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Novara vs Lecco — Serie C - Girone A

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Italy · Serie C - Girone A · Girone A - 14
Novara
Novara
14º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 20h
vs
–
–
Lecco
Lecco
12º · 1.11 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 34d 20h
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Novara and Lecco meet in the Serie C - Girone A 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Novara have recorded 5 wins from 14 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Lecco have won 17% of their 12 matches, with 0.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 33%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.17 for Novara and 1.20 for Lecco. The models give Novara a 36% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Lecco win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 49%.

Season Statistics

Novara
—
Lecco
14º
Position
12º
1.00
PPG
1.11
22%
Win %
22%
0.89
Goals / game
0.78
1.33
Conceded / game
1.00
50%
BTTS %
33%
21%
Clean sheet %
33%
50%
Over 2.5 %
42%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Novara
Home (5)
—
Lecco
Away (4)
0.40
PPG
0.75
0%
Win %
25%
0.80
Goals / game
0.75
1.80
Conceded / game
1.50
43%
BTTS %
20%
14%
Clean sheet %
0%
43%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

NovaraHomeAwayLeccoHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored57%43%71%42%57%20%
Over 1.5 Scored43%43%43%25%29%20%
Over 2.5 Scored0%0%0%8%0%20%
Failed To Score43%57%29%58%43%80%

Goals Conceded

NovaraHomeAwayLeccoHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded79%86%71%67%43%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded36%57%14%33%29%40%
Over 2.5 Conceded0%0%0%25%14%40%
Clean Sheets21%14%29%33%57%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

NovaraLecco
Over 0.586%75%
Over 1.564%50%
Over 2.550%42%
Over 3.514%25%
Over 4.50%8%
BTTS50%33%
BTTS & Win29%8%
BTTS & Draw14%17%
BTTS & Over 2.550%25%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%17%

1st Half / 2nd Half

NovaraLecco
Win 1st Half21%25%
Draw 1st Half29%50%
Loss 1st Half50%25%
Scored 1st Half29%25%
Conceded 1st Half64%25%
Win 2nd Half29%8%
Draw 2nd Half50%50%
Loss 2nd Half21%42%
Scored 2nd Half36%33%
Conceded 2nd Half43%58%
Over 0.5 HT79%50%
Over 1.5 HT14%8%

Recent Venue Form

Novara (H)
LCittadella0–2
LOspitaletto0–2
DAthletic Carpi2–2
LPergolettese0–1
DLivorno0–0
DFolgore Caratese2–2
Lecco (A)
LCittadella0–3
WDesenzano Calvina3–1
LTrento0–1
LTreviso0–1
LHellas Verona0–3
DCatania3–3

Head to Head · 10 matches

3
Novara
30%
3
Draws
30%
4
Lecco
40%
60%
Over 1.5
6/10
50%
Over 2.5
5/10
20%
Over 3.5
2/10
40%
BTTS
4/10
15/03/26
Lecco
0–0
Novara
09/11/25
Novara
1–0
Lecco
17/01/25
Lecco
1–1
Novara
16/09/24
Novara
0–0
Lecco
11/02/23
Lecco
3–1
Novara
16/10/22
Novara
1–2
Lecco
07/03/21
Novara
3–0
Lecco
11/11/20
Lecco
1–0
Novara
19/01/20
Lecco
3–2
Novara
07/09/19
Novara
3–0
Lecco
Serie C - Girone A
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Cittadella9801+1224
2Union Brescia9540+1019
3Ospitaletto9531+918
4Arzignano Valchiampo9522+417
5Trento9450+717
6Treviso9342+113
7Desenzano Calvina9342+113
8Albinoleffe9333+112
9Alcione9261-112
10Lumezzane8323-111
11Pergolettese9252-111
12Lecco9243-210
13Dolomiti Bellunesi9243-210
14Novara9234-49
15PRO Vercelli9234-59
16Athletic Carpi9135-86
17Folgore Caratese9135-46
18Juventus U238134-76
19Giana Erminio9054-45
20Renate9045-64

Team Insights

Novara
  • ●Novara have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Novara failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Novara have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Novara failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●75% of Novara's goals conceded were conceded at home.
  • ●78% of Novara's points have been earned away.
  • ●Novara have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Lecco
  • ●Lecco have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Lecco have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Lecco have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●67% of Lecco's goals conceded were conceded away.
NovaraNovara
LHCittadella1º0–2
WADolomiti Bellunesi13º2–1
LHOspitaletto3º0–2
DHAthletic Carpi16º2–2
DALumezzane10º0–0
LHPergolettese11º0–1
WARenate20º2–1
DHLivorno0–0
DHFolgore Caratese17º2–2
LAJuventus U2318º0–1
LeccoLecco
DHAlcione9º1–1
DHUnion Brescia2º2–2
LACittadella1º0–3
DHPergolettese11º0–0
WADesenzano Calvina7º3–1
WHGiana Erminio19º1–0
LATrento5º0–1
LATreviso6º0–1
DHArzignano Valchiampo4º0–0
DHDesenzano Calvina0–0

Season Schedule

Novara
LHCittadella0–2
WADolomiti Bellunesi2–1
LHOspitaletto0–2
DHAthletic Carpi2–2
DALumezzane0–0
LHPergolettese0–1
–AAlbinoleffe18/10
–AArzignano Valchiampo25/10
–HDesenzano Calvina02/11
Lecco
DHAlcione1–1
DHUnion Brescia2–2
LACittadella0–3
DHPergolettese0–0
WADesenzano Calvina3–1
WHGiana Erminio1–0
–APRO Vercelli16/10
–HFolgore Caratese25/10
–ADolomiti Bellunesi01/11

Top Scorers

Novara
F. Lorenzini2 ⚽
A. Valdesi1 ⚽
C. Donadio1 ⚽
C. da Graca1 ⚽
D. Zuppel1 ⚽
E. Lanini1 ⚽
Lecco
3 ⚽
M. Arena2 ⚽
G. Manetti1 ⚽
G. Pellegrino1 ⚽
A. Capello1 ⚽
M. Casarotto1 ⚽

Cards Given

Novara
G. Basso4 🟨
M. Miceli4 🟨
A. Valdesi2 🟨
D. Zuppel2 🟨
F. Lorenzini2 🟨
E. Zambataro1 🟨
Lecco
L. Sinn4 🟨
A. Mallamo3 🟨
M. Casarotto3 🟨
G. Manetti2 🟨
M. Litti2 🟨
O. Urso2 🟨