Albirex Niigata vs Vegalta Sendai — J2 League
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Albirex Niigata and Vegalta Sendai meet in the J2 League 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Albirex Niigata have recorded 16 wins from 34 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Vegalta Sendai have won 59% of their 37 matches, with 1.89 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.13 for Albirex Niigata and 1.36 for Vegalta Sendai. The models give Albirex Niigata a 32% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Vegalta Sendai win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Albirex Niigata—
Vegalta Sendai3º
Position
1º
2.00
PPG
2.11
60%
Win %
61%
1.40
Goals / game
1.78
1.40
Conceded / game
0.83
44%
BTTS %
54%
35%
Clean sheet %
38%
50%
Over 2.5 %
54%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Albirex Niigata
Home (5)
—
Vegalta Sendai
Away (9)
3.00
PPG
2.56
100%
Win %
78%
1.60
Goals / game
1.89
0.60
Conceded / game
0.44
50%
BTTS %
42%
39%
Clean sheet %
47%
56%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Albirex Niigata | Home | Away | Vegalta Sendai | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 68% | 78% | 56% | 84% | 83% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 50% | 31% | 51% | 44% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 6% | 13% | 30% | 22% | 37% |
| Failed To Score | 32% | 22% | 44% | 16% | 17% | 16% |
Goals Conceded
| Albirex Niigata | Home | Away | Vegalta Sendai | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 61% | 69% | 62% | 72% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 22% | 38% | 27% | 33% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 17% | 13% | 14% | 17% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 39% | 31% | 38% | 28% | 47% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Albirex Niigata | Vegalta Sendai | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 62% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 22% |
| BTTS | 44% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Albirex Niigata | Vegalta Sendai | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 41% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 15% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 36% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 39% |
Recent Venue Form
Albirex Niigata (H)W
Tokushima Vortis2–1
Tokushima Vortis2–1W
Jubilo Iwata2–1
Jubilo Iwata2–1W
Montedio Yamagata1–0
Montedio Yamagata1–0L
Kagoshima United0–4
Kagoshima United0–4W
Fujieda MYFC1–0
Fujieda MYFC1–0W
Consadole Sapporo2–1
Consadole Sapporo2–1Vegalta Sendai (A)WMontedio Yamagata1–0
Montedio Yamagata1–0W
Iwaki2–0
Iwaki2–0W
Tochigi City3–1
Tochigi City3–1L
Fukushima United3–4
Fukushima United3–4W
Shonan Bellmare3–1
Shonan Bellmare3–1W
Vanraure Hachinohe2–0
Vanraure Hachinohe2–0Head to Head · 17 matches
8
Albirex Niigata
47%
2
Draws
12%
7
Vegalta Sendai
41%
53%
Over 1.5
9/17
47%
Over 2.5
8/17
12%
Over 3.5
2/17
41%
BTTS
7/17
08/10/22Vegalta Sendai
Albirex Niigata
3–0Vegalta Sendai20/02/22Albirex Niigata
Vegalta Sendai
0–0Albirex Niigata18/04/18Vegalta Sendai
Albirex Niigata
3–1Vegalta Sendai07/03/18Albirex Niigata
Vegalta Sendai
1–1Albirex Niigata19/08/17Vegalta Sendai
Albirex Niigata
1–2Vegalta Sendai28/05/17Albirex Niigata
Vegalta Sendai
2–1Albirex Niigata17/07/16Vegalta Sendai
Albirex Niigata
1–2Vegalta Sendai29/05/16Albirex Niigata
Vegalta Sendai
4–2Albirex Niigata23/03/16Albirex Niigata
Vegalta Sendai
1–0Albirex Niigata29/08/15Albirex Niigata
Vegalta Sendai
0–1Albirex Niigata16/05/15Vegalta Sendai
Albirex Niigata
0–3Vegalta Sendai13/09/14Vegalta Sendai
Albirex Niigata
1–0Vegalta Sendai01/03/14Albirex Niigata
Vegalta Sendai
1–2Albirex Niigata23/11/13Vegalta Sendai
Albirex Niigata
1–0Vegalta Sendai06/04/13Albirex Niigata
Vegalta Sendai
0–1Albirex Niigata24/11/12Albirex Niigata
Vegalta Sendai
0–1Albirex Niigata28/04/12Vegalta Sendai
Albirex Niigata
0–1Vegalta Sendai| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | +24 | 47 |
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | +17 | 43 |
| 1 |  Kataller Toyama | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | +13 | 38 |
| 1 |  Ventforet Kofu | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | +8 | 35 |
| 2 |  Blaublitz Akita | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 35 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 35 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +8 | 33 |
| 2 | Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 31 |
| 3 |  Sagan Tosu | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | +10 | 32 |
| 3 | Tokushima Vortis | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +14 | 32 |
| 3 | Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +6 | 31 |
| 3 | Iwaki | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 31 |
| 4 |  Omiya Ardija | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +10 | 30 |
| 4 |  Kochi United | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 30 |
| 4 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +2 | 29 |
| 4 |  Yokohama FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 29 |
| 5 | Fujieda MYFC | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | +4 | 30 |
| 5 |  Sagamihara | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 28 |
| 5 |  Ehime FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 28 |
| 5 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 |  FC Gifu | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 |  Kanazawa | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | -6 | 27 |
| 6 |  Gainare Tottori | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -4 | 27 |
| 6 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | +10 | 26 |
| 7 | Montedio Yamagata | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -5 | 22 |
| 7 |  Oita Trinita | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 |  Nara Club | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 21 |
| 8 | Jubilo Iwata | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -7 | 25 |
| 8 |  Biwako Shiga | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 | Tochigi City | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Osaka | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Imabari | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 | Fukushima United | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 18 |
| 9 |  FC Ryukyu | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -12 | 17 |
| 10 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 19 |
| 10 |  Tochigi SC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 18 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Kitakyushu | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 15 |
Team Insights
Albirex Niigata- ●Albirex Niigata have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Albirex Niigata have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Albirex Niigata have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Albirex Niigata have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Albirex Niigata failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Albirex Niigata failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●79% of Albirex Niigata's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Albirex Niigata's points have been earned at home.
Vegalta Sendai- ●Vegalta Sendai have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Vegalta Sendai have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Vegalta Sendai have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Vegalta Sendai have won their last 5 away matches.
- ●Vegalta Sendai have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Vegalta Sendai have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Vegalta Sendai have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Vegalta Sendai have won 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Vegalta Sendai have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●65% of Vegalta Sendai's points have been earned away.
- ●Vegalta Sendai have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Vegalta Sendai have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Albirex NiigataDAShonan Bellmare1–1
Shonan Bellmare1–1WHTokushima Vortis2–1
Tokushima Vortis2–1DABlaublitz Akita2–2
Blaublitz Akita2–2WHJubilo Iwata2–1
Jubilo Iwata2–1WHMontedio Yamagata1–0
Montedio Yamagata1–0LAYokohama FC0–5
Yokohama FC0–5–AOita Trinita17/10
Oita Trinita17/10–HSagan Tosu21/10
Sagan Tosu21/10–HVegalta Sendai25/10
Vegalta Sendai25/10Vegalta SendaiWAMontedio Yamagata1–0
Montedio Yamagata1–0WHJubilo Iwata2–1
Jubilo Iwata2–1WAIwaki2–0
Iwaki2–0WATochigi City3–1
Tochigi City3–1DHConsadole Sapporo1–1
Consadole Sapporo1–1WAShonan Bellmare3–1
Shonan Bellmare3–1–HTokushima Vortis17/10
Tokushima Vortis17/10–HImabari21/10
Imabari21/10–AAlbirex Niigata25/10
Albirex Niigata25/10Top Scorers
Albirex NiigataM. Moraes10 ⚽
Y. Wakatsuki5 ⚽
K. Shimabuku4 ⚽
K. Kasai4 ⚽
K. Kuwayama2 ⚽
J. Okumura2 ⚽
Vegalta SendaiH. Iwabuchi7 ⚽
H. Takeda7 ⚽
M. Nakajima5 ⚽
T. Umeki5 ⚽
S. Igarashi4 ⚽
K. Kobayashi4 ⚽
Cards Given
Albirex NiigataY. Onishi7 🟨
J. Geria4 🟨
J. Okumura4 🟨
M. Moraes4 🟨
K. Kasai3 🟨
Y. Funakoshi2 🟨
Vegalta SendaiR. Matsui7 🟨
H. Iwabuchi5 🟨
S. Araki4 🟨
H. Takeda4 🟨
Y. Sugiyama4 🟨
Mateus Moraes3 🟨