Italy · Serie C - Girone A · Girone A - 10

Alcione

5º · 1.50 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 27d 21h

–

Desenzano Calvina

17º · 1.00 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 30d 23h

Stadio Ernesto Breda·Sesto San Giovanni·Italy·4,475

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Alcione and Desenzano Calvina meet in the Serie C - Girone A 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Alcione have recorded 2 wins from 8 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Desenzano Calvina have won 29% of their 7 matches, with 0.71 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 29%, and clean sheets at 43%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.10 for Alcione and 1.25 for Desenzano Calvina. The models give Alcione a 37% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Desenzano Calvina win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 48%.

Season Statistics

Alcione

—

Desenzano Calvina

5º

Position

17º

1.50

PPG

1.00

33%

Win %

20%

1.50

Goals / game

0.80

1.67

Conceded / game

1.20

63%

BTTS %

43%

13%

Clean sheet %

43%

50%

Over 2.5 %

29%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Alcione

Home (3)

—

Desenzano Calvina

Away (3)

1.33

PPG

1.33

33%

Win %

33%

1.33

Goals / game

1.00

2.00

Conceded / game

1.00

67%

BTTS %

40%

Clean sheet %

40%

33%

Over 2.5 %

20%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Alcione	Home	Away	Desenzano Calvina	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	56%	50%	60%	57%	50%	60%
Over 1.5 Scored	44%	25%	60%	14%	0%	20%
Over 2.5 Scored	22%	25%	20%	0%	0%	0%
Failed To Score	44%	50%	40%	43%	50%	40%

Goals Conceded

	Alcione	Home	Away	Desenzano Calvina	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	89%	100%	80%	57%	50%	60%
Over 1.5 Conceded	44%	25%	60%	14%	50%	0%
Over 2.5 Conceded	22%	25%	20%	14%	50%	0%
Clean Sheets	11%	0%	20%	43%	50%	40%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Alcione	Desenzano Calvina
Over 0.5	89%	71%
Over 1.5	67%	43%
Over 2.5	56%	29%
Over 3.5	56%	14%
Over 4.5	22%	0%
BTTS	56%	43%
BTTS & Win	22%	14%
BTTS & Draw	22%	14%
BTTS & Over 2.5	44%	29%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	11%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Alcione	Desenzano Calvina
Win 1st Half	22%	0%
Draw 1st Half	33%	71%
Loss 1st Half	44%	29%
Scored 1st Half	22%	0%
Conceded 1st Half	56%	29%
Win 2nd Half	22%	29%
Draw 2nd Half	44%	71%
Loss 2nd Half	33%	0%
Scored 2nd Half	56%	57%
Conceded 2nd Half	67%	43%
Over 0.5 HT	67%	29%
Over 1.5 HT	33%	14%

Recent Venue Form

Alcione (H)

Union Brescia0–4

Treviso1–1

Renate3–1

Novara0–1

Albinoleffe2–1

Lecco0–2

Desenzano Calvina (A)

Arzignano Valchiampo2–1

Union Brescia0–1

Trento1–0

PRO Vercelli1–1

Lecco0–0

Scafatese0–1

Head to Head · 3 matches

Alcione

67%

Draws

33%

Desenzano Calvina

67%

Over 1.5

2/3

33%

Over 2.5

1/3

Over 3.5

0/3

67%

BTTS

2/3

14/05/23

Alcione

2–1

Desenzano Calvina

06/04/23

Desenzano Calvina

1–1

Alcione

27/11/22

Alcione

1–0

Desenzano Calvina

Serie C - Girone A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cittadella	6	6	0	0	+8	18
2	Union Brescia	6	4	2	0	+8	14
3	Ospitaletto	6	3	2	1	+6	11
4	Arzignano Valchiampo	6	3	1	2	0	10
5	Alcione	6	2	3	1	-1	9
6	Trento	5	2	3	0	+2	9
7	Dolomiti Bellunesi	5	2	3	0	+2	9
8	Albinoleffe	6	2	2	2	+1	8
9	Treviso	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Lecco	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Athletic Carpi	6	1	3	2	-2	6
12	Novara	6	1	3	2	-1	6
13	Pergolettese	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Juventus U23	6	1	2	3	-6	5
15	PRO Vercelli	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Lumezzane	5	1	2	2	-2	5
17	Desenzano Calvina	5	1	2	2	-2	5
18	Folgore Caratese	6	0	3	3	-3	3
19	Giana Erminio	6	0	2	4	-4	2
20	Renate	6	0	2	4	-5	2