Desenzano Calvina vs Albinoleffe — Serie C - Girone A
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Desenzano Calvina and Albinoleffe meet in the Serie C - Girone A 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Desenzano Calvina have recorded 4 wins from 12 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 0.83 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Albinoleffe have won 40% of their 15 matches, with 1.87 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 73%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.23 for Desenzano Calvina and 1.32 for Albinoleffe. The models give Desenzano Calvina a 38% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Albinoleffe win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Desenzano Calvina—
Albinoleffe11º
Position
9º
1.30
PPG
1.30
30%
Win %
30%
0.90
Goals / game
1.60
1.10
Conceded / game
1.50
42%
BTTS %
73%
50%
Clean sheet %
20%
33%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Desenzano Calvina
Home (4)
—
Albinoleffe
Away (5)
1.25
PPG
2.00
25%
Win %
60%
0.75
Goals / game
2.20
0.75
Conceded / game
1.60
25%
BTTS %
75%
75%
Clean sheet %
25%
25%
Over 2.5 %
88%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Desenzano Calvina | Home | Away | Albinoleffe | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 58% | 50% | 63% | 87% | 86% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 25% | 25% | 53% | 29% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 27% | 14% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 50% | 38% | 13% | 14% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Desenzano Calvina | Home | Away | Albinoleffe | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 25% | 63% | 80% | 86% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 17% | 25% | 13% | 40% | 43% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 25% | 13% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 75% | 38% | 20% | 14% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Desenzano Calvina | Albinoleffe | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 67% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 13% |
| BTTS | 42% | 73% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Desenzano Calvina | Albinoleffe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 8% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 67% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 17% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 67% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 42% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Desenzano Calvina (H)W
Dolomiti Bellunesi2–0
Dolomiti Bellunesi2–0D
Juventus U230–0
Juventus U230–0L
Lecco1–3
Lecco1–3D
Trento0–0
Trento0–0D
Scafatese1–1
Scafatese1–1L
Grosseto0–1
Grosseto0–1Albinoleffe (A)L
Lumezzane2–3
Lumezzane2–3W
Cittadella2–1
Cittadella2–1WJuventus U235–3
Juventus U235–3DDolomiti Bellunesi0–0
Dolomiti Bellunesi0–0W
Giana Erminio2–1
Giana Erminio2–1L
Arzignano Valchiampo1–2
Arzignano Valchiampo1–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 24 |
| 2 |  Union Brescia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Ospitaletto | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 | Arzignano Valchiampo | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 | Trento | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 |  Treviso | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Alcione | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pergolettese | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Albinoleffe | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 10 | Lecco | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 11 | Desenzano Calvina | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Lumezzane | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Novara | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 |  Athletic Carpi | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  PRO Vercelli | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 9 |
| 17 | Juventus U23 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 7 |
| 18 |  Folgore Caratese | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 20 |  Renate | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 4 |
Team Insights
Desenzano Calvina- ●Desenzano Calvina have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Desenzano Calvina failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Desenzano Calvina's goals have been scored away.
- ●73% of Desenzano Calvina's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●62% of Desenzano Calvina's points have been earned away.
- ●Desenzano Calvina have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Albinoleffe- ●Albinoleffe failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Albinoleffe have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Albinoleffe have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Albinoleffe have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Albinoleffe failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Albinoleffe have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Albinoleffe failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Albinoleffe failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Albinoleffe have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Albinoleffe's goals have been scored away.
- ●77% of Albinoleffe's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Desenzano CalvinaLAAlcione1–4
Alcione1–4WHDolomiti Bellunesi2–0
Dolomiti Bellunesi2–0WAFolgore Caratese2–1
Folgore Caratese2–1DHJuventus U230–0
Juventus U230–0DATreviso0–0
Treviso0–0LHLecco1–3
Lecco1–3–HGiana Erminio25/10
Giana Erminio25/10–ANovara02/11
Novara02/11–HOspitaletto08/11
Ospitaletto08/11AlbinoleffeDHNovara2–2
Novara2–2LALumezzane2–3
Lumezzane2–3WACittadella2–1
Cittadella2–1DHAlcione1–1
Alcione1–1WAJuventus U235–3
Juventus U235–3LHArzignano Valchiampo1–2
Arzignano Valchiampo1–2–ARenate25/10
Renate25/10–HPergolettese30/10
Pergolettese30/10–ATrento07/11
Trento07/11Top Scorers
Desenzano Calvina4 ⚽
A. Procaccio2 ⚽
K. Biondi2 ⚽
L. Ubaldi2 ⚽
F. Liberati1 ⚽
V. Millico1 ⚽
AlbinoleffeJ. Desogus5 ⚽
G. Sali5 ⚽
A. De Paoli4 ⚽
A. Mandelli3 ⚽
E. Sottini2 ⚽
S. Sassi2 ⚽
Cards Given
Desenzano CalvinaL. Milani4 🟨
A. Pilati2 🟨
C. Santini2 🟨
A. De Francesco2 🟨
T. Panelli2 🟨
L. Lupano1 🟨
AlbinoleffeG. Sali2 🟨
A. Mandelli2 🟨
B. Barba2 🟨
F. Faggi1 🟨
G. Sciacca1 🟨
L. Ballo1 🟨