Kataller Toyama vs Shonan Bellmare — J2 League
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Kataller Toyama and Shonan Bellmare meet in the J2 League 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Kataller Toyama have recorded 16 wins from 29 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.86 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Shonan Bellmare have won 42% of their 31 matches, with 1.35 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.50 for Kataller Toyama and 1.40 for Shonan Bellmare. The models give Kataller Toyama a 39% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Shonan Bellmare win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Kataller Toyama—
Shonan Bellmare3º
Position
3º
1.86
PPG
1.56
57%
Win %
44%
1.86
Goals / game
1.39
0.71
Conceded / game
1.06
52%
BTTS %
58%
38%
Clean sheet %
32%
55%
Over 2.5 %
42%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Kataller Toyama
Home (3)
—
Shonan Bellmare
Away (9)
1.33
PPG
2.00
33%
Win %
56%
2.00
Goals / game
1.78
1.00
Conceded / game
1.33
46%
BTTS %
59%
46%
Clean sheet %
35%
46%
Over 2.5 %
35%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Kataller Toyama | Home | Away | Shonan Bellmare | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 77% | 88% | 87% | 86% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 55% | 54% | 56% | 26% | 14% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 23% | 25% | 16% | 7% | 24% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 23% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 12% |
Goals Conceded
| Kataller Toyama | Home | Away | Shonan Bellmare | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 54% | 69% | 68% | 71% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 34% | 38% | 31% | 29% | 43% | 18% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 8% | 19% | 10% | 7% | 12% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 46% | 31% | 32% | 29% | 35% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kataller Toyama | Shonan Bellmare | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 26% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 6% |
| BTTS | 52% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kataller Toyama | Shonan Bellmare | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 45% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 34% |
| Scored 1st Half | 59% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 48% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 34% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Kataller Toyama (H)D
Tochigi City0–0
Tochigi City0–0L
Fujieda MYFC2–3
Fujieda MYFC2–3W
Imabari4–0
Imabari4–0W
Tegevajaro Miyazaki1–0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki1–0D
Tokushima Vortis2–2
Tokushima Vortis2–2D
Kamatamare Sanuki1–1
Kamatamare Sanuki1–1Shonan Bellmare (A)W
Vanraure Hachinohe1–0
Vanraure Hachinohe1–0D
Matsumoto Yamaga3–3
Matsumoto Yamaga3–3D
Omiya Ardija2–2
Omiya Ardija2–2DTegevajaro Miyazaki0–0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–0W
Oita Trinita1–0
Oita Trinita1–0W
Kyoto Sanga4–1
Kyoto Sanga4–1Head to Head · 4 matches
0
Kataller Toyama
0%
0
Draws
0%
4
Shonan Bellmare
100%
50%
Over 1.5
2/4
0%
Over 2.5
0/4
0%
Over 3.5
0/4
0%
BTTS
0/4
26/07/14Kataller Toyama
Shonan Bellmare
2–0Kataller Toyama07/06/14Shonan Bellmare
Kataller Toyama
0–1Shonan Bellmare28/10/12Shonan Bellmare
Kataller Toyama
0–2Shonan Bellmare09/06/12Kataller Toyama
Shonan Bellmare
1–0Kataller Toyama| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | +24 | 47 |
| 1 |  Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | +17 | 43 |
| 1 | Kataller Toyama | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | +13 | 38 |
| 1 |  Ventforet Kofu | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | +8 | 35 |
| 2 |  Blaublitz Akita | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 35 |
| 2 |  Albirex Niigata | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 35 |
| 2 |  Kagoshima United | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +8 | 33 |
| 2 |  Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 31 |
| 3 |  Sagan Tosu | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | +10 | 32 |
| 3 | Tokushima Vortis | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +14 | 32 |
| 3 | Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +6 | 31 |
| 3 |  Iwaki | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 31 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +10 | 30 |
| 4 |  Kochi United | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 30 |
| 4 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +2 | 29 |
| 4 |  Yokohama FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 29 |
| 5 | Fujieda MYFC | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | +4 | 30 |
| 5 |  Sagamihara | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 28 |
| 5 |  Ehime FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 28 |
| 5 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 |  FC Gifu | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 |  Kanazawa | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | -6 | 27 |
| 6 |  Gainare Tottori | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -4 | 27 |
| 6 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 23 |
| 7 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | +10 | 26 |
| 7 |  Montedio Yamagata | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -5 | 22 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 |  Nara Club | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 21 |
| 8 |  Jubilo Iwata | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -7 | 25 |
| 8 |  Biwako Shiga | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 | Tochigi City | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Osaka | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 | Imabari | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Fukushima United | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 18 |
| 9 |  FC Ryukyu | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -12 | 17 |
| 10 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 19 |
| 10 |  Tochigi SC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 18 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Kitakyushu | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 15 |
Team Insights
Kataller Toyama- ●Kataller Toyama have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Kataller Toyama have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Kataller Toyama have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Kataller Toyama have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●69% of Kataller Toyama's points have been earned away.
Shonan Bellmare- ●Shonan Bellmare have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●67% of Shonan Bellmare's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Kataller ToyamaWAMontedio Yamagata2–0
Montedio Yamagata2–0DHTochigi City0–0
Tochigi City0–0WAJubilo Iwata1–0
Jubilo Iwata1–0LHFujieda MYFC2–3
Fujieda MYFC2–3WHImabari4–0
Imabari4–0WABlaublitz Akita4–0
Blaublitz Akita4–0–HYokohama FC26/09
Yokohama FC26/09–AVentforet Kofu03/10
Ventforet Kofu03/10–HTegevajaro Miyazaki11/10
Tegevajaro Miyazaki11/10Shonan BellmareDHBlaublitz Akita1–1
Blaublitz Akita1–1WAVanraure Hachinohe1–0
Vanraure Hachinohe1–0LHVegalta Sendai1–3
Vegalta Sendai1–3DAOmiya Ardija2–2
Omiya Ardija2–2DATegevajaro Miyazaki0–0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–0WHMontedio Yamagata1–0
Montedio Yamagata1–0–AImabari26/09
Imabari26/09–AFujieda MYFC03/10
Fujieda MYFC03/10–HAlbirex Niigata11/10
Albirex Niigata11/10Top Scorers
Kataller ToyamaM. Furukawa8 ⚽
T. Kim7 ⚽
T. Yoshihira6 ⚽
A. Kameda6 ⚽
K. Tsuboi5 ⚽
K. Ogawa3 ⚽
Shonan BellmareH. Yamada11 ⚽
H. Okuno4 ⚽
K. Watanabe3 ⚽
Arthur Feitoza2 ⚽
H. Matsumura2 ⚽
H. Ishii2 ⚽
Cards Given
Kataller ToyamaJung Woo-Young6 🟨
T. Kim6 🟨
S. Fuseya5 🟨
S. Fukazawa5 🟨
S. Okamoto4 🟨
T. Hirao3 🟨
Shonan BellmareK. Watanabe6 🟨
Arthur Feitoza6 🟨
S. Takeda4 🟨
M. Ikeda4 🟨
K. Onose4 🟨
N. Kase3 🟨