Albirex Niigata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki — J2 League
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Albirex Niigata and Tegevajaro Miyazaki meet in the J2 League 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Albirex Niigata have recorded 17 wins from 36 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.19 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Tegevajaro Miyazaki have won 58% of their 36 matches, with 1.58 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.50 for Albirex Niigata and 1.19 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki. The models give Albirex Niigata a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Tegevajaro Miyazaki win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Albirex Niigata—
Tegevajaro Miyazaki2º
Position
8º
1.92
PPG
1.42
58%
Win %
33%
1.42
Goals / game
1.42
1.67
Conceded / game
1.33
47%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Clean sheet %
36%
53%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Albirex Niigata
Home (6)
—
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Away (5)
3.00
PPG
1.00
100%
Win %
20%
1.67
Goals / game
1.40
0.67
Conceded / game
1.60
53%
BTTS %
44%
37%
Clean sheet %
33%
58%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Albirex Niigata | Home | Away | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 79% | 59% | 83% | 89% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 53% | 29% | 44% | 50% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 5% | 12% | 25% | 28% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 21% | 41% | 17% | 11% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Albirex Niigata | Home | Away | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 63% | 71% | 64% | 61% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 21% | 41% | 25% | 22% | 28% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 16% | 18% | 3% | 0% | 6% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 37% | 29% | 36% | 39% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Albirex Niigata | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 17% |
| BTTS | 47% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Albirex Niigata | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 47% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Albirex Niigata (H)W
Sagan Tosu2–1
Sagan Tosu2–1W
Tokushima Vortis2–1
Tokushima Vortis2–1W
Jubilo Iwata2–1
Jubilo Iwata2–1W
Montedio Yamagata1–0
Montedio Yamagata1–0L
Kagoshima United0–4
Kagoshima United0–4W
Fujieda MYFC1–0
Fujieda MYFC1–0Tegevajaro Miyazaki (A)D
Kataller Toyama1–1
Kataller Toyama1–1L
Kawasaki Frontale0–2
Kawasaki Frontale0–2W
Vanraure Hachinohe3–0
Vanraure Hachinohe3–0LSagan Tosu0–2
Sagan Tosu0–2L
Vegalta Sendai2–4
Vegalta Sendai2–4WJubilo Iwata1–0
Jubilo Iwata1–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | +24 | 47 |
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | +17 | 43 |
| 1 | Kataller Toyama | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | +13 | 38 |
| 1 |  Ventforet Kofu | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | +8 | 35 |
| 2 |  Blaublitz Akita | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 35 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 35 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +8 | 33 |
| 2 |  Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 31 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | +10 | 32 |
| 3 | Tokushima Vortis | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +14 | 32 |
| 3 |  Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +6 | 31 |
| 3 |  Iwaki | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 31 |
| 4 |  Omiya Ardija | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +10 | 30 |
| 4 |  Kochi United | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 30 |
| 4 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +2 | 29 |
| 4 |  Yokohama FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 29 |
| 5 | Fujieda MYFC | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | +4 | 30 |
| 5 |  Sagamihara | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 28 |
| 5 |  Ehime FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 28 |
| 5 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 |  FC Gifu | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 |  Kanazawa | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | -6 | 27 |
| 6 |  Gainare Tottori | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -4 | 27 |
| 6 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | +10 | 26 |
| 7 | Montedio Yamagata | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -5 | 22 |
| 7 |  Oita Trinita | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 |  Nara Club | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 21 |
| 8 | Jubilo Iwata | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -7 | 25 |
| 8 |  Biwako Shiga | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Tochigi City | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Osaka | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Imabari | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Fukushima United | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 18 |
| 9 |  FC Ryukyu | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -12 | 17 |
| 10 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 19 |
| 10 |  Tochigi SC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 18 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Kitakyushu | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 15 |
Team Insights
Albirex Niigata- ●Albirex Niigata failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Albirex Niigata have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Albirex Niigata have won their last 6 home matches.
- ●Albirex Niigata have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Albirex Niigata failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Albirex Niigata failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Albirex Niigata have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Albirex Niigata failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●80% of Albirex Niigata's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●78% of Albirex Niigata's points have been earned at home.
Tegevajaro Miyazaki- ●Tegevajaro Miyazaki have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Tegevajaro Miyazaki failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Tegevajaro Miyazaki have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Tegevajaro Miyazaki have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Tegevajaro Miyazaki failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Tegevajaro Miyazaki have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Tegevajaro Miyazaki failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Tegevajaro Miyazaki failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Albirex NiigataWHSagan Tosu2–1
Sagan Tosu2–1LAOita Trinita1–5
Oita Trinita1–5DAShonan Bellmare1–1
Shonan Bellmare1–1WHTokushima Vortis2–1
Tokushima Vortis2–1DABlaublitz Akita2–2
Blaublitz Akita2–2WHJubilo Iwata2–1
Jubilo Iwata2–1–HVegalta Sendai25/10
Vegalta Sendai25/10–HKataller Toyama31/10
Kataller Toyama31/10–AVentforet Kofu03/11
Ventforet Kofu03/11Tegevajaro MiyazakiWHBlaublitz Akita2–1
Blaublitz Akita2–1DHJubilo Iwata1–1
Jubilo Iwata1–1DAKataller Toyama1–1
Kataller Toyama1–1DHOmiya Ardija1–1
Omiya Ardija1–1WHConsadole Sapporo3–2
Consadole Sapporo3–2WAVanraure Hachinohe3–0
Vanraure Hachinohe3–0–AMontedio Yamagata25/10
Montedio Yamagata25/10–HOita Trinita31/10
Oita Trinita31/10–HTochigi City03/11
Tochigi City03/11Top Scorers
Albirex NiigataM. Moraes11 ⚽
Y. Wakatsuki5 ⚽
K. Shimabuku4 ⚽
K. Kasai4 ⚽
K. Kuwayama3 ⚽
J. Geria2 ⚽
Tegevajaro MiyazakiY. Toshida11 ⚽
K. Okumura9 ⚽
M. Ano4 ⚽
E. Watanabe4 ⚽
K. Matsumoto4 ⚽
R. Inoue4 ⚽
Cards Given
Albirex NiigataY. Onishi7 🟨
J. Geria4 🟨
J. Okumura4 🟨
M. Moraes4 🟨
K. Kasai3 🟨
Y. Funakoshi2 🟨
Tegevajaro MiyazakiY. Matsumoto6 🟨
R. Yamauchi5 🟨
E. Watanabe5 🟨
M. Ano4 🟨
K. Okumura4 🟨
H. Manabe2 🟨