Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio — Serie C - Girone A
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Desenzano Calvina and Giana Erminio meet in the Serie C - Girone A 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Desenzano Calvina have recorded 2 wins from 9 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 0.56 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 22%; and clean sheets in 56% of games. Giana Erminio have won 0% of their 10 matches, with 0.90 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 70%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.03 for Desenzano Calvina and 0.91 for Giana Erminio. The models give Desenzano Calvina a 42% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Giana Erminio win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 30% and BTTS at 38%.
Season Statistics
Desenzano CalvinaGiana ErminioHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Desenzano Calvina | Home | Away | Giana Erminio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 44% | 33% | 50% | 70% | 100% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 11% | 0% | 17% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 56% | 67% | 50% | 30% | 0% | 60% |
Goals Conceded
| Desenzano Calvina | Home | Away | Giana Erminio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 44% | 33% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 11% | 33% | 0% | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 33% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 56% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Desenzano Calvina | Giana Erminio | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 56% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 33% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 22% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 10% |
| BTTS | 33% | 70% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 40% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 22% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Desenzano Calvina | Giana Erminio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 10% |
| Draw 1st Half | 78% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 60% |
| Scored 1st Half | 0% | 30% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 22% | 70% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 78% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 22% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 11% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Desenzano Calvina (H)
Juventus U230–0
Lecco1–3
Trento0–0
Scafatese1–1
Grosseto0–1
Pistoiese1–1Giana Erminio (A)
Folgore Caratese1–1Lecco0–1
Union Brescia2–5
Lumezzane0–1
Cremonese0–4Lecco1–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 3 |  Ospitaletto | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 4 |  Arzignano Valchiampo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 | Trento | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 13 |
| 6 |  Treviso | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 |  Alcione | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 |  Dolomiti Bellunesi | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Albinoleffe | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 10 | Lumezzane | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Lecco | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Desenzano Calvina | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Pergolettese | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Athletic Carpi | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 15 | Folgore Caratese | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Juventus U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 |  Novara | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 18 |  PRO Vercelli | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 20 |  Renate | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Team Insights
Desenzano Calvina- ●Desenzano Calvina have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Desenzano Calvina have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●71% of Desenzano Calvina's points have been earned away.
Giana Erminio- ●Giana Erminio have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Giana Erminio failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Giana Erminio have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Giana Erminio have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●70% of Giana Erminio's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Giana Erminio have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Desenzano CalvinaJuventus U230–0Treviso0–0Lecco1–3Arzignano Valchiampo2–1Union Brescia0–1Trento0–0Folgore Caratese03/10Dolomiti Bellunesi10/10Alcione18/10Giana ErminioPRO Vercelli1–1Folgore Caratese1–1Trento2–2Lecco0–1Dolomiti Bellunesi1–2Lumezzane0–1Treviso04/10Renate11/10Union Brescia19/10Top Scorers
Desenzano CalvinaGiana ErminioCards Given
Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio