Folgore Caratese vs Athletic Carpi — Serie C - Girone A
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Folgore Caratese and Athletic Carpi meet in the Serie C - Girone A 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Folgore Caratese have recorded 1 wins from 12 matches this season (8% win rate), averaging 0.92 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Athletic Carpi have won 23% of their 13 matches, with 1.23 goals scored and 1.77 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.44 for Folgore Caratese and 1.25 for Athletic Carpi. The models give Folgore Caratese a 43% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Athletic Carpi win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Folgore Caratese—
Athletic Carpi18º
Position
17º
0.67
PPG
0.67
11%
Win %
11%
1.00
Goals / game
1.22
1.44
Conceded / game
2.11
67%
BTTS %
62%
17%
Clean sheet %
15%
42%
Over 2.5 %
62%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Folgore Caratese
Home (4)
—
Athletic Carpi
Away (5)
0.25
PPG
0.80
0%
Win %
20%
1.25
Goals / game
1.00
2.00
Conceded / game
1.80
100%
BTTS %
43%
0%
Clean sheet %
29%
75%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Folgore Caratese | Home | Away | Athletic Carpi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 100% | 50% | 77% | 83% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 25% | 25% | 31% | 50% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 0% | 50% | 23% | 17% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Folgore Caratese | Home | Away | Athletic Carpi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 100% | 75% | 85% | 100% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 75% | 13% | 69% | 83% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 25% | 0% | 23% | 33% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 0% | 25% | 15% | 0% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Folgore Caratese | Athletic Carpi | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 15% |
| BTTS | 67% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 31% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 54% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Folgore Caratese | Athletic Carpi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 8% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 54% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 69% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 17% | 54% |
Recent Venue Form
Folgore Caratese (H)L
Desenzano Calvina1–2
Desenzano Calvina1–2D
Giana Erminio1–1
Giana Erminio1–1L
Alcione2–3
Alcione2–3L
Dolomiti Bellunesi1–2
Dolomiti Bellunesi1–2W
Treviso2–0
Treviso2–0W
Sondrio5–1
Sondrio5–1Athletic Carpi (A)L
Pergolettese1–2
Pergolettese1–2L
PRO Vercelli0–2
PRO Vercelli0–2D
Novara2–2
Novara2–2W
Albinoleffe1–0
Albinoleffe1–0L
Union Brescia1–3
Union Brescia1–3W
Mantova1–0
Mantova1–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 24 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Ospitaletto | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 18 |
| 4 |  Arzignano Valchiampo | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 |  Trento | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 | Treviso | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 | Desenzano Calvina | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 | Albinoleffe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 | Alcione | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Lumezzane | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Pergolettese | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 |  Lecco | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Novara | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | PRO Vercelli | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 |  Juventus U23 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Athletic Carpi | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Folgore Caratese | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 20 |  Renate | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 4 |
Team Insights
Folgore Caratese- ●Folgore Caratese have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Folgore Caratese have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Folgore Caratese failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●83% of Folgore Caratese's points have been earned away.
- ●Folgore Caratese have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Athletic Carpi- ●Athletic Carpi have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Athletic Carpi have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Athletic Carpi failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Athletic Carpi have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Athletic Carpi have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Athletic Carpi have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Athletic Carpi have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Athletic Carpi failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Athletic Carpi's points have been earned away.
- ●Athletic Carpi have scored 73% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Folgore CarateseLATrento0–1
Trento0–1LHDesenzano Calvina1–2
Desenzano Calvina1–2WALumezzane2–1
Lumezzane2–1DHGiana Erminio1–1
Giana Erminio1–1DAPergolettese0–0
Pergolettese0–0LHAlcione2–3
Alcione2–3–HTreviso17/10
Treviso17/10–ALecco25/10
Lecco25/10–HUnion Brescia01/11
Union Brescia01/11Athletic CarpiLAPergolettese1–2
Pergolettese1–2LAPRO Vercelli0–2
PRO Vercelli0–2LHArzignano Valchiampo0–3
Arzignano Valchiampo0–3DANovara2–2
Novara2–2DHOspitaletto2–2
Ospitaletto2–2LHCittadella1–2
Cittadella1–2–HLumezzane17/10
Lumezzane17/10–AAlcione24/10
Alcione24/10–HRenate01/11
Renate01/11Top Scorers
Folgore Caratese3 ⚽
F. D'Amico3 ⚽
K. Mezsargs2 ⚽
S. Spalluto2 ⚽
L. Pedicillo1 ⚽
F. Di Dio1 ⚽
Athletic CarpiF. Casarini5 ⚽
M. Montipo3 ⚽
L. Morosini3 ⚽
A. Sall2 ⚽
F. Puletto2 ⚽
M. Figoli1 ⚽
Cards Given
Folgore CarateseN. Samotti4 🟨
E. Gega3 🟨
A. Bassino3 🟨
F. D'Amico3 🟨
F. Castellano3 🟨
L. Pedicillo3 🟨
Athletic CarpiA. Astrologo4 🟨
D. Zagnoni4 🟨
M. Figoli4 🟨
F. Desole3 🟨
M. Rossini3 🟨
L. Lombardi2 🟨