Albinoleffe vs Novara — Serie C - Girone A
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Albinoleffe and Novara meet in the Serie C - Girone A 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Albinoleffe have recorded 6 wins from 14 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.86 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Novara have won 36% of their 14 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.02 for Albinoleffe and 1.11 for Novara. The models give Albinoleffe a 38% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Novara win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 36% and BTTS at 43%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Albinoleffe | Home | Away | Novara | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 83% | 88% | 57% | 43% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 17% | 75% | 43% | 43% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 17% | 38% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 17% | 13% | 43% | 57% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Albinoleffe | Home | Away | Novara | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 83% | 75% | 79% | 86% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 33% | 38% | 36% | 57% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 17% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Albinoleffe | Novara | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS | 71% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Albinoleffe | Novara | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 64% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 36% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 14% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 13 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 24 | |
| 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | +10 | 19 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 18 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | +7 | 17 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 13 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 13 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 | |
| 9 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -1 | 12 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 | |
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 | |
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 | |
| 16 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 6 | |
| 18 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 | |
| 19 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 5 | |
| 20 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●Albinoleffe failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Albinoleffe have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Albinoleffe have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Albinoleffe have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Albinoleffe failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Albinoleffe have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●79% of Albinoleffe's goals have been scored away.
- ●83% of Albinoleffe's points have been earned away.
- ●Albinoleffe have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Novara have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Novara failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Novara have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Novara failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●75% of Novara's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●78% of Novara's points have been earned away.
- ●Novara have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.