Sagan Tosu vs Vanraure Hachinohe — J2 League
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Sagan Tosu and Vanraure Hachinohe meet in the J2 League 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Sagan Tosu have recorded 17 wins from 36 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 0.97 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 36%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. Vanraure Hachinohe have won 21% of their 33 matches, with 0.67 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 27%, Over 2.5 at 24%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.38 for Sagan Tosu and 1.15 for Vanraure Hachinohe. The models give Sagan Tosu a 45% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Vanraure Hachinohe win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Sagan Tosu—
Vanraure Hachinohe15º
Position
9º
1.10
PPG
1.00
30%
Win %
22%
0.90
Goals / game
0.83
1.20
Conceded / game
1.06
42%
BTTS %
27%
39%
Clean sheet %
27%
36%
Over 2.5 %
24%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Sagan Tosu
Home (5)
—
Vanraure Hachinohe
Away (9)
1.80
PPG
1.22
60%
Win %
33%
1.40
Goals / game
1.11
1.20
Conceded / game
1.11
47%
BTTS %
33%
42%
Clean sheet %
33%
42%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Sagan Tosu | Home | Away | Vanraure Hachinohe | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 89% | 65% | 42% | 39% | 47% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 47% | 35% | 15% | 11% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 21% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 11% | 35% | 58% | 61% | 53% |
Goals Conceded
| Sagan Tosu | Home | Away | Vanraure Hachinohe | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 58% | 65% | 73% | 78% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 28% | 21% | 35% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 11% | 6% | 12% | 6% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 42% | 35% | 27% | 22% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sagan Tosu | Vanraure Hachinohe | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 | 36% | 24% |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 9% |
| BTTS | 42% | 27% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 15% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sagan Tosu | Vanraure Hachinohe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 15% | 45% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 21% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 26% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 39% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 36% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 41% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 59% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 21% | 18% |
Recent Venue Form
Sagan Tosu (H)W
Fujieda MYFC1–0
Fujieda MYFC1–0W
Tokyo Verdy2–1
Tokyo Verdy2–1L
Iwaki1–3
Iwaki1–3W
Tegevajaro Miyazaki2–0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki2–0W
Kataller Toyama4–0
Kataller Toyama4–0L
Tochigi City1–3
Tochigi City1–3Vanraure Hachinohe (A)L
Omiya Ardija1–3
Omiya Ardija1–3W
Jubilo Iwata2–1
Jubilo Iwata2–1DFujieda MYFC0–0
Fujieda MYFC0–0LOmiya Ardija0–2
Omiya Ardija0–2LTochigi City0–5
Tochigi City0–5D
Kawasaki Frontale0–0
Kawasaki Frontale0–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | +24 | 47 |
| 1 |  Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | +17 | 43 |
| 1 | Kataller Toyama | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | +13 | 38 |
| 1 |  Ventforet Kofu | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | +8 | 35 |
| 2 |  Blaublitz Akita | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 35 |
| 2 |  Albirex Niigata | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 35 |
| 2 |  Kagoshima United | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +8 | 33 |
| 2 |  Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 31 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | +10 | 32 |
| 3 |  Tokushima Vortis | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +14 | 32 |
| 3 |  Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +6 | 31 |
| 3 | Iwaki | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 31 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +10 | 30 |
| 4 |  Kochi United | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 30 |
| 4 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +2 | 29 |
| 4 |  Yokohama FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 29 |
| 5 | Fujieda MYFC | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | +4 | 30 |
| 5 |  Sagamihara | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 28 |
| 5 |  Ehime FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 28 |
| 5 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 |  FC Gifu | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 |  Kanazawa | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | -6 | 27 |
| 6 |  Gainare Tottori | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -4 | 27 |
| 6 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | +10 | 26 |
| 7 |  Montedio Yamagata | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -5 | 22 |
| 7 |  Oita Trinita | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 |  Nara Club | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 21 |
| 8 | Jubilo Iwata | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -7 | 25 |
| 8 |  Biwako Shiga | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 | Tochigi City | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Osaka | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Imabari | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Fukushima United | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 18 |
| 9 |  FC Ryukyu | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -12 | 17 |
| 10 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 19 |
| 10 |  Tochigi SC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 18 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Kitakyushu | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 15 |
Team Insights
Sagan Tosu- ●Sagan Tosu have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Sagan Tosu have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Sagan Tosu have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Sagan Tosu failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●78% of Sagan Tosu's goals have been scored at home.
- ●82% of Sagan Tosu's points have been earned at home.
Vanraure Hachinohe- ●Vanraure Hachinohe failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Vanraure Hachinohe have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Vanraure Hachinohe failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Vanraure Hachinohe have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
Season Schedule
Sagan TosuWHFujieda MYFC1–0
Fujieda MYFC1–0LABlaublitz Akita0–1
Blaublitz Akita0–1LAMontedio Yamagata0–2
Montedio Yamagata0–2LHIwaki1–3
Iwaki1–3LAImabari0–1
Imabari0–1WHTegevajaro Miyazaki2–0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki2–0–HOmiya Ardija17/10
Omiya Ardija17/10–AAlbirex Niigata21/10
Albirex Niigata21/10–HVanraure Hachinohe25/10
Vanraure Hachinohe25/10Vanraure HachinoheLAOmiya Ardija1–3
Omiya Ardija1–3LHYokohama FC0–2
Yokohama FC0–2WAJubilo Iwata2–1
Jubilo Iwata2–1LHTegevajaro Miyazaki0–3
Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–3LHShonan Bellmare0–1
Shonan Bellmare0–1DAFujieda MYFC0–0
Fujieda MYFC0–0–AImabari17/10
Imabari17/10–ATokushima Vortis21/10
Tokushima Vortis21/10–ASagan Tosu25/10
Sagan Tosu25/10Top Scorers
Sagan TosuR. Shiohama6 ⚽
K. Nishizawa5 ⚽
T. Takahashi4 ⚽
K. Yoshino3 ⚽
R. Hyon3 ⚽
D. Suzuki3 ⚽
Vanraure HachinoheR. Takao4 ⚽
R. Sawakami4 ⚽
W. Owie2 ⚽
Y. Sato2 ⚽
S. Otoizumi2 ⚽
W. Hiramatsu1 ⚽
Cards Given
Sagan TosuK. Nishizawa4 🟨
K. Kamiyama3 🟨
N. Matsumoto3 🟨
N. Sakai2 🟨
S. Nagasawa2 🟨
S. Ogawa2 🟨
Vanraure HachinoheS. Takayoshi6 🟨
W. Hiramatsu4 🟨
I. Origbaajo3 🟨
R. Sawakami3 🟨
H. Yukie2 🟨
R. Takao2 🟨