Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu — J2 League
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Jubilo Iwata and Sagan Tosu meet in the J2 League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Jubilo Iwata have recorded 12 wins from 37 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.08 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 49%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Sagan Tosu have won 49% of their 37 matches, with 1.51 goals scored and 0.97 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.06 for Jubilo Iwata and 1.08 for Sagan Tosu. The models give Jubilo Iwata a 40% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Sagan Tosu win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 36% and BTTS at 43%.
Season Statistics
Jubilo Iwata—
Sagan Tosu8º
Position
15º
1.17
PPG
1.10
28%
Win %
30%
0.89
Goals / game
0.90
1.28
Conceded / game
1.20
57%
BTTS %
43%
24%
Clean sheet %
38%
49%
Over 2.5 %
38%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Jubilo Iwata
Home (9)
—
Sagan Tosu
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
0.40
22%
Win %
0%
0.56
Goals / game
0.40
1.22
Conceded / game
1.20
45%
BTTS %
35%
25%
Clean sheet %
35%
40%
Over 2.5 %
29%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Jubilo Iwata | Home | Away | Sagan Tosu | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 60% | 94% | 78% | 90% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 22% | 10% | 35% | 43% | 50% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 5% | 12% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 40% | 6% | 22% | 10% | 35% |
Goals Conceded
| Jubilo Iwata | Home | Away | Sagan Tosu | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 75% | 76% | 62% | 60% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 40% | 35% | 27% | 20% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 10% | 6% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 25% | 24% | 38% | 40% | 35% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Jubilo Iwata | Sagan Tosu | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 5% |
| BTTS | 57% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 32% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Jubilo Iwata | Sagan Tosu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 37% | 54% |
| Loss 1st Half | 37% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 49% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 46% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 26% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 34% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 51% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
Jubilo Iwata (H)L
Kawasaki Frontale0–4
Kawasaki Frontale0–4W
Consadole Sapporo1–0
Consadole Sapporo1–0W
JEF United Chiba4–2
JEF United Chiba4–2L
Vanraure Hachinohe1–2
Vanraure Hachinohe1–2L
Kataller Toyama0–1
Kataller Toyama0–1L
Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–1Sagan Tosu (A)L
Blaublitz Akita0–1
Blaublitz Akita0–1L
Montedio Yamagata0–2
Montedio Yamagata0–2L
Vissel Kobe0–1
Vissel Kobe0–1L
Imabari0–1
Imabari0–1W
Nara Club2–1
Nara Club2–1D
Yokohama FC2–2
Yokohama FC2–2Head to Head · 21 matches
9
Jubilo Iwata
43%
4
Draws
19%
8
Sagan Tosu
38%
71%
Over 1.5
15/21
52%
Over 2.5
11/21
24%
Over 3.5
5/21
48%
BTTS
10/21
29/11/25Jubilo Iwata
Sagan Tosu
1–2Jubilo Iwata22/02/25Sagan Tosu
Jubilo Iwata
1–0Sagan Tosu08/12/24Jubilo Iwata
Sagan Tosu
3–0Jubilo Iwata11/05/24Sagan Tosu
Jubilo Iwata
0–3Sagan Tosu24/05/23Jubilo Iwata
Sagan Tosu
0–2Jubilo Iwata05/04/23Sagan Tosu
Jubilo Iwata
1–2Sagan Tosu07/08/22Jubilo Iwata
Sagan Tosu
2–0Jubilo Iwata18/06/22Sagan Tosu
Jubilo Iwata
3–1Sagan Tosu19/10/19Sagan Tosu
Jubilo Iwata
2–2Sagan Tosu17/03/19Jubilo Iwata
Sagan Tosu
1–0Jubilo Iwata28/07/18Jubilo Iwata
Sagan Tosu
0–0Jubilo Iwata15/04/18Sagan Tosu
Jubilo Iwata
1–0Sagan Tosu26/11/17Jubilo Iwata
Sagan Tosu
0–2Jubilo Iwata16/04/17Sagan Tosu
Jubilo Iwata
2–1Sagan Tosu20/08/16Sagan Tosu
Jubilo Iwata
1–1Sagan Tosu24/04/16Jubilo Iwata
Sagan Tosu
0–1Jubilo Iwata10/11/13Jubilo Iwata
Sagan Tosu
1–0Jubilo Iwata30/03/13Sagan Tosu
Jubilo Iwata
3–3Sagan Tosu07/11/12Jubilo Iwata
Sagan Tosu
3–2Jubilo Iwata16/05/12Jubilo Iwata
Sagan Tosu
3–2Jubilo Iwata| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | +24 | 47 |
| 1 |  Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | +17 | 43 |
| 1 | Kataller Toyama | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | +13 | 38 |
| 1 |  Ventforet Kofu | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | +8 | 35 |
| 2 | Blaublitz Akita | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 35 |
| 2 |  Albirex Niigata | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 35 |
| 2 |  Kagoshima United | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +8 | 33 |
| 2 | Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 31 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | +10 | 32 |
| 3 |  Tokushima Vortis | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +14 | 32 |
| 3 |  Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +6 | 31 |
| 3 |  Iwaki | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 31 |
| 4 |  Omiya Ardija | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +10 | 30 |
| 4 |  Kochi United | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 30 |
| 4 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +2 | 29 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 29 |
| 5 |  Fujieda MYFC | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | +4 | 30 |
| 5 |  Sagamihara | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 28 |
| 5 |  Ehime FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 28 |
| 5 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 |  FC Gifu | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 |  Kanazawa | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | -6 | 27 |
| 6 |  Gainare Tottori | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -4 | 27 |
| 6 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | +10 | 26 |
| 7 | Montedio Yamagata | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -5 | 22 |
| 7 |  Oita Trinita | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 | Nara Club | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 21 |
| 8 | Jubilo Iwata | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -7 | 25 |
| 8 |  Biwako Shiga | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Tochigi City | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Osaka | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 | Imabari | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Fukushima United | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 18 |
| 9 |  FC Ryukyu | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -12 | 17 |
| 10 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 19 |
| 10 |  Tochigi SC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 18 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Kitakyushu | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 15 |
Team Insights
Jubilo Iwata- ●Jubilo Iwata have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Jubilo Iwata have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Jubilo Iwata have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Jubilo Iwata failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Jubilo Iwata failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Jubilo Iwata have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Jubilo Iwata have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Sagan Tosu- ●Sagan Tosu have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Sagan Tosu have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Sagan Tosu have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Sagan Tosu failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●78% of Sagan Tosu's goals have been scored at home.
- ●82% of Sagan Tosu's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Jubilo IwataWHConsadole Sapporo1–0
Consadole Sapporo1–0LAVegalta Sendai1–2
Vegalta Sendai1–2LHVanraure Hachinohe1–2
Vanraure Hachinohe1–2LAAlbirex Niigata1–2
Albirex Niigata1–2WAVentforet Kofu1–0
Ventforet Kofu1–0LHKataller Toyama0–1
Kataller Toyama0–1–ATegevajaro Miyazaki17/10
Tegevajaro Miyazaki17/10–HOita Trinita21/10
Oita Trinita21/10–AIwaki25/10
Iwaki25/10Sagan TosuWHFujieda MYFC1–0
Fujieda MYFC1–0LABlaublitz Akita0–1
Blaublitz Akita0–1LAMontedio Yamagata0–2
Montedio Yamagata0–2LHIwaki1–3
Iwaki1–3LAImabari0–1
Imabari0–1WHTegevajaro Miyazaki2–0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki2–0–HOmiya Ardija17/10
Omiya Ardija17/10–AAlbirex Niigata21/10
Albirex Niigata21/10–HVanraure Hachinohe25/10
Vanraure Hachinohe25/10Top Scorers
Jubilo IwataMatheus Peixoto6 ⚽
Gustavo Silva5 ⚽
Iago Teles4 ⚽
R. Watanabe3 ⚽
J. Victor3 ⚽
H. Tameda2 ⚽
Sagan TosuR. Shiohama6 ⚽
K. Nishizawa5 ⚽
K. Yoshino4 ⚽
T. Takahashi4 ⚽
R. Hyon3 ⚽
D. Suzuki3 ⚽
Cards Given
Jubilo IwataK. Fujiwara6 🟨
R. Yoshimura5 🟨
D. Kaneko3 🟨
Gustavo Silva3 🟨
K. Yamazaki3 🟨
Iago Teles2 🟨
Sagan TosuK. Nishizawa4 🟨
S. Nagasawa3 🟨
K. Kamiyama3 🟨
N. Matsumoto3 🟨
N. Sakai2 🟨
S. Ogawa2 🟨