Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Sagan Tosu — J2 League
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Tegevajaro Miyazaki and Sagan Tosu meet in the J2 League 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Tegevajaro Miyazaki have recorded 24 wins from 39 matches this season (62% win rate), averaging 1.64 goals scored and 0.87 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 41% of games. Sagan Tosu have won 49% of their 43 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 37%, and clean sheets at 37%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 0.88 for Sagan Tosu. The models give Tegevajaro Miyazaki a 51% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Sagan Tosu win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Tegevajaro Miyazaki—
Sagan Tosu6º
Position
12º
1.73
PPG
1.33
47%
Win %
40%
1.60
Goals / game
1.00
1.07
Conceded / game
1.13
46%
BTTS %
42%
41%
Clean sheet %
37%
44%
Over 2.5 %
37%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Home (9)
—
Sagan Tosu
Away (8)
2.00
PPG
0.63
56%
Win %
13%
1.67
Goals / game
0.50
0.89
Conceded / game
1.25
50%
BTTS %
35%
45%
Clean sheet %
35%
55%
Over 2.5 %
30%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | Home | Away | Sagan Tosu | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 90% | 79% | 77% | 87% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 49% | 55% | 42% | 42% | 52% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 26% | 30% | 21% | 9% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 10% | 21% | 23% | 13% | 35% |
Goals Conceded
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | Home | Away | Sagan Tosu | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 59% | 55% | 63% | 63% | 61% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 20% | 26% | 30% | 22% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 3% | 0% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 5% |
| Clean Sheets | 41% | 45% | 37% | 37% | 39% | 35% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | Sagan Tosu | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 98% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 37% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 5% |
| BTTS | 46% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | Sagan Tosu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 51% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 54% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 15% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 31% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Tegevajaro Miyazaki (H)W
Tochigi City3–0
Tochigi City3–0W
Oita Trinita2–0
Oita Trinita2–0W
Blaublitz Akita2–1
Blaublitz Akita2–1D
Jubilo Iwata1–1
Jubilo Iwata1–1D
Omiya Ardija1–1
Omiya Ardija1–1W
Consadole Sapporo3–2
Consadole Sapporo3–2Sagan Tosu (A)W
Shonan Bellmare1–0
Shonan Bellmare1–0LJubilo Iwata0–2
Jubilo Iwata0–2L
Albirex Niigata1–2
Albirex Niigata1–2LBlaublitz Akita0–1
Blaublitz Akita0–1L
Montedio Yamagata0–2
Montedio Yamagata0–2L
Vissel Kobe0–1
Vissel Kobe0–1Head to Head · 4 matches
1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
25%
1
Draws
25%
2
Sagan Tosu
50%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
05/09/26Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Sagan Tosu
2–0Tegevajaro Miyazaki02/05/26Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Sagan Tosu
1–1Tegevajaro Miyazaki21/02/26Sagan Tosu
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2–1Sagan Tosu07/06/23Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Sagan Tosu
5–1Tegevajaro Miyazaki| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | +24 | 47 |
| 1 |  Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | +17 | 43 |
| 1 |  Kataller Toyama | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | +13 | 38 |
| 1 |  Ventforet Kofu | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | +8 | 35 |
| 2 | Blaublitz Akita | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 35 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 35 |
| 2 |  Kagoshima United | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +8 | 33 |
| 2 | Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 31 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | +10 | 32 |
| 3 |  Tokushima Vortis | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +14 | 32 |
| 3 | Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +6 | 31 |
| 3 |  Iwaki | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 31 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +10 | 30 |
| 4 |  Kochi United | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 30 |
| 4 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +2 | 29 |
| 4 |  Yokohama FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 29 |
| 5 |  Fujieda MYFC | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | +4 | 30 |
| 5 |  Sagamihara | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 28 |
| 5 |  Ehime FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 28 |
| 5 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 |  FC Gifu | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 |  Kanazawa | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | -6 | 27 |
| 6 |  Gainare Tottori | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -4 | 27 |
| 6 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | +10 | 26 |
| 7 | Montedio Yamagata | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -5 | 22 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 |  Nara Club | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 21 |
| 8 | Jubilo Iwata | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -7 | 25 |
| 8 |  Biwako Shiga | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 | Tochigi City | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Osaka | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 |  Vanraure Hachinohe | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Imabari | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Fukushima United | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 18 |
| 9 |  FC Ryukyu | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -12 | 17 |
| 10 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 19 |
| 10 |  Tochigi SC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 18 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Kitakyushu | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 15 |
Team Insights
Tegevajaro Miyazaki- ●Tegevajaro Miyazaki have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Tegevajaro Miyazaki have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Tegevajaro Miyazaki have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Tegevajaro Miyazaki have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Tegevajaro Miyazaki have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Tegevajaro Miyazaki have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Tegevajaro Miyazaki have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Tegevajaro Miyazaki have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Tegevajaro Miyazaki failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Tegevajaro Miyazaki have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●63% of Tegevajaro Miyazaki's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Tegevajaro Miyazaki have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Sagan Tosu- ●Sagan Tosu have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Sagan Tosu have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Sagan Tosu have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Sagan Tosu have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Sagan Tosu failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Sagan Tosu have lost 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●73% of Sagan Tosu's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Sagan Tosu's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Tegevajaro MiyazakiWHTochigi City3–0
Tochigi City3–0WHOita Trinita2–0
Oita Trinita2–0WAMontedio Yamagata2–0
Montedio Yamagata2–0WHBlaublitz Akita2–1
Blaublitz Akita2–1DHJubilo Iwata1–1
Jubilo Iwata1–1DAKataller Toyama1–1
Kataller Toyama1–1–ATokushima Vortis07/11
Tokushima Vortis07/11–AAlbirex Niigata14/11
Albirex Niigata14/11–HIwaki21/11
Iwaki21/11Sagan TosuWAShonan Bellmare1–0
Shonan Bellmare1–0LAJubilo Iwata0–2
Jubilo Iwata0–2WHVanraure Hachinohe2–0
Vanraure Hachinohe2–0LAAlbirex Niigata1–2
Albirex Niigata1–2WHOmiya Ardija2–1
Omiya Ardija2–1WHFujieda MYFC1–0
Fujieda MYFC1–0–HKataller Toyama07/11
Kataller Toyama07/11–AConsadole Sapporo15/11
Consadole Sapporo15/11–HVegalta Sendai21/11
Vegalta Sendai21/11Top Scorers
Tegevajaro MiyazakiY. Toshida11 ⚽
K. Okumura10 ⚽
K. Matsumoto7 ⚽
K. Murakoshi5 ⚽
M. Ano4 ⚽
E. Watanabe4 ⚽
Sagan TosuR. Shiohama6 ⚽
K. Nishizawa5 ⚽
K. Yoshino4 ⚽
T. Takahashi4 ⚽
D. Suzuki3 ⚽
K. Sakamoto3 ⚽
Cards Given
Tegevajaro MiyazakiY. Matsumoto6 🟨
R. Yamauchi5 🟨
E. Watanabe5 🟨
M. Ano4 🟨
K. Okumura4 🟨
Y. Iesaka3 🟨
Sagan TosuK. Nishizawa4 🟨
S. Nagasawa4 🟨
N. Matsumoto3 🟨
K. Kamiyama3 🟨
N. Sakai3 🟨
S. Ogawa2 🟨