Shonan Bellmare vs Kataller Toyama — J2 League
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Shonan Bellmare and Kataller Toyama meet in the J2 League 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Shonan Bellmare have recorded 15 wins from 40 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Kataller Toyama have won 53% of their 38 matches, with 1.84 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 34%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.14 for Shonan Bellmare and 1.55 for Kataller Toyama. The models give Shonan Bellmare a 32% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Kataller Toyama win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Shonan Bellmare—
Kataller Toyama3º
Position
2º
1.56
PPG
1.87
44%
Win %
53%
1.39
Goals / game
1.80
1.06
Conceded / game
0.93
60%
BTTS %
55%
25%
Clean sheet %
34%
40%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Shonan Bellmare
Home (9)
—
Kataller Toyama
Away (7)
1.11
PPG
2.57
33%
Win %
86%
1.22
Goals / game
2.14
1.22
Conceded / game
0.71
61%
BTTS %
58%
22%
Clean sheet %
32%
44%
Over 2.5 %
68%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Shonan Bellmare | Home | Away | Kataller Toyama | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 83% | 82% | 84% | 79% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 17% | 32% | 55% | 47% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 6% | 18% | 26% | 21% | 32% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 21% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| Shonan Bellmare | Home | Away | Kataller Toyama | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 78% | 73% | 66% | 63% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 33% | 18% | 34% | 37% | 32% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 6% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 16% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 22% | 27% | 34% | 37% | 32% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Shonan Bellmare | Kataller Toyama | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 21% |
| BTTS | 60% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Shonan Bellmare | Kataller Toyama | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 37% |
| Loss 1st Half | 37% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 37% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 39% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 37% |
Recent Venue Form
Shonan Bellmare (H)L
Sagan Tosu0–1
Sagan Tosu0–1W
Tochigi City2–1
Tochigi City2–1D
Iwaki1–1
Iwaki1–1D
Albirex Niigata1–1
Albirex Niigata1–1D
Blaublitz Akita1–1
Blaublitz Akita1–1L
Vegalta Sendai1–3
Vegalta Sendai1–3Kataller Toyama (A)WAlbirex Niigata3–2
Albirex Niigata3–2W
Omiya Ardija3–0
Omiya Ardija3–0W
Ventforet Kofu2–1
Ventforet Kofu2–1W
Montedio Yamagata2–0
Montedio Yamagata2–0W
Jubilo Iwata1–0
Jubilo Iwata1–0W
Tegevajaro Miyazaki2–1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki2–1Head to Head · 5 matches
4
Shonan Bellmare
80%
1
Draws
20%
0
Kataller Toyama
0%
60%
Over 1.5
3/5
0%
Over 2.5
0/5
0%
Over 3.5
0/5
20%
BTTS
1/5
17/10/26Shonan Bellmare
Kataller Toyama
1–1Shonan Bellmare26/07/14Kataller Toyama
Shonan Bellmare
2–0Kataller Toyama07/06/14Shonan Bellmare
Kataller Toyama
0–1Shonan Bellmare28/10/12Shonan Bellmare
Kataller Toyama
0–2Shonan Bellmare09/06/12Kataller Toyama
Shonan Bellmare
1–0Kataller Toyama| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | +24 | 47 |
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | +17 | 43 |
| 1 | Kataller Toyama | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | +13 | 38 |
| 1 | Ventforet Kofu | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | +8 | 35 |
| 2 | Blaublitz Akita | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 35 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 35 |
| 2 |  Kagoshima United | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +8 | 33 |
| 2 |  Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 31 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | +10 | 32 |
| 3 |  Tokushima Vortis | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +14 | 32 |
| 3 | Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +6 | 31 |
| 3 | Iwaki | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 31 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +10 | 30 |
| 4 |  Kochi United | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 30 |
| 4 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +2 | 29 |
| 4 |  Yokohama FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 29 |
| 5 |  Fujieda MYFC | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | +4 | 30 |
| 5 |  Sagamihara | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 28 |
| 5 |  Ehime FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 28 |
| 5 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 |  FC Gifu | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 |  Kanazawa | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | -6 | 27 |
| 6 |  Gainare Tottori | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -4 | 27 |
| 6 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | +10 | 26 |
| 7 | Montedio Yamagata | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -5 | 22 |
| 7 |  Oita Trinita | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 |  Nara Club | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 21 |
| 8 | Jubilo Iwata | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -7 | 25 |
| 8 |  Biwako Shiga | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 | Tochigi City | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Osaka | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 |  Vanraure Hachinohe | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Imabari | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Fukushima United | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 18 |
| 9 |  FC Ryukyu | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -12 | 17 |
| 10 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 19 |
| 10 |  Tochigi SC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 18 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Kitakyushu | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 15 |
Team Insights
Shonan Bellmare- ●Shonan Bellmare failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Shonan Bellmare failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Shonan Bellmare failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Shonan Bellmare have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Shonan Bellmare have won 3 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Shonan Bellmare have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
Kataller Toyama- ●Kataller Toyama have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Kataller Toyama have won their last 6 away matches.
- ●Kataller Toyama have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Kataller Toyama have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Kataller Toyama have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Kataller Toyama have won 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Kataller Toyama have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●64% of Kataller Toyama's points have been earned away.
- ●Kataller Toyama have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Shonan BellmareLHSagan Tosu0–1
Sagan Tosu0–1LAConsadole Sapporo0–1
Consadole Sapporo0–1WHTochigi City2–1
Tochigi City2–1DHIwaki1–1
Iwaki1–1DAKataller Toyama1–1
Kataller Toyama1–1DHAlbirex Niigata1–1
Albirex Niigata1–1–AJubilo Iwata08/11
Jubilo Iwata08/11–HYokohama FC14/11
Yokohama FC14/11–ATokushima Vortis22/11
Tokushima Vortis22/11Kataller ToyamaWHVegalta Sendai1–0
Vegalta Sendai1–0WAAlbirex Niigata3–2
Albirex Niigata3–2LHConsadole Sapporo0–1
Consadole Sapporo0–1WAOmiya Ardija3–0
Omiya Ardija3–0DHShonan Bellmare1–1
Shonan Bellmare1–1DHTegevajaro Miyazaki1–1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki1–1–ASagan Tosu07/11
Sagan Tosu07/11–HTokushima Vortis15/11
Tokushima Vortis15/11–HOita Trinita21/11
Oita Trinita21/11Top Scorers
Shonan BellmareH. Yamada12 ⚽
H. Okuno6 ⚽
T. Nishino4 ⚽
K. Watanabe3 ⚽
H. Ishii2 ⚽
H. Matsumura2 ⚽
Kataller ToyamaM. Furukawa11 ⚽
T. Yoshihira8 ⚽
K. Tsuboi7 ⚽
A. Kameda6 ⚽
T. Kim6 ⚽
S. Fuseya3 ⚽
Cards Given
Shonan BellmareArthur Feitoza6 🟨
K. Watanabe6 🟨
M. Ikeda5 🟨
S. Takeda4 🟨
K. Onose4 🟨
Y. Fukazawa4 🟨
Kataller ToyamaS. Fuseya7 🟨
T. Kim7 🟨
Jung Woo-Young6 🟨
S. Okamoto5 🟨
S. Fukazawa5 🟨
T. Yoshihira4 🟨