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Albinoleffe vs Novara — Serie C - Girone A

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Albinoleffe
Albinoleffe
8º · 1.33 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 8d 0h
vs
–
–
Novara
Novara
14º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 8d 0h
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Albinoleffe and Novara meet in the Serie C - Girone A 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Albinoleffe have recorded 6 wins from 14 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.86 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Novara have won 36% of their 14 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 21%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.02 for Albinoleffe and 1.11 for Novara. The models give Albinoleffe a 38% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Novara win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 36% and BTTS at 43%.

Season Statistics

Albinoleffe
—
Novara
8º
Position
14º
1.33
PPG
1.00
33%
Win %
22%
1.56
Goals / game
0.89
1.44
Conceded / game
1.33
71%
BTTS %
50%
21%
Clean sheet %
21%
71%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Albinoleffe
Home (4)
—
Novara
Away (4)
0.50
PPG
1.75
0%
Win %
50%
0.75
Goals / game
1.00
1.25
Conceded / game
0.75
67%
BTTS %
57%
17%
Clean sheet %
29%
50%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

AlbinoleffeHomeAwayNovaraHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored86%83%88%57%43%71%
Over 1.5 Scored50%17%75%43%43%43%
Over 2.5 Scored29%17%38%0%0%0%
Failed To Score14%17%13%43%57%29%

Goals Conceded

AlbinoleffeHomeAwayNovaraHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded79%83%75%79%86%71%
Over 1.5 Conceded36%33%38%36%57%14%
Over 2.5 Conceded14%0%25%0%0%0%
Clean Sheets21%17%25%21%14%29%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

AlbinoleffeNovara
Over 0.593%86%
Over 1.586%64%
Over 2.571%50%
Over 3.529%14%
Over 4.514%0%
BTTS71%50%
BTTS & Win29%29%
BTTS & Draw14%14%
BTTS & Over 2.557%50%
BTTS No & Over 2.514%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

AlbinoleffeNovara
Win 1st Half36%21%
Draw 1st Half36%29%
Loss 1st Half29%50%
Scored 1st Half50%29%
Conceded 1st Half36%64%
Win 2nd Half36%29%
Draw 2nd Half36%50%
Loss 2nd Half29%21%
Scored 2nd Half71%36%
Conceded 2nd Half50%43%
Over 0.5 HT71%79%
Over 1.5 HT36%14%

Recent Venue Form

Albinoleffe (H)
DAlcione1–1
LArzignano Valchiampo1–2
LAthletic Carpi0–1
DOspitaletto1–1
WScanzorosciate3–0
LInter U231–2
Novara (A)
WDolomiti Bellunesi2–1
DLumezzane0–0
WRenate2–1
LJuventus U230–1
WAlcione1–0
LVirtus Entella1–2

Head to Head · 13 matches

5
Albinoleffe
38%
6
Draws
46%
2
Novara
15%
62%
Over 1.5
8/13
38%
Over 2.5
5/13
23%
Over 3.5
3/13
46%
BTTS
6/13
11/02/26
Novara
2–2
Albinoleffe
28/09/25
Albinoleffe
3–2
Novara
02/03/25
Albinoleffe
1–1
Novara
19/10/24
Novara
2–0
Albinoleffe
10/03/24
Albinoleffe
0–0
Novara
04/11/23
Novara
0–3
Albinoleffe
05/02/23
Novara
1–2
Albinoleffe
09/10/22
Albinoleffe
3–1
Novara
21/03/21
Albinoleffe
1–1
Novara
29/11/20
Novara
0–0
Albinoleffe
30/06/20
Novara
0–0
Albinoleffe
16/02/20
Albinoleffe
1–0
Novara
29/09/19
Novara
1–0
Albinoleffe
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Cittadella9801+1224
2Union Brescia9540+1019
3Ospitaletto9531+918
4Arzignano Valchiampo9522+417
5Trento9450+717
6Treviso9342+113
7Desenzano Calvina9342+113
8Albinoleffe9333+112
9Alcione9261-112
10Lumezzane8323-111
11Pergolettese9252-111
12Lecco9243-210
13Dolomiti Bellunesi9243-210
14Novara9234-49
15PRO Vercelli9234-59
16Athletic Carpi9135-86
17Folgore Caratese9135-46
18Juventus U238134-76
19Giana Erminio9054-45
20Renate9045-64

Team Insights

Albinoleffe
  • ●Albinoleffe failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Albinoleffe have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Albinoleffe have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Albinoleffe have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Albinoleffe failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Albinoleffe have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●79% of Albinoleffe's goals have been scored away.
  • ●83% of Albinoleffe's points have been earned away.
  • ●Albinoleffe have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Novara
  • ●Novara have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Novara failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Novara have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Novara failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●75% of Novara's goals conceded were conceded at home.
  • ●78% of Novara's points have been earned away.
  • ●Novara have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
LALumezzane10º2–3
WACittadella1º2–1
DHAlcione9º1–1
WAJuventus U2318º5–3
LHAthletic Carpi16º0–1
DHOspitaletto3º1–1
WAGiana Erminio19º2–1
LHCittadella1º0–2
LHOspitaletto3º0–2
DHAthletic Carpi16º2–2
DALumezzane10º0–0
LHPergolettese11º0–1
WARenate20º2–1
DHLivorno0–0
DHFolgore Caratese17º2–2
LAJuventus U2318º0–1

Season Schedule

Albinoleffe
LALumezzane2–3
WACittadella2–1
DHAlcione1–1
WAJuventus U235–3
LHArzignano Valchiampo1–2
DADolomiti Bellunesi0–0
–HNovara18/10
–ARenate25/10
–HPergolettese30/10
Novara
LHCittadella0–2
WADolomiti Bellunesi2–1
LHOspitaletto0–2
DHAthletic Carpi2–2
DALumezzane0–0
LHPergolettese0–1
–AAlbinoleffe18/10
–AArzignano Valchiampo25/10
–HDesenzano Calvina02/11

Top Scorers

Albinoleffe
J. Desogus5 ⚽
A. De Paoli4 ⚽
G. Sali4 ⚽
A. Mandelli3 ⚽
S. Sassi2 ⚽
A. Garattoni2 ⚽
Novara
F. Lorenzini2 ⚽
A. Valdesi1 ⚽
C. Donadio1 ⚽
C. da Graca1 ⚽
D. Zuppel1 ⚽
E. Lanini1 ⚽

Cards Given

Albinoleffe
G. Sali2 🟨
A. Mandelli2 🟨
B. Barba1 🟨
E. Sottini1 🟨
G. Sciacca1 🟨
L. Ballo1 🟨
Novara
G. Basso4 🟨
M. Miceli4 🟨
A. Valdesi2 🟨
D. Zuppel2 🟨
F. Lorenzini2 🟨
E. Zambataro1 🟨