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Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu — J2 League

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Japan · J2 League · Regular Season - 12
Albirex Niigata
Albirex Niigata
3º · 2.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 10d 1h
vs
–
–
Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu
15º · 1.10 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 7d 0h
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Albirex Niigata and Sagan Tosu meet in the J2 League 2026 season on 21 October 2026. Albirex Niigata have recorded 16 wins from 34 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Sagan Tosu have won 49% of their 37 matches, with 1.51 goals scored and 0.97 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 38%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.38 for Albirex Niigata and 0.93 for Sagan Tosu. The models give Albirex Niigata a 51% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Sagan Tosu win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 45%.

Season Statistics

Albirex Niigata
—
Sagan Tosu
3º
Position
15º
2.00
PPG
1.10
60%
Win %
30%
1.40
Goals / game
0.90
1.40
Conceded / game
1.20
44%
BTTS %
43%
35%
Clean sheet %
38%
50%
Over 2.5 %
38%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Albirex Niigata
Home (5)
—
Sagan Tosu
Away (5)
3.00
PPG
0.40
100%
Win %
0%
1.60
Goals / game
0.40
0.60
Conceded / game
1.20
50%
BTTS %
35%
39%
Clean sheet %
35%
56%
Over 2.5 %
29%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Albirex NiigataHomeAwaySagan TosuHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored68%78%56%78%90%65%
Over 1.5 Scored41%50%31%43%50%35%
Over 2.5 Scored9%6%13%11%20%0%
Failed To Score32%22%44%22%10%35%

Goals Conceded

Albirex NiigataHomeAwaySagan TosuHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded65%61%69%62%60%65%
Over 1.5 Conceded29%22%38%27%20%35%
Over 2.5 Conceded15%17%13%8%10%6%
Clean Sheets35%39%31%38%40%35%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Albirex NiigataSagan Tosu
Over 0.588%97%
Over 1.562%70%
Over 2.550%38%
Over 3.524%27%
Over 4.512%5%
BTTS44%43%
BTTS & Win24%14%
BTTS & Draw12%19%
BTTS & Over 2.538%32%
BTTS No & Over 2.512%5%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Albirex NiigataSagan Tosu
Win 1st Half24%31%
Draw 1st Half44%54%
Loss 1st Half32%14%
Scored 1st Half38%49%
Conceded 1st Half47%29%
Win 2nd Half41%46%
Draw 2nd Half44%26%
Loss 2nd Half15%29%
Scored 2nd Half53%57%
Conceded 2nd Half38%40%
Over 0.5 HT68%60%
Over 1.5 HT29%23%

Recent Venue Form

Albirex Niigata (H)
WTokushima Vortis2–1
WJubilo Iwata2–1
WMontedio Yamagata1–0
LKagoshima United0–4
WFujieda MYFC1–0
WConsadole Sapporo2–1
Sagan Tosu (A)
LBlaublitz Akita0–1
LMontedio Yamagata0–2
LVissel Kobe0–1
LImabari0–1
WNara Club2–1
DYokohama FC2–2

Head to Head · 20 matches

10
Albirex Niigata
50%
2
Draws
10%
8
Sagan Tosu
40%
60%
Over 1.5
12/20
35%
Over 2.5
7/20
20%
Over 3.5
4/20
35%
BTTS
7/20
06/07/24
Albirex Niigata
3–4
Sagan Tosu
24/02/24
Sagan Tosu
1–2
Albirex Niigata
21/10/23
Albirex Niigata
1–1
Sagan Tosu
20/05/23
Sagan Tosu
2–0
Albirex Niigata
29/10/17
Albirex Niigata
1–0
Sagan Tosu
08/04/17
Sagan Tosu
3–0
Albirex Niigata
15/03/17
Sagan Tosu
2–2
Albirex Niigata
27/08/16
Sagan Tosu
1–0
Albirex Niigata
25/06/16
Albirex Niigata
1–0
Sagan Tosu
27/03/16
Albirex Niigata
1–0
Sagan Tosu
19/07/15
Albirex Niigata
1–0
Sagan Tosu
08/04/15
Albirex Niigata
1–0
Sagan Tosu
07/03/15
Sagan Tosu
2–1
Albirex Niigata
26/10/14
Sagan Tosu
0–2
Albirex Niigata
23/03/14
Albirex Niigata
1–0
Sagan Tosu
05/10/13
Albirex Niigata
3–1
Sagan Tosu
11/05/13
Sagan Tosu
1–3
Albirex Niigata
24/04/13
Sagan Tosu
2–0
Albirex Niigata
27/10/12
Albirex Niigata
0–2
Sagan Tosu
21/04/12
Sagan Tosu
1–0
Albirex Niigata
J2 League
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Tegevajaro Miyazaki181521+2447
1Vegalta Sendai181152+1743
1Kataller Toyama181053+1338
1Ventforet Kofu181035+835
2Blaublitz Akita181125+935
2Albirex Niigata18954+435
2Kagoshima United18855+833
2Consadole Sapporo18927+431
3Sagan Tosu18864+1032
3Tokushima Vortis18936+1432
3Shonan Bellmare18846+631
3Iwaki18765+431
4Omiya Ardija18927+1030
4Kochi United18846+230
4Renofa Yamaguchi18756+229
4Yokohama FC18837+729
5Fujieda MYFC18693+430
5Sagamihara18756-228
5Ehime FC18837+728
5Roasso Kumamoto18828027
6FC Gifu18837-228
6Kanazawa18576-627
6Gainare Tottori18657-427
6Thespakusatsu Gunma18648-1023
7Matsumoto Yamaga18666+1026
7Montedio Yamagata186210-522
7Oita Trinita18639022
7Nara Club18549-921
8Jubilo Iwata18567-725
8Biwako Shiga186210-1321
8Tochigi City18549-1321
8Osaka18387-320
9Vanraure Hachinohe18468-420
9Imabari18549-420
9Fukushima United184410-1318
9FC Ryukyu18279-1217
10Kamatamare Sanuki185310-1819
10Tochigi SC18459-518
10Parceiro Nagano183510-1816
10Kitakyushu184311-1515

Team Insights

Albirex Niigata
  • ●Albirex Niigata have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
  • ●Albirex Niigata have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Albirex Niigata have won their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Albirex Niigata have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Albirex Niigata failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Albirex Niigata failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●79% of Albirex Niigata's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●75% of Albirex Niigata's points have been earned at home.
Sagan Tosu
  • ●Sagan Tosu have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Sagan Tosu have lost their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Sagan Tosu have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Sagan Tosu failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●78% of Sagan Tosu's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●82% of Sagan Tosu's points have been earned at home.
Albirex NiigataAlbirex Niigata
DAShonan Bellmare3º1–1
DAShonan Bellmare6º1–1
WHTokushima Vortis12º2–1
WHTokushima Vortis3º2–1
LAMatsumoto Yamaga0–1
DABlaublitz Akita2º2–2
DABlaublitz Akita9º2–2
WHJubilo Iwata8º2–1
WHJubilo Iwata11º2–1
WHMontedio Yamagata7º1–0
Sagan TosuSagan Tosu
WHAvispa Fukuoka2–1
WHFujieda MYFC5º1–0
WHFujieda MYFC8º1–0
LABlaublitz Akita2º0–1
LABlaublitz Akita9º0–1
WHTokyo Verdy2–1
LAMontedio Yamagata7º0–2
LAMontedio Yamagata13º0–2
LAVissel Kobe0–1
LHIwaki3º1–3

Season Schedule

Albirex Niigata
DAShonan Bellmare1–1
WHTokushima Vortis2–1
DABlaublitz Akita2–2
WHJubilo Iwata2–1
WHMontedio Yamagata1–0
LAYokohama FC0–5
–AOita Trinita17/10
–HSagan Tosu21/10
–HVegalta Sendai25/10
Sagan Tosu
WHFujieda MYFC1–0
LABlaublitz Akita0–1
LAMontedio Yamagata0–2
LHIwaki1–3
LAImabari0–1
WHTegevajaro Miyazaki2–0
–HOmiya Ardija17/10
–AAlbirex Niigata21/10
–HVanraure Hachinohe25/10

Top Scorers

Albirex Niigata
M. Moraes10 ⚽
Y. Wakatsuki5 ⚽
K. Shimabuku4 ⚽
K. Kasai4 ⚽
K. Kuwayama2 ⚽
J. Okumura2 ⚽
Sagan Tosu
R. Shiohama6 ⚽
K. Nishizawa5 ⚽
K. Yoshino4 ⚽
T. Takahashi4 ⚽
R. Hyon3 ⚽
D. Suzuki3 ⚽

Cards Given

Albirex Niigata
Y. Onishi7 🟨
J. Geria4 🟨
J. Okumura4 🟨
M. Moraes4 🟨
K. Kasai3 🟨
Y. Funakoshi2 🟨
Sagan Tosu
K. Nishizawa4 🟨
S. Nagasawa3 🟨
K. Kamiyama3 🟨
N. Matsumoto3 🟨
N. Sakai2 🟨
S. Ogawa2 🟨