Iwaki vs Kataller Toyama — J2 League
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Iwaki and Kataller Toyama meet in the J2 League 2026 season on 25 November 2026. Iwaki have recorded 16 wins from 39 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.36 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 49%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Kataller Toyama have won 53% of their 38 matches, with 1.84 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 34%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for Iwaki and 1.51 for Kataller Toyama. The models give Iwaki a 36% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Kataller Toyama win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Iwaki—
Kataller Toyama3º
Position
2º
1.50
PPG
1.87
39%
Win %
53%
1.22
Goals / game
1.80
1.00
Conceded / game
0.93
56%
BTTS %
55%
26%
Clean sheet %
34%
49%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Iwaki
Home (9)
—
Kataller Toyama
Away (7)
1.56
PPG
2.57
44%
Win %
86%
1.56
Goals / game
2.14
1.22
Conceded / game
0.71
41%
BTTS %
58%
41%
Clean sheet %
32%
29%
Over 2.5 %
68%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Iwaki | Home | Away | Kataller Toyama | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 82% | 73% | 84% | 79% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 35% | 36% | 55% | 47% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 12% | 23% | 26% | 21% | 32% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 18% | 27% | 16% | 21% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| Iwaki | Home | Away | Kataller Toyama | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 59% | 86% | 66% | 63% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 18% | 45% | 34% | 37% | 32% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 6% | 18% | 16% | 16% | 16% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 41% | 14% | 34% | 37% | 32% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Iwaki | Kataller Toyama | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 21% |
| BTTS | 56% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Iwaki | Kataller Toyama | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 28% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 37% |
| Loss 1st Half | 28% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 37% |
Recent Venue Form
Iwaki (H)D
Jubilo Iwata1–1
Jubilo Iwata1–1W
Ventforet Kofu5–0
Ventforet Kofu5–0W
Blaublitz Akita1–0
Blaublitz Akita1–0L
Vegalta Sendai0–2
Vegalta Sendai0–2W
Yokohama FC2–0
Yokohama FC2–0L
Albirex Niigata2–3
Albirex Niigata2–3Kataller Toyama (A)WAlbirex Niigata3–2
Albirex Niigata3–2W
Omiya Ardija3–0
Omiya Ardija3–0WVentforet Kofu2–1
Ventforet Kofu2–1W
Montedio Yamagata2–0
Montedio Yamagata2–0WJubilo Iwata1–0
Jubilo Iwata1–0W
Tegevajaro Miyazaki2–1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki2–1Head to Head · 4 matches
2
Iwaki
50%
2
Draws
50%
0
Kataller Toyama
0%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
100%
BTTS
4/4
21/06/25Kataller Toyama
Iwaki
3–1Kataller Toyama20/04/25Iwaki
Kataller Toyama
1–2Iwaki30/07/22Iwaki
Kataller Toyama
1–1Iwaki03/04/22Kataller Toyama
Iwaki
1–1Kataller Toyama| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | +24 | 47 |
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | +17 | 43 |
| 1 | Kataller Toyama | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | +13 | 38 |
| 1 | Ventforet Kofu | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | +8 | 35 |
| 2 | Blaublitz Akita | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 35 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 35 |
| 2 |  Kagoshima United | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +8 | 33 |
| 2 |  Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 31 |
| 3 |  Sagan Tosu | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | +10 | 32 |
| 3 |  Tokushima Vortis | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +14 | 32 |
| 3 |  Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +6 | 31 |
| 3 | Iwaki | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 31 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +10 | 30 |
| 4 |  Kochi United | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 30 |
| 4 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +2 | 29 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 29 |
| 5 |  Fujieda MYFC | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | +4 | 30 |
| 5 |  Sagamihara | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 28 |
| 5 |  Ehime FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 28 |
| 5 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 |  FC Gifu | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 |  Kanazawa | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | -6 | 27 |
| 6 |  Gainare Tottori | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -4 | 27 |
| 6 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | +10 | 26 |
| 7 | Montedio Yamagata | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -5 | 22 |
| 7 |  Oita Trinita | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 |  Nara Club | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 21 |
| 8 | Jubilo Iwata | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -7 | 25 |
| 8 |  Biwako Shiga | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Tochigi City | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Osaka | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 |  Vanraure Hachinohe | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Imabari | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Fukushima United | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 18 |
| 9 |  FC Ryukyu | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -12 | 17 |
| 10 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 19 |
| 10 |  Tochigi SC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 18 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Kitakyushu | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 15 |
Team Insights
Iwaki- ●Iwaki have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Iwaki have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Iwaki failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Iwaki have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Iwaki have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Iwaki have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Iwaki failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Iwaki have lost 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Iwaki have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●68% of Iwaki's goals conceded were conceded away.
Kataller Toyama- ●Kataller Toyama have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Kataller Toyama have won their last 6 away matches.
- ●Kataller Toyama have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Kataller Toyama have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Kataller Toyama have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Kataller Toyama have won 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Kataller Toyama have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●64% of Kataller Toyama's points have been earned away.
- ●Kataller Toyama have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
IwakiLAOmiya Ardija1–2
Omiya Ardija1–2WATochigi City3–1
Tochigi City3–1DHJubilo Iwata1–1
Jubilo Iwata1–1DAShonan Bellmare1–1
Shonan Bellmare1–1WHVentforet Kofu5–0
Ventforet Kofu5–0WHBlaublitz Akita1–0
Blaublitz Akita1–0–HMontedio Yamagata07/11
Montedio Yamagata07/11–AVanraure Hachinohe15/11
Vanraure Hachinohe15/11–ATegevajaro Miyazaki21/11
Tegevajaro Miyazaki21/11Kataller ToyamaWHVegalta Sendai1–0
Vegalta Sendai1–0WAAlbirex Niigata3–2
Albirex Niigata3–2LHConsadole Sapporo0–1
Consadole Sapporo0–1WAOmiya Ardija3–0
Omiya Ardija3–0DHShonan Bellmare1–1
Shonan Bellmare1–1DHTegevajaro Miyazaki1–1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki1–1–ASagan Tosu07/11
Sagan Tosu07/11–HTokushima Vortis15/11
Tokushima Vortis15/11–HOita Trinita21/11
Oita Trinita21/11Top Scorers
IwakiA. Yamanaka8 ⚽
T. Kato7 ⚽
N. Kumata6 ⚽
Y. Takahashi5 ⚽
D. Yamaguchi4 ⚽
Y. Michiwaki4 ⚽
Kataller ToyamaM. Furukawa11 ⚽
T. Yoshihira8 ⚽
K. Tsuboi7 ⚽
A. Kameda6 ⚽
T. Kim6 ⚽
S. Fuseya3 ⚽
Cards Given
IwakiY. Takahashi7 🟨
A. Yamanaka7 🟨
K. Shota4 🟨
H. Nakano4 🟨
D. Yamaguchi4 🟨
K. Fujii4 🟨
Kataller ToyamaS. Fuseya7 🟨
T. Kim7 🟨
Jung Woo-Young6 🟨
S. Okamoto5 🟨
S. Fukazawa5 🟨
T. Yoshihira4 🟨