Novara vs Desenzano Calvina — Serie C - Girone A
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Novara and Desenzano Calvina meet in the Serie C - Girone A 2026 season on 2 November 2026. Novara have recorded 5 wins from 14 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Desenzano Calvina have won 36% of their 11 matches, with 0.82 goals scored and 0.64 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 36%, Over 2.5 at 27%, and clean sheets at 55%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.93 for Novara and 1.27 for Desenzano Calvina. The models give Novara a 30% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Desenzano Calvina win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 38% and BTTS at 44%.
Season Statistics
NovaraDesenzano CalvinaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Novara | Home | Away | Desenzano Calvina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 57% | 43% | 71% | 55% | 50% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 43% | 43% | 27% | 25% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 57% | 29% | 45% | 50% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Novara | Home | Away | Desenzano Calvina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 86% | 71% | 45% | 25% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 57% | 14% | 9% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 14% | 29% | 55% | 75% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Novara | Desenzano Calvina | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 27% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 9% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 36% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Novara | Desenzano Calvina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 9% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 73% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 18% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 64% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 36% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 27% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 36% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 14% | 18% |
Recent Venue Form
Novara (H)
Cittadella0–2
Ospitaletto0–2
Athletic Carpi2–2
Pergolettese0–1
Livorno0–0
Folgore Caratese2–2Desenzano Calvina (A)Folgore Caratese2–1
Treviso0–0
Arzignano Valchiampo2–1
Union Brescia0–1
Trento1–0
PRO Vercelli1–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 24 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 | Ospitaletto | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 18 |
| 4 | Arzignano Valchiampo | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 | Trento | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 | Treviso | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 | Desenzano Calvina | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Albinoleffe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Alcione | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Lumezzane | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Pergolettese | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 |  Lecco | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 |  Dolomiti Bellunesi | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Novara | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | PRO Vercelli | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 |  Juventus U23 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Athletic Carpi | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Folgore Caratese | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 |  Giana Erminio | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 20 |  Renate | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 4 |
Team Insights
Novara- ●Novara have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Novara failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Novara have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Novara failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●75% of Novara's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●78% of Novara's points have been earned away.
- ●Novara have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Desenzano Calvina- ●Desenzano Calvina have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Desenzano Calvina have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Desenzano Calvina have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Desenzano Calvina failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●62% of Desenzano Calvina's goals have been scored away.
- ●62% of Desenzano Calvina's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
NovaraCittadella0–2Dolomiti Bellunesi2–1Ospitaletto0–2Athletic Carpi2–2Lumezzane0–0Pergolettese0–1Albinoleffe18/10Arzignano Valchiampo25/10Desenzano Calvina02/11Desenzano CalvinaDolomiti Bellunesi2–0Folgore Caratese2–1Juventus U230–0Treviso0–0Lecco1–3Arzignano Valchiampo2–1Alcione18/10Giana Erminio25/10Novara02/11Top Scorers
NovaraDesenzano CalvinaCards Given
NovaraDesenzano Calvina