Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto — Serie C - Girone A
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Desenzano Calvina and Ospitaletto meet in the Serie C - Girone A 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Desenzano Calvina have recorded 4 wins from 11 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 0.82 goals scored and 0.64 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 36% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 27%; and clean sheets in 55% of games. Ospitaletto have won 50% of their 12 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.01 for Desenzano Calvina and 1.08 for Ospitaletto. The models give Desenzano Calvina a 36% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Ospitaletto win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 35% and BTTS at 42%.
Season Statistics
Desenzano CalvinaOspitalettoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Desenzano Calvina | Home | Away | Ospitaletto | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 55% | 50% | 57% | 92% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 25% | 29% | 58% | 60% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 40% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 45% | 50% | 43% | 8% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Desenzano Calvina | Home | Away | Ospitaletto | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 45% | 25% | 57% | 67% | 60% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 9% | 25% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 55% | 75% | 43% | 33% | 40% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Desenzano Calvina | Ospitaletto | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 64% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 45% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 27% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 9% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 36% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Desenzano Calvina | Ospitaletto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 9% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 73% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 8% |
| Scored 1st Half | 18% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 27% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 64% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 27% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 36% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 18% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Desenzano Calvina (H)
Dolomiti Bellunesi2–0
Juventus U230–0
Lecco1–3
Trento0–0
Scafatese1–1
Grosseto0–1Ospitaletto (A)
Treviso1–0
Novara2–0
Athletic Carpi2–2
Albinoleffe1–1Trento1–2
Rovato Vertovese2–2Head to Head · 2 matches
Desenzano CalvinaOspitaletto| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 24 |
| 2 |  Union Brescia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 | Ospitaletto | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 18 |
| 4 |  Arzignano Valchiampo | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 | Trento | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 | Treviso | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 | Desenzano Calvina | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 | Albinoleffe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Alcione | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Lumezzane | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |  Pergolettese | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Lecco | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Novara | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 |  PRO Vercelli | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 | Juventus U23 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Athletic Carpi | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Folgore Caratese | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 |  Giana Erminio | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 20 |  Renate | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 4 |
Team Insights
Desenzano Calvina- ●Desenzano Calvina have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Desenzano Calvina have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Desenzano Calvina have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Desenzano Calvina failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●62% of Desenzano Calvina's goals have been scored away.
- ●62% of Desenzano Calvina's points have been earned away.
Ospitaletto- ●Ospitaletto have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Ospitaletto have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Ospitaletto have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Ospitaletto have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
Season Schedule
Desenzano CalvinaDolomiti Bellunesi2–0Folgore Caratese2–1Juventus U230–0Treviso0–0Lecco1–3Arzignano Valchiampo2–1Alcione18/10Giana Erminio25/10Novara02/11OspitalettoTreviso1–0Renate1–1Novara2–0Cittadella0–1Athletic Carpi2–2Juventus U233–0Pergolettese18/10PRO Vercelli25/10Trento31/10Top Scorers
Desenzano CalvinaOspitalettoCards Given
Desenzano CalvinaOspitaletto