiH. Iwabuchi7 ⚽
H. Takeda7 ⚽
M. Nakajima5 ⚽
T. Umeki5 ⚽
S. Igarashi4 ⚽
K. Kobayashi4 ⚽
Tokushima VortisLucas Barcelos11 ⚽
Thonny Anderson8 ⚽
Y. Takagi6 ⚽
Y. Kajiya5 ⚽
J. Miyazaki5 ⚽
T. Sugimoto5 ⚽
Cards Given
Vegalta SendaiR. Matsui7 🟨
H. Iwabuchi5 🟨
S. Araki4 🟨
H. Takeda4 🟨
Y. Sugiyama4 🟨
Mateus Moraes3 🟨
Tokushima VortisThonny Anderson7 🟨
N. Kanuma5 🟨
Lucas Barcelos4 🟨
Kaique4 🟨
K. Iwao4 🟨
J. Miyazaki3 🟨