Jubilo Iwata vs Oita Trinita — J2 League
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Jubilo Iwata and Oita Trinita meet in the J2 League 2026 season on 21 October 2026. Jubilo Iwata have recorded 12 wins from 37 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.08 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 49%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Oita Trinita have won 34% of their 35 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 37%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.94 for Jubilo Iwata and 1.11 for Oita Trinita. The models give Jubilo Iwata a 39% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Oita Trinita win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 34% and BTTS at 41%.
Season Statistics
Jubilo Iwata—
Oita Trinita8º
Position
7º
1.17
PPG
1.40
28%
Win %
30%
0.89
Goals / game
1.10
1.28
Conceded / game
0.80
57%
BTTS %
40%
24%
Clean sheet %
40%
49%
Over 2.5 %
37%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Jubilo Iwata
Home (9)
—
Oita Trinita
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
1.20
22%
Win %
20%
0.56
Goals / game
0.60
1.22
Conceded / game
0.60
45%
BTTS %
33%
25%
Clean sheet %
44%
40%
Over 2.5 %
39%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Jubilo Iwata | Home | Away | Oita Trinita | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 60% | 94% | 66% | 76% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 22% | 10% | 35% | 31% | 41% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 5% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 40% | 6% | 34% | 24% | 44% |
Goals Conceded
| Jubilo Iwata | Home | Away | Oita Trinita | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 75% | 76% | 60% | 65% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 40% | 35% | 29% | 24% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 15% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 25% | 24% | 40% | 35% | 44% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Jubilo Iwata | Oita Trinita | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 37% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 11% |
| BTTS | 57% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Jubilo Iwata | Oita Trinita | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 37% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 37% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 30% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 52% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 34% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 51% | 36% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 21% |
Recent Venue Form
Jubilo Iwata (H)L
Kawasaki Frontale0–4
Kawasaki Frontale0–4W
Consadole Sapporo1–0
Consadole Sapporo1–0W
JEF United Chiba4–2
JEF United Chiba4–2L
Vanraure Hachinohe1–2
Vanraure Hachinohe1–2L
Kataller Toyama0–1
Kataller Toyama0–1L
Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–1Oita Trinita (A)W
Yokohama FC2–1
Yokohama FC2–1DConsadole Sapporo1–1
Consadole Sapporo1–1D
Omiya Ardija0–0
Omiya Ardija0–0L
Roasso Kumamoto0–2
Roasso Kumamoto0–2L
Tokushima Vortis0–1
Tokushima Vortis0–1L
Iwaki0–2
Iwaki0–2Head to Head · 13 matches
4
Jubilo Iwata
31%
4
Draws
31%
5
Oita Trinita
38%
92%
Over 1.5
12/13
54%
Over 2.5
7/13
8%
Over 3.5
1/13
69%
BTTS
9/13
31/08/25Jubilo Iwata
Oita Trinita
0–0Jubilo Iwata25/04/25Oita Trinita
Jubilo Iwata
0–3Oita Trinita01/07/23Oita Trinita
Jubilo Iwata
1–1Oita Trinita01/04/23Jubilo Iwata
Oita Trinita
2–1Jubilo Iwata27/10/21Oita Trinita
Jubilo Iwata
0–2Oita Trinita28/09/19Jubilo Iwata
Oita Trinita
1–2Jubilo Iwata09/03/19Oita Trinita
Jubilo Iwata
1–2Oita Trinita23/11/15Jubilo Iwata
Oita Trinita
1–2Jubilo Iwata29/03/15Oita Trinita
Jubilo Iwata
2–1Oita Trinita04/10/14Jubilo Iwata
Oita Trinita
2–0Jubilo Iwata11/05/14Oita Trinita
Jubilo Iwata
1–1Oita Trinita07/12/13Oita Trinita
Jubilo Iwata
3–1Oita Trinita25/05/13Jubilo Iwata
Oita Trinita
1–1Jubilo Iwata| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | +24 | 47 |
| 1 |  Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | +17 | 43 |
| 1 | Kataller Toyama | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | +13 | 38 |
| 1 |  Ventforet Kofu | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | +8 | 35 |
| 2 |  Blaublitz Akita | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 35 |
| 2 |  Albirex Niigata | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 35 |
| 2 |  Kagoshima United | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +8 | 33 |
| 2 | Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 31 |
| 3 |  Sagan Tosu | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | +10 | 32 |
| 3 | Tokushima Vortis | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +14 | 32 |
| 3 |  Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +6 | 31 |
| 3 | Iwaki | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 31 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +10 | 30 |
| 4 |  Kochi United | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 30 |
| 4 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +2 | 29 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 29 |
| 5 |  Fujieda MYFC | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | +4 | 30 |
| 5 |  Sagamihara | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 28 |
| 5 |  Ehime FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 28 |
| 5 | Roasso Kumamoto | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 |  FC Gifu | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 |  Kanazawa | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | -6 | 27 |
| 6 |  Gainare Tottori | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -4 | 27 |
| 6 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | +10 | 26 |
| 7 |  Montedio Yamagata | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -5 | 22 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 |  Nara Club | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 21 |
| 8 | Jubilo Iwata | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -7 | 25 |
| 8 |  Biwako Shiga | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Tochigi City | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Osaka | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Imabari | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Fukushima United | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 18 |
| 9 |  FC Ryukyu | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -12 | 17 |
| 10 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 19 |
| 10 |  Tochigi SC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 18 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Kitakyushu | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 15 |
Team Insights
Jubilo Iwata- ●Jubilo Iwata have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Jubilo Iwata have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Jubilo Iwata have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Jubilo Iwata failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Jubilo Iwata failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Jubilo Iwata have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Jubilo Iwata have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Oita Trinita- ●Oita Trinita have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Oita Trinita have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Oita Trinita failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Oita Trinita have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Oita Trinita have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Oita Trinita failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●73% of Oita Trinita's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Jubilo IwataWHConsadole Sapporo1–0
Consadole Sapporo1–0LAVegalta Sendai1–2
Vegalta Sendai1–2LHVanraure Hachinohe1–2
Vanraure Hachinohe1–2LAAlbirex Niigata1–2
Albirex Niigata1–2WAVentforet Kofu1–0
Ventforet Kofu1–0LHKataller Toyama0–1
Kataller Toyama0–1–ATegevajaro Miyazaki17/10
Tegevajaro Miyazaki17/10–HOita Trinita21/10
Oita Trinita21/10–AIwaki25/10
Iwaki25/10Oita TrinitaWAYokohama FC2–1
Yokohama FC2–1WHMontedio Yamagata2–1
Montedio Yamagata2–1DHFujieda MYFC1–1
Fujieda MYFC1–1DAConsadole Sapporo1–1
Consadole Sapporo1–1DAOmiya Ardija0–0
Omiya Ardija0–0DHImabari1–1
Imabari1–1–HAlbirex Niigata17/10
Albirex Niigata17/10–AJubilo Iwata21/10
Jubilo Iwata21/10–HVentforet Kofu25/10
Ventforet Kofu25/10Top Scorers
Jubilo IwataMatheus Peixoto6 ⚽
Gustavo Silva5 ⚽
Iago Teles4 ⚽
R. Watanabe3 ⚽
J. Victor3 ⚽
H. Tameda2 ⚽
Oita TrinitaKim Hyun-woo6 ⚽
S. Utsumoto5 ⚽
K. Arima3 ⚽
Patrick Verhon3 ⚽
M. Kimoto3 ⚽
M. Yoshida2 ⚽
Cards Given
Jubilo IwataK. Fujiwara6 🟨
R. Yoshimura5 🟨
D. Kaneko3 🟨
Gustavo Silva3 🟨
K. Yamazaki3 🟨
Iago Teles2 🟨
Oita TrinitaMatheus Pereira7 🟨
T. Kimoto4 🟨
Y. Nishimura3 🟨
Y. Misao3 🟨
I. Oda2 🟨
M. Kimoto2 🟨