Montedio Yamagata vs Iwaki — J2 League
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Montedio Yamagata and Iwaki meet in the J2 League 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Montedio Yamagata have recorded 14 wins from 40 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Iwaki have won 43% of their 40 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 48%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.30 for Montedio Yamagata and 1.36 for Iwaki. The models give Montedio Yamagata a 35% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Iwaki win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Montedio Yamagata—
Iwaki7º
Position
3º
1.11
PPG
1.50
33%
Win %
39%
1.11
Goals / game
1.22
1.39
Conceded / game
1.00
43%
BTTS %
55%
25%
Clean sheet %
28%
45%
Over 2.5 %
48%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Montedio Yamagata
Home (9)
—
Iwaki
Away (9)
1.11
PPG
1.44
33%
Win %
33%
1.22
Goals / game
1.44
1.33
Conceded / game
1.22
43%
BTTS %
68%
29%
Clean sheet %
14%
43%
Over 2.5 %
64%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Montedio Yamagata | Home | Away | Iwaki | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 65% | 71% | 58% | 78% | 83% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 33% | 32% | 38% | 39% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 10% | 11% | 18% | 11% | 23% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 29% | 42% | 23% | 17% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Montedio Yamagata | Home | Away | Iwaki | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 71% | 79% | 73% | 56% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 52% | 37% | 33% | 17% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 6% | 18% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 29% | 21% | 28% | 44% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Montedio Yamagata | Iwaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 13% |
| BTTS | 43% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 5% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Montedio Yamagata | Iwaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 28% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 28% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 48% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Montedio Yamagata (H)W
Tokushima Vortis1–0
Tokushima Vortis1–0L
Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–2L
Consadole Sapporo0–2
Consadole Sapporo0–2L
Vegalta Sendai0–1
Vegalta Sendai0–1L
Yokohama F. Marinos1–2
Yokohama F. Marinos1–2W
Sagan Tosu2–0
Sagan Tosu2–0Iwaki (A)L
Omiya Ardija1–2
Omiya Ardija1–2W
Tochigi City3–1
Tochigi City3–1D
Shonan Bellmare1–1
Shonan Bellmare1–1L
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–4LConsadole Sapporo1–2
Consadole Sapporo1–2WSagan Tosu3–1
Sagan Tosu3–1Head to Head · 7 matches
4
Montedio Yamagata
57%
1
Draws
14%
2
Iwaki
29%
57%
Over 1.5
4/7
43%
Over 2.5
3/7
14%
Over 3.5
1/7
29%
BTTS
2/7
07/11/26Montedio Yamagata
Iwaki
2–0Montedio Yamagata16/08/25Iwaki
Montedio Yamagata
1–0Iwaki12/04/25Montedio Yamagata
Iwaki
0–1Montedio Yamagata14/07/24Iwaki
Montedio Yamagata
1–2Iwaki24/03/24Montedio Yamagata
Iwaki
0–0Montedio Yamagata04/11/23Montedio Yamagata
Iwaki
1–3Montedio Yamagata11/06/23Iwaki
Montedio Yamagata
3–0Iwaki| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | +24 | 47 |
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | +17 | 43 |
| 1 |  Kataller Toyama | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | +13 | 38 |
| 1 |  Ventforet Kofu | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | +8 | 35 |
| 2 |  Blaublitz Akita | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 35 |
| 2 |  Albirex Niigata | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 35 |
| 2 |  Kagoshima United | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +8 | 33 |
| 2 | Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 31 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | +10 | 32 |
| 3 | Tokushima Vortis | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +14 | 32 |
| 3 | Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +6 | 31 |
| 3 | Iwaki | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 31 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +10 | 30 |
| 4 |  Kochi United | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +2 | 30 |
| 4 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +2 | 29 |
| 4 |  Yokohama FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 29 |
| 5 |  Fujieda MYFC | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | +4 | 30 |
| 5 |  Sagamihara | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 28 |
| 5 |  Ehime FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +7 | 28 |
| 5 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 |  FC Gifu | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 |  Kanazawa | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | -6 | 27 |
| 6 |  Gainare Tottori | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -4 | 27 |
| 6 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | +10 | 26 |
| 7 | Montedio Yamagata | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -5 | 22 |
| 7 |  Oita Trinita | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 |  Nara Club | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 21 |
| 8 |  Jubilo Iwata | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -7 | 25 |
| 8 |  Biwako Shiga | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 | Tochigi City | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -13 | 21 |
| 8 |  Osaka | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 |  Vanraure Hachinohe | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Imabari | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Fukushima United | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 18 |
| 9 |  FC Ryukyu | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -12 | 17 |
| 10 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -18 | 19 |
| 10 |  Tochigi SC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 18 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Kitakyushu | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -15 | 15 |
Team Insights
Montedio Yamagata- ●Montedio Yamagata have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Montedio Yamagata have lost 5 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Montedio Yamagata failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
Iwaki- ●Iwaki have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Iwaki have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Iwaki have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Iwaki failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Iwaki have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Iwaki have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Iwaki have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Iwaki failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Iwaki have lost 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Iwaki have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●68% of Iwaki's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Montedio YamagataLAIwaki0–2
Iwaki0–2WHTokushima Vortis1–0
Tokushima Vortis1–0WAVanraure Hachinohe2–1
Vanraure Hachinohe2–1LHTegevajaro Miyazaki0–2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–2LHConsadole Sapporo0–2
Consadole Sapporo0–2DAFujieda MYFC0–0
Fujieda MYFC0–0–AOmiya Ardija14/11
Omiya Ardija14/11–ABlaublitz Akita21/11
Blaublitz Akita21/11–HJubilo Iwata25/11
Jubilo Iwata25/11IwakiWHMontedio Yamagata2–0
Montedio Yamagata2–0LAOmiya Ardija1–2
Omiya Ardija1–2WATochigi City3–1
Tochigi City3–1DHJubilo Iwata1–1
Jubilo Iwata1–1DAShonan Bellmare1–1
Shonan Bellmare1–1WHVentforet Kofu5–0
Ventforet Kofu5–0–AVanraure Hachinohe15/11
Vanraure Hachinohe15/11–ATegevajaro Miyazaki21/11
Tegevajaro Miyazaki21/11–HKataller Toyama25/11
Kataller Toyama25/11Top Scorers
Montedio YamagataJ. Takahashi12 ⚽
A. S. Disaro4 ⚽
R. Kida3 ⚽
T. Terayama3 ⚽
K. Mori2 ⚽
R. Kawana2 ⚽
IwakiA. Yamanaka8 ⚽
T. Kato7 ⚽
N. Kumata6 ⚽
Y. Takahashi5 ⚽
Y. Michiwaki5 ⚽
K. Shota4 ⚽
Cards Given
Montedio YamagataR. Nakamura6 🟨
A. S. Disaro6 🟨
K. Yanagimachi5 🟨
K. Nishimura4 🟨
K. Sakamoto3 🟨
J. Takahashi3 🟨
IwakiA. Yamanaka7 🟨
Y. Takahashi7 🟨
H. Nakano5 🟨
K. Shota4 🟨
D. Yamaguchi4 🟨
K. Fujii4 🟨