Tochigi City vs Omiya Ardija — J2 League
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Tochigi City and Omiya Ardija meet in the J2 League 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Tochigi City have recorded 11 wins from 37 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.32 goals scored and 1.68 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Omiya Ardija have won 43% of their 37 matches, with 1.86 goals scored and 1.49 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 76%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for Tochigi City and 2.06 for Omiya Ardija. The models give Tochigi City a 34% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Omiya Ardija win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 73%.
Season Statistics
Tochigi City—
Omiya Ardija8º
Position
4º
1.06
PPG
1.61
28%
Win %
50%
1.11
Goals / game
2.11
1.83
Conceded / game
1.56
59%
BTTS %
76%
19%
Clean sheet %
19%
65%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Tochigi City
Home (9)
—
Omiya Ardija
Away (9)
1.00
PPG
1.56
22%
Win %
44%
1.67
Goals / game
2.33
2.33
Conceded / game
2.22
72%
BTTS %
89%
17%
Clean sheet %
11%
72%
Over 2.5 %
68%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Tochigi City | Home | Away | Omiya Ardija | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 83% | 58% | 89% | 83% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 44% | 37% | 51% | 56% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 17% | 11% | 27% | 33% | 21% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 17% | 42% | 11% | 17% | 5% |
Goals Conceded
| Tochigi City | Home | Away | Omiya Ardija | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 83% | 79% | 81% | 72% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 46% | 56% | 37% | 49% | 50% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 28% | 21% | 14% | 6% | 21% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 17% | 21% | 19% | 28% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tochigi City | Omiya Ardija | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 27% |
| BTTS | 59% | 76% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 65% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tochigi City | Omiya Ardija | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 61% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 19% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Tochigi City (H)D
Fujieda MYFC2–2
Fujieda MYFC2–2D
Yokohama FC1–1
Yokohama FC1–1L
Imabari1–2
Imabari1–2L
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–2L
Vegalta Sendai1–3
Vegalta Sendai1–3L
Jubilo Iwata1–3
Jubilo Iwata1–3Omiya Ardija (A)L
Sagan Tosu1–2
Sagan Tosu1–2L
Urawa2–3
Urawa2–3D
Tegevajaro Miyazaki1–1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki1–1DFujieda MYFC1–1
Fujieda MYFC1–1D
Blaublitz Akita0–0
Blaublitz Akita0–0L
Gainare Tottori1–3
Gainare Tottori1–3| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | +24 | 47 |
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | +17 | 43 |
| 1 |  Kataller Toyama | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | +13 | 38 |
| 1 |  Ventforet Kofu | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | +8 | 35 |
| 2 | Blaublitz Akita | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 35 |
| 2 |  Albirex Niigata | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 35 |
| 2 |  Kagoshima United | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +8 | 33 |
| 2 |  Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 31 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | +10 | 32 |
| 3 |  Tokushima Vortis | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +14 | 32 |
| 3 |  Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +6 | 31 |
| 3 |  Iwaki | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 31 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +10 | 30 |
| 4 |  Kochi United | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 30 |
| 4 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +2 | 29 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 29 |
| 5 | Fujieda MYFC | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | +4 | 30 |
| 5 |  Sagamihara | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 28 |
| 5 |  Ehime FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 28 |
| 5 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 |  FC Gifu | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 |  Kanazawa | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | -6 | 27 |
| 6 | Gainare Tottori | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -4 | 27 |
| 6 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | +10 | 26 |
| 7 |  Montedio Yamagata | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -5 | 22 |
| 7 |  Oita Trinita | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 |  Nara Club | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 21 |
| 8 | Jubilo Iwata | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -7 | 25 |
| 8 |  Biwako Shiga | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 | Tochigi City | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Osaka | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 |  Vanraure Hachinohe | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 | Imabari | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Fukushima United | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 18 |
| 9 |  FC Ryukyu | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -12 | 17 |
| 10 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 19 |
| 10 |  Tochigi SC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 18 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Kitakyushu | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 15 |
Team Insights
Tochigi City- ●Tochigi City have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Tochigi City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Tochigi City have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Tochigi City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Tochigi City have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Tochigi City have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Tochigi City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Tochigi City have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Tochigi City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Tochigi City have conceded 65% of their goals in the first half.
Omiya Ardija- ●Omiya Ardija failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Omiya Ardija failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Omiya Ardija failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Omiya Ardija have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
Tochigi CityDHFujieda MYFC2–2
Fujieda MYFC2–2DHYokohama FC1–1
Yokohama FC1–1LAVentforet Kofu1–2
Ventforet Kofu1–2LHImabari1–2
Imabari1–2LATokushima Vortis0–3
Tokushima Vortis0–3LHVegalta Sendai1–3
Vegalta Sendai1–3–AShonan Bellmare25/10
Shonan Bellmare25/10–HIwaki31/10
Iwaki31/10–ATegevajaro Miyazaki03/11
Tegevajaro Miyazaki03/11Omiya ArdijaLHKataller Toyama0–3
Kataller Toyama0–3LASagan Tosu1–2
Sagan Tosu1–2WHVanraure Hachinohe3–1
Vanraure Hachinohe3–1DATegevajaro Miyazaki1–1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki1–1WHVentforet Kofu5–1
Ventforet Kofu5–1DAFujieda MYFC1–1
Fujieda MYFC1–1–HYokohama FC24/10
Yokohama FC24/10–AVegalta Sendai31/10
Vegalta Sendai31/10–HIwaki03/11
Iwaki03/11Top Scorers
Tochigi CityK. Yamashita7 ⚽
Y. Koike6 ⚽
A. Yoshida5 ⚽
P. Tanaka4 ⚽
K. Nishiya4 ⚽
K. Saito3 ⚽
Omiya ArdijaT. Izumi15 ⚽
O. Yamamoto11 ⚽
Caprini10 ⚽
Carlinhos Junior8 ⚽
M. Kojima3 ⚽
H. Kato3 ⚽
Cards Given
Tochigi CityPedro Augusto9 🟨
H. Teruyama8 🟨
T. Inui6 🟨
R. Okui5 🟨
A. Simmons3 🟨
M. Jonjic3 🟨
Omiya ArdijaY. Toyokawa5 🟨
Kaua Diniz3 🟨
H. Kato3 🟨
G. Kato3 🟨
Caprini3 🟨
K. Sugimoto3 🟨