Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Jubilo Iwata — J2 League
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Tegevajaro Miyazaki and Jubilo Iwata meet in the J2 League 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Tegevajaro Miyazaki have recorded 19 wins from 30 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 1.63 goals scored and 0.87 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Jubilo Iwata have won 31% of their 32 matches, with 1.03 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.53 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 1.40 for Jubilo Iwata. The models give Tegevajaro Miyazaki a 39% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Jubilo Iwata win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Tegevajaro Miyazaki—
Jubilo Iwata14º
Position
8º
1.14
PPG
1.17
29%
Win %
28%
1.29
Goals / game
0.89
1.43
Conceded / game
1.28
43%
BTTS %
56%
43%
Clean sheet %
25%
47%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Home (3)
—
Jubilo Iwata
Away (9)
1.33
PPG
1.33
33%
Win %
33%
1.00
Goals / game
1.78
1.00
Conceded / game
2.00
43%
BTTS %
69%
50%
Clean sheet %
25%
57%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | Home | Away | Jubilo Iwata | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 86% | 81% | 75% | 56% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 50% | 44% | 22% | 6% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 29% | 25% | 6% | 0% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 14% | 19% | 25% | 44% | 6% |
Goals Conceded
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | Home | Away | Jubilo Iwata | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 50% | 63% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 21% | 25% | 31% | 31% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 3% | 0% | 6% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 50% | 38% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | Jubilo Iwata | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 16% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 6% |
| BTTS | 43% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | Jubilo Iwata | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 37% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Tegevajaro Miyazaki (H)W
Fujieda MYFC3–2
Fujieda MYFC3–2L
Kataller Toyama1–2
Kataller Toyama1–2D
Shonan Bellmare0–0
Shonan Bellmare0–0L
Yokohama FC0–1
Yokohama FC0–1W
Ventforet Kofu2–1
Ventforet Kofu2–1D
Biwako Shiga2–2
Biwako Shiga2–2Jubilo Iwata (A)L
Albirex Niigata1–2
Albirex Niigata1–2WVentforet Kofu1–0
Ventforet Kofu1–0W
Sagamihara3–0
Sagamihara3–0W
Tochigi City3–1
Tochigi City3–1LYokohama FC1–3
Yokohama FC1–3DTochigi City2–2
Tochigi City2–2Head to Head · 2 matches
2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Jubilo Iwata
0%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
26/08/26Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Jubilo Iwata
0–1Tegevajaro Miyazaki12/06/24Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Jubilo Iwata
1–2Tegevajaro Miyazaki| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | +24 | 47 |
| 1 |  Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | +17 | 43 |
| 1 | Kataller Toyama | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | +13 | 38 |
| 1 | Ventforet Kofu | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | +8 | 35 |
| 2 |  Blaublitz Akita | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 35 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 35 |
| 2 |  Kagoshima United | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +8 | 33 |
| 2 |  Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 31 |
| 3 |  Sagan Tosu | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | +10 | 32 |
| 3 |  Tokushima Vortis | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +14 | 32 |
| 3 | Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +6 | 31 |
| 3 |  Iwaki | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 31 |
| 4 |  Omiya Ardija | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +10 | 30 |
| 4 |  Kochi United | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 30 |
| 4 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +2 | 29 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 29 |
| 5 | Fujieda MYFC | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | +4 | 30 |
| 5 | Sagamihara | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 28 |
| 5 |  Ehime FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 28 |
| 5 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 |  FC Gifu | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 |  Kanazawa | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | -6 | 27 |
| 6 |  Gainare Tottori | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -4 | 27 |
| 6 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | +10 | 26 |
| 7 |  Montedio Yamagata | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -5 | 22 |
| 7 |  Oita Trinita | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 |  Nara Club | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 21 |
| 8 | Jubilo Iwata | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -7 | 25 |
| 8 | Biwako Shiga | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 | Tochigi City | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Osaka | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 |  Vanraure Hachinohe | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Imabari | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Fukushima United | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 18 |
| 9 |  FC Ryukyu | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -12 | 17 |
| 10 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 19 |
| 10 |  Tochigi SC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 18 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Kitakyushu | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 15 |
Team Insights
Tegevajaro Miyazaki- ●Tegevajaro Miyazaki have won their last 2 matches.
- ●67% of Tegevajaro Miyazaki's goals have been scored away.
- ●70% of Tegevajaro Miyazaki's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Tegevajaro Miyazaki have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Jubilo Iwata- ●Jubilo Iwata have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●67% of Jubilo Iwata's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Jubilo Iwata's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●60% of Jubilo Iwata's points have been earned away.
- ●Jubilo Iwata have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Tegevajaro MiyazakiWAVanraure Hachinohe3–0
Vanraure Hachinohe3–0WHFujieda MYFC3–2
Fujieda MYFC3–2LASagan Tosu0–2
Sagan Tosu0–2LAVegalta Sendai2–4
Vegalta Sendai2–4DHShonan Bellmare0–0
Shonan Bellmare0–0DAVentforet Kofu1–1
Ventforet Kofu1–1–HConsadole Sapporo26/09
Consadole Sapporo26/09–HOmiya Ardija04/10
Omiya Ardija04/10–AKataller Toyama11/10
Kataller Toyama11/10Jubilo IwataLAAlbirex Niigata1–2
Albirex Niigata1–2WAVentforet Kofu1–0
Ventforet Kofu1–0LHKataller Toyama0–1
Kataller Toyama0–1WATochigi City3–1
Tochigi City3–1WHTokushima Vortis2–1
Tokushima Vortis2–1LAYokohama FC1–3
Yokohama FC1–3–HVanraure Hachinohe26/09
Vanraure Hachinohe26/09–AVegalta Sendai04/10
Vegalta Sendai04/10–HConsadole Sapporo10/10
Consadole Sapporo10/10Top Scorers
Tegevajaro MiyazakiY. Toshida11 ⚽
K. Okumura5 ⚽
R. Inoue4 ⚽
E. Watanabe4 ⚽
M. Ano4 ⚽
K. Matsumoto3 ⚽
Jubilo IwataGustavo Silva5 ⚽
Matheus Peixoto4 ⚽
R. Watanabe3 ⚽
Iago Teles3 ⚽
H. Tameda2 ⚽
J. Victor2 ⚽
Cards Given
Tegevajaro MiyazakiY. Matsumoto5 🟨
R. Yamauchi4 🟨
E. Watanabe3 🟨
K. Okumura3 🟨
H. Manabe2 🟨
M. Ano2 🟨
Jubilo IwataK. Fujiwara4 🟨
R. Yoshimura3 🟨
Gustavo Silva3 🟨
Danilo Cardoso2 🟨
Iago Teles2 🟨
D. Kaneko2 🟨