Oita Trinita vs Tokushima Vortis — J2 League
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Oita Trinita and Tokushima Vortis meet in the J2 League 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Oita Trinita have recorded 14 wins from 40 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.02 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 35%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Tokushima Vortis have won 45% of their 38 matches, with 1.45 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 34%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 47%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Oita Trinita and 0.96 for Tokushima Vortis. The models give Oita Trinita a 49% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Tokushima Vortis win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Oita Trinita—
Tokushima Vortis8º
Position
15º
1.47
PPG
1.13
33%
Win %
33%
1.20
Goals / game
0.73
0.80
Conceded / game
1.00
40%
BTTS %
34%
40%
Clean sheet %
47%
35%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Oita Trinita
Home (8)
—
Tokushima Vortis
Away (8)
1.88
PPG
0.88
50%
Win %
25%
1.88
Goals / game
0.63
0.88
Conceded / game
1.38
50%
BTTS %
37%
35%
Clean sheet %
42%
35%
Over 2.5 %
58%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Oita Trinita | Home | Away | Tokushima Vortis | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 65% | 80% | 50% | 74% | 79% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 40% | 20% | 32% | 37% | 26% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 15% | 15% | 21% | 26% | 16% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 20% | 50% | 26% | 21% | 32% |
Goals Conceded
| Oita Trinita | Home | Away | Tokushima Vortis | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 65% | 55% | 53% | 47% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 28% | 20% | 35% | 34% | 21% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 10% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 35% | 45% | 47% | 53% | 42% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Oita Trinita | Tokushima Vortis | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 35% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS | 40% | 34% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 5% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 32% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 24% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Oita Trinita | Tokushima Vortis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 34% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 34% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 32% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 37% | 34% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 61% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 21% | 34% |
Recent Venue Form
Oita Trinita (H)W
Vanraure Hachinohe1–0
Vanraure Hachinohe1–0D
Ventforet Kofu1–1
Ventforet Kofu1–1W
Albirex Niigata5–1
Albirex Niigata5–1W
Montedio Yamagata2–1
Montedio Yamagata2–1D
Fujieda MYFC1–1
Fujieda MYFC1–1D
Imabari1–1
Imabari1–1Tokushima Vortis (A)LMontedio Yamagata0–1
Montedio Yamagata0–1WFujieda MYFC1–0
Fujieda MYFC1–0D
Vegalta Sendai0–0
Vegalta Sendai0–0LAlbirex Niigata1–2
Albirex Niigata1–2L
Gamba Osaka0–5
Gamba Osaka0–5WVentforet Kofu1–0
Ventforet Kofu1–0Head to Head · 21 matches
4
Oita Trinita
19%
8
Draws
38%
9
Tokushima Vortis
43%
62%
Over 1.5
13/21
33%
Over 2.5
7/21
19%
Over 3.5
4/21
48%
BTTS
10/21
29/08/26Oita Trinita
Tokushima Vortis
1–0Oita Trinita21/06/25Oita Trinita
Tokushima Vortis
2–0Oita Trinita13/04/25Tokushima Vortis
Oita Trinita
1–1Tokushima Vortis14/09/24Oita Trinita
Tokushima Vortis
3–1Oita Trinita01/06/24Tokushima Vortis
Oita Trinita
1–2Tokushima Vortis16/09/23Tokushima Vortis
Oita Trinita
3–3Tokushima Vortis19/02/23Oita Trinita
Tokushima Vortis
1–2Oita Trinita14/08/22Oita Trinita
Tokushima Vortis
2–2Oita Trinita10/04/22Tokushima Vortis
Oita Trinita
1–0Tokushima Vortis23/10/21Oita Trinita
Tokushima Vortis
1–1Oita Trinita05/05/21Tokushima Vortis
Oita Trinita
1–1Tokushima Vortis27/03/21Oita Trinita
Tokushima Vortis
0–1Oita Trinita27/02/21Tokushima Vortis
Oita Trinita
1–1Tokushima Vortis25/08/18Tokushima Vortis
Oita Trinita
0–1Tokushima Vortis30/06/18Oita Trinita
Tokushima Vortis
3–0Oita Trinita11/11/17Oita Trinita
Tokushima Vortis
1–0Oita Trinita18/03/17Tokushima Vortis
Oita Trinita
0–1Tokushima Vortis22/07/15Oita Trinita
Tokushima Vortis
1–0Oita Trinita03/05/15Tokushima Vortis
Oita Trinita
1–1Tokushima Vortis05/08/12Oita Trinita
Tokushima Vortis
0–4Oita Trinita| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | +24 | 47 |
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | +17 | 43 |
| 1 |  Kataller Toyama | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | +13 | 38 |
| 1 | Ventforet Kofu | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | +8 | 35 |
| 2 |  Blaublitz Akita | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 35 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 35 |
| 2 |  Kagoshima United | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +8 | 33 |
| 2 |  Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 31 |
| 3 |  Sagan Tosu | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | +10 | 32 |
| 3 | Tokushima Vortis | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +14 | 32 |
| 3 |  Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +6 | 31 |
| 3 |  Iwaki | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 31 |
| 4 |  Omiya Ardija | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +10 | 30 |
| 4 |  Kochi United | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 30 |
| 4 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +2 | 29 |
| 4 |  Yokohama FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 29 |
| 5 | Fujieda MYFC | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | +4 | 30 |
| 5 |  Sagamihara | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 28 |
| 5 |  Ehime FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 28 |
| 5 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 |  FC Gifu | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 |  Kanazawa | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | -6 | 27 |
| 6 |  Gainare Tottori | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -4 | 27 |
| 6 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | +10 | 26 |
| 7 | Montedio Yamagata | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -5 | 22 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 |  Nara Club | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 21 |
| 8 |  Jubilo Iwata | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -7 | 25 |
| 8 |  Biwako Shiga | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Tochigi City | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Osaka | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 | Imabari | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Fukushima United | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 18 |
| 9 |  FC Ryukyu | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -12 | 17 |
| 10 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 19 |
| 10 |  Tochigi SC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 18 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Kitakyushu | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 15 |
Team Insights
Oita Trinita- ●Oita Trinita have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Oita Trinita have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Oita Trinita failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Oita Trinita have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Oita Trinita have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●83% of Oita Trinita's goals have been scored at home.
Tokushima Vortis- ●Tokushima Vortis have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Tokushima Vortis have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Tokushima Vortis have lost 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●73% of Tokushima Vortis's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Tokushima Vortis have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Tokushima Vortis have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Oita TrinitaWHVanraure Hachinohe1–0
Vanraure Hachinohe1–0LATegevajaro Miyazaki0–2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–2DHVentforet Kofu1–1
Ventforet Kofu1–1DAJubilo Iwata0–0
Jubilo Iwata0–0WHAlbirex Niigata5–1
Albirex Niigata5–1WAYokohama FC2–1
Yokohama FC2–1–ABlaublitz Akita07/11
Blaublitz Akita07/11–HTochigi City14/11
Tochigi City14/11–AKataller Toyama21/11
Kataller Toyama21/11Tokushima VortisLAMontedio Yamagata0–1
Montedio Yamagata0–1LHYokohama FC0–1
Yokohama FC0–1WAFujieda MYFC1–0
Fujieda MYFC1–0LHVanraure Hachinohe0–1
Vanraure Hachinohe0–1DAVegalta Sendai0–0
Vegalta Sendai0–0LHImabari1–2
Imabari1–2–HTegevajaro Miyazaki07/11
Tegevajaro Miyazaki07/11–AKataller Toyama15/11
Kataller Toyama15/11–HShonan Bellmare22/11
Shonan Bellmare22/11Top Scorers
Oita TrinitaKim Hyun-woo6 ⚽
S. Utsumoto6 ⚽
K. Arima5 ⚽
Patrick Verhon3 ⚽
M. Kimoto3 ⚽
Y. Nishimura3 ⚽
Tokushima VortisLucas Barcelos11 ⚽
Thonny Anderson8 ⚽
Y. Takagi7 ⚽
Y. Kajiya5 ⚽
J. Miyazaki5 ⚽
T. Sugimoto5 ⚽
Cards Given
Oita TrinitaMatheus Pereira7 🟨
T. Kimoto4 🟨
I. Oda3 🟨
I. Tone3 🟨
M. Kimoto3 🟨
Y. Misao3 🟨
Tokushima VortisThonny Anderson8 🟨
N. Kanuma6 🟨
K. Iwao5 🟨
Lucas Barcelos5 🟨
Kaique4 🟨
T. Sugimoto4 🟨