Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata — J2 League
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Omiya Ardija and Montedio Yamagata meet in the J2 League 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Omiya Ardija have recorded 16 wins from 37 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.86 goals scored and 1.49 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 76% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Montedio Yamagata have won 33% of their 36 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.74 for Omiya Ardija and 1.24 for Montedio Yamagata. The models give Omiya Ardija a 51% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Montedio Yamagata win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Omiya Ardija—
Montedio Yamagata4º
Position
7º
1.61
PPG
1.11
50%
Win %
33%
2.11
Goals / game
1.11
1.56
Conceded / game
1.39
76%
BTTS %
44%
19%
Clean sheet %
25%
73%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Omiya Ardija
Home (9)
—
Montedio Yamagata
Away (9)
1.67
PPG
1.11
56%
Win %
33%
2.33
Goals / game
1.00
1.44
Conceded / game
1.44
61%
BTTS %
41%
28%
Clean sheet %
24%
78%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Omiya Ardija | Home | Away | Montedio Yamagata | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 84% | 95% | 67% | 74% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 58% | 47% | 33% | 37% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 26% | 32% | 21% | 11% | 11% | 12% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 16% | 5% | 33% | 26% | 41% |
Goals Conceded
| Omiya Ardija | Home | Away | Montedio Yamagata | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 74% | 89% | 75% | 74% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 53% | 47% | 44% | 53% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 5% | 21% | 11% | 11% | 12% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 26% | 11% | 25% | 26% | 24% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Omiya Ardija | Montedio Yamagata | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 74% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 8% |
| BTTS | 76% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 66% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Omiya Ardija | Montedio Yamagata | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 49% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 46% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 76% | 39% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 68% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Omiya Ardija (H)D
Yokohama FC2–2
Yokohama FC2–2L
Kataller Toyama0–3
Kataller Toyama0–3W
Vanraure Hachinohe3–1
Vanraure Hachinohe3–1W
Ventforet Kofu5–1
Ventforet Kofu5–1D
Oita Trinita0–0
Oita Trinita0–0D
Shonan Bellmare2–2
Shonan Bellmare2–2Montedio Yamagata (A)D
Fujieda MYFC0–0
Fujieda MYFC0–0LOita Trinita1–2
Oita Trinita1–2L
Albirex Niigata0–1
Albirex Niigata0–1W
Tochigi SC1–0
Tochigi SC1–0W
Imabari3–0
Imabari3–0LShonan Bellmare0–1
Shonan Bellmare0–1Head to Head · 15 matches
4
Omiya Ardija
27%
6
Draws
40%
5
Montedio Yamagata
33%
93%
Over 1.5
14/15
53%
Over 2.5
8/15
27%
Over 3.5
4/15
80%
BTTS
12/15
26/10/25Omiya Ardija
Montedio Yamagata
2–2Omiya Ardija15/02/25Montedio Yamagata
Omiya Ardija
2–1Montedio Yamagata03/09/23Omiya Ardija
Montedio Yamagata
1–1Omiya Ardija08/04/23Montedio Yamagata
Omiya Ardija
2–1Montedio Yamagata05/10/22Montedio Yamagata
Omiya Ardija
1–1Montedio Yamagata23/04/22Omiya Ardija
Montedio Yamagata
2–0Omiya Ardija14/11/21Omiya Ardija
Montedio Yamagata
2–2Omiya Ardija03/07/21Montedio Yamagata
Omiya Ardija
1–3Montedio Yamagata11/11/20Omiya Ardija
Montedio Yamagata
2–1Omiya Ardija13/09/20Montedio Yamagata
Omiya Ardija
1–1Montedio Yamagata01/12/19Montedio Yamagata
Omiya Ardija
0–2Montedio Yamagata04/08/19Montedio Yamagata
Omiya Ardija
3–2Montedio Yamagata17/03/19Omiya Ardija
Montedio Yamagata
1–0Omiya Ardija10/11/18Montedio Yamagata
Omiya Ardija
2–1Montedio Yamagata13/05/18Omiya Ardija
Montedio Yamagata
1–1Omiya Ardija| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | +24 | 47 |
| 1 |  Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | +17 | 43 |
| 1 | Kataller Toyama | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | +13 | 38 |
| 1 | Ventforet Kofu | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | +8 | 35 |
| 2 |  Blaublitz Akita | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 35 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 35 |
| 2 |  Kagoshima United | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +8 | 33 |
| 2 |  Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 31 |
| 3 |  Sagan Tosu | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | +10 | 32 |
| 3 |  Tokushima Vortis | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +14 | 32 |
| 3 | Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +6 | 31 |
| 3 |  Iwaki | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 31 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +10 | 30 |
| 4 |  Kochi United | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 30 |
| 4 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +2 | 29 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 29 |
| 5 | Fujieda MYFC | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | +4 | 30 |
| 5 |  Sagamihara | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 28 |
| 5 |  Ehime FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 28 |
| 5 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 |  FC Gifu | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 |  Kanazawa | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | -6 | 27 |
| 6 |  Gainare Tottori | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -4 | 27 |
| 6 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | +10 | 26 |
| 7 | Montedio Yamagata | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -5 | 22 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 |  Nara Club | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 21 |
| 8 |  Jubilo Iwata | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -7 | 25 |
| 8 |  Biwako Shiga | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Tochigi City | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Osaka | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 | Imabari | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Fukushima United | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 18 |
| 9 |  FC Ryukyu | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -12 | 17 |
| 10 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 19 |
| 10 | Tochigi SC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 18 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Kitakyushu | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 15 |
Team Insights
Omiya Ardija- ●Omiya Ardija have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Omiya Ardija failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Omiya Ardija have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Omiya Ardija failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Omiya Ardija failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Omiya Ardija have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Montedio Yamagata- ●Montedio Yamagata have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Montedio Yamagata have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Montedio Yamagata have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●64% of Montedio Yamagata's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Omiya ArdijaDHYokohama FC2–2
Yokohama FC2–2LHKataller Toyama0–3
Kataller Toyama0–3LASagan Tosu1–2
Sagan Tosu1–2WHVanraure Hachinohe3–1
Vanraure Hachinohe3–1DATegevajaro Miyazaki1–1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki1–1WHVentforet Kofu5–1
Ventforet Kofu5–1–AVegalta Sendai31/10
Vegalta Sendai31/10–HIwaki03/11
Iwaki03/11–ATochigi City08/11
Tochigi City08/11Montedio YamagataLHConsadole Sapporo0–2
Consadole Sapporo0–2DAFujieda MYFC0–0
Fujieda MYFC0–0LHVegalta Sendai0–1
Vegalta Sendai0–1LAOita Trinita1–2
Oita Trinita1–2WHSagan Tosu2–0
Sagan Tosu2–0LHKataller Toyama0–2
Kataller Toyama0–2–HTegevajaro Miyazaki25/10
Tegevajaro Miyazaki25/10–AVanraure Hachinohe31/10
Vanraure Hachinohe31/10–HTokushima Vortis03/11
Tokushima Vortis03/11Top Scorers
Omiya ArdijaT. Izumi16 ⚽
O. Yamamoto11 ⚽
Caprini11 ⚽
Carlinhos Junior8 ⚽
M. Kojima3 ⚽
H. Kato3 ⚽
Montedio YamagataJ. Takahashi10 ⚽
A. S. Disaro4 ⚽
T. Terayama3 ⚽
R. Kida3 ⚽
K. Mori2 ⚽
R. Yokoyama2 ⚽
Cards Given
Omiya ArdijaY. Toyokawa5 🟨
Kaua Diniz4 🟨
G. Kato4 🟨
Caprini3 🟨
H. Kato3 🟨
K. Sugimoto3 🟨
Montedio YamagataR. Nakamura6 🟨
A. S. Disaro6 🟨
K. Yanagimachi4 🟨
K. Nishimura4 🟨
J. Takahashi3 🟨
K. Sakamoto3 🟨