Oita Trinita vs Albirex Niigata — J2 League
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Oita Trinita and Albirex Niigata meet in the J2 League 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Oita Trinita have recorded 10 wins from 31 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 32% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 35%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Albirex Niigata have won 48% of their 29 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 48%, and clean sheets at 41%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for Oita Trinita and 1.17 for Albirex Niigata. The models give Oita Trinita a 42% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Albirex Niigata win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Oita Trinita—
Albirex Niigata16º
Position
2º
1.00
PPG
2.00
17%
Win %
67%
0.83
Goals / game
1.17
0.67
Conceded / game
1.50
32%
BTTS %
38%
45%
Clean sheet %
41%
35%
Over 2.5 %
48%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Oita Trinita
Home (3)
—
Albirex Niigata
Away (3)
1.33
PPG
1.00
33%
Win %
33%
1.67
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
2.67
40%
BTTS %
31%
40%
Clean sheet %
38%
33%
Over 2.5 %
46%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Oita Trinita | Home | Away | Albirex Niigata | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 61% | 73% | 50% | 66% | 75% | 54% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 40% | 19% | 38% | 44% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 13% | 19% | 10% | 6% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 39% | 27% | 50% | 34% | 25% | 46% |
Goals Conceded
| Oita Trinita | Home | Away | Albirex Niigata | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 60% | 50% | 59% | 56% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 32% | 27% | 38% | 31% | 25% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 13% | 19% | 17% | 19% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 40% | 50% | 41% | 44% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Oita Trinita | Albirex Niigata | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 55% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 35% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 14% |
| BTTS | 32% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 3% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 34% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Oita Trinita | Albirex Niigata | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 34% |
| Scored 1st Half | 31% | 34% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 48% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 52% | 34% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 41% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 31% | 34% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 66% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Oita Trinita (H)D
Imabari1–1
Imabari1–1W
Iwaki4–1
Iwaki4–1L
Shonan Bellmare0–1
Shonan Bellmare0–1W
Montedio Yamagata1–0
Montedio Yamagata1–0L
Tegevajaro Miyazaki1–2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki1–2L
Sagan Tosu0–1
Sagan Tosu0–1Albirex Niigata (A)L
Yokohama FC0–5
Yokohama FC0–5W
Thespakusatsu Gunma2–1
Thespakusatsu Gunma2–1WIwaki3–2
Iwaki3–2L
Omiya Ardija0–1
Omiya Ardija0–1D
Kanazawa1–1
Kanazawa1–1L
Kataller Toyama0–2
Kataller Toyama0–2Head to Head · 8 matches
5
Oita Trinita
63%
1
Draws
13%
2
Albirex Niigata
25%
75%
Over 1.5
6/8
63%
Over 2.5
5/8
38%
Over 3.5
3/8
63%
BTTS
5/8
03/09/22Oita Trinita
Albirex Niigata
0–1Oita Trinita11/06/22Albirex Niigata
Oita Trinita
1–2Albirex Niigata05/08/18Albirex Niigata
Oita Trinita
4–0Albirex Niigata06/05/18Oita Trinita
Albirex Niigata
1–2Oita Trinita10/11/13Albirex Niigata
Oita Trinita
1–3Albirex Niigata13/10/13Oita Trinita
Albirex Niigata
0–1Oita Trinita18/05/13Oita Trinita
Albirex Niigata
2–3Oita Trinita20/03/13Oita Trinita
Albirex Niigata
1–1Oita Trinita| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | +24 | 47 |
| 1 |  Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | +17 | 43 |
| 1 | Kataller Toyama | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | +13 | 38 |
| 1 |  Ventforet Kofu | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | +8 | 35 |
| 2 |  Blaublitz Akita | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 35 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 35 |
| 2 |  Kagoshima United | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +8 | 33 |
| 2 |  Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 31 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | +10 | 32 |
| 3 |  Tokushima Vortis | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +14 | 32 |
| 3 | Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +6 | 31 |
| 3 | Iwaki | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 31 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +10 | 30 |
| 4 |  Kochi United | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 30 |
| 4 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +2 | 29 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 29 |
| 5 |  Fujieda MYFC | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | +4 | 30 |
| 5 |  Sagamihara | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 28 |
| 5 |  Ehime FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 28 |
| 5 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 |  FC Gifu | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 | Kanazawa | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | -6 | 27 |
| 6 |  Gainare Tottori | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -4 | 27 |
| 6 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | +10 | 26 |
| 7 | Montedio Yamagata | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -5 | 22 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 |  Nara Club | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 21 |
| 8 |  Jubilo Iwata | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -7 | 25 |
| 8 |  Biwako Shiga | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Tochigi City | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Osaka | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 |  Vanraure Hachinohe | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 | Imabari | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Fukushima United | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 18 |
| 9 |  FC Ryukyu | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -12 | 17 |
| 10 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 19 |
| 10 |  Tochigi SC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 18 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Kitakyushu | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 15 |
Team Insights
Oita Trinita- ●Oita Trinita have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Oita Trinita have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Oita Trinita have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Albirex Niigata- ●Albirex Niigata have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Albirex Niigata have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Albirex Niigata failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Albirex Niigata have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Albirex Niigata have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Albirex Niigata have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Oita TrinitaDAOmiya Ardija0–0
Omiya Ardija0–0DHImabari1–1
Imabari1–1LATokushima Vortis0–1
Tokushima Vortis0–1WHIwaki4–1
Iwaki4–1DAVegalta Sendai0–0
Vegalta Sendai0–0LHShonan Bellmare0–1
Shonan Bellmare0–1–AConsadole Sapporo19/09
Consadole Sapporo19/09–HFujieda MYFC26/09
Fujieda MYFC26/09–HMontedio Yamagata03/10
Montedio Yamagata03/10Albirex NiigataWHMontedio Yamagata1–0
Montedio Yamagata1–0LAYokohama FC0–5
Yokohama FC0–5WAIwaki3–2
Iwaki3–2WHFujieda MYFC1–0
Fujieda MYFC1–0WHConsadole Sapporo2–1
Consadole Sapporo2–1LAOmiya Ardija0–1
Omiya Ardija0–1–HJubilo Iwata19/09
Jubilo Iwata19/09–ABlaublitz Akita26/09
Blaublitz Akita26/09–HTokushima Vortis03/10
Tokushima Vortis03/10Top Scorers
Oita TrinitaKim Hyun-woo6 ⚽
S. Utsumoto4 ⚽
S. Udo2 ⚽
M. Kimoto2 ⚽
M. Yoshida2 ⚽
Patrick Verhon2 ⚽
Albirex NiigataM. Moraes6 ⚽
K. Shimabuku4 ⚽
K. Kasai4 ⚽
Y. Wakatsuki4 ⚽
J. Okumura2 ⚽
K. Kuwayama2 ⚽
Cards Given
Oita TrinitaMatheus Pereira6 🟨
T. Kimoto4 🟨
Y. Misao3 🟨
I. Oda2 🟨
I. Tone2 🟨
H. Matsuoka2 🟨
Albirex NiigataJ. Okumura4 🟨
Y. Onishi4 🟨
J. Geria3 🟨
M. Moraes2 🟨
K. Kasai2 🟨
M. Fitzgerald1 🟨