Athletic Carpi vs Lecco — Serie C - Girone A
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Stadio Sandro Cabassi·Carpi·Italy·5,584
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Athletic Carpi and Lecco meet in the Serie C - Girone A 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Athletic Carpi have recorded 5 wins from 15 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Lecco have won 21% of their 14 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 36%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.39 for Athletic Carpi and 1.58 for Lecco. The models give Athletic Carpi a 35% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Lecco win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Athletic Carpi—
Lecco13º
Position
9º
1.09
PPG
1.27
27%
Win %
27%
1.45
Goals / game
1.27
1.91
Conceded / game
1.00
67%
BTTS %
36%
13%
Clean sheet %
36%
67%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Athletic Carpi
Home (5)
—
Lecco
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
1.20
20%
Win %
40%
1.80
Goals / game
1.60
2.20
Conceded / game
1.20
86%
BTTS %
17%
0%
Clean sheet %
17%
86%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Athletic Carpi | Home | Away | Lecco | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 86% | 75% | 50% | 63% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 57% | 25% | 36% | 38% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 43% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 14% | 25% | 50% | 38% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| Athletic Carpi | Home | Away | Lecco | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 87% | 100% | 75% | 64% | 50% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 60% | 71% | 50% | 36% | 38% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 29% | 13% | 21% | 13% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 0% | 25% | 36% | 50% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Athletic Carpi | Lecco | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 14% |
| BTTS | 67% | 36% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 21% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Athletic Carpi | Lecco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 47% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 53% | 21% |
Recent Venue Form
Athletic Carpi (H)W
Lumezzane3–1
Lumezzane3–1L
Arzignano Valchiampo0–3
Arzignano Valchiampo0–3D
Ospitaletto2–2
Ospitaletto2–2L
Cittadella1–2
Cittadella1–2D
PRO Vercelli1–1
PRO Vercelli1–1D
Juventus U233–3
Juventus U233–3Lecco (A)WPRO Vercelli5–0
PRO Vercelli5–0LCittadella0–3
Cittadella0–3W
Desenzano Calvina3–1
Desenzano Calvina3–1L
Trento0–1
Trento0–1L
Treviso0–1
Treviso0–1L
Hellas Verona0–3
Hellas Verona0–3| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +12 | 27 |
| 2 | Trento | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | +11 | 23 |
| 3 |  Union Brescia | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 4 | Arzignano Valchiampo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 20 |
| 5 | Treviso | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 6 | Ospitaletto | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 18 |
| 7 |  Pergolettese | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |  Alcione | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 | Lecco | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 10 |  Albinoleffe | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 | Desenzano Calvina | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Lumezzane | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Athletic Carpi | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | PRO Vercelli | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 12 |
| 15 |  Giana Erminio | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 |  Novara | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 |  Dolomiti Bellunesi | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 18 | Juventus U23 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 19 |  Folgore Caratese | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -6 | 7 |
| 20 |  Renate | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -7 | 5 |
Team Insights
Athletic Carpi- ●Athletic Carpi have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Athletic Carpi failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Athletic Carpi failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Athletic Carpi failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Athletic Carpi failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Athletic Carpi have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Athletic Carpi have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Athletic Carpi have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Lecco- ●Lecco have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Lecco have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Lecco have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Lecco failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Athletic CarpiWAAlcione2–1
Alcione2–1WHLumezzane3–1
Lumezzane3–1LAPergolettese1–2
Pergolettese1–2LAPRO Vercelli0–2
PRO Vercelli0–2LHArzignano Valchiampo0–3
Arzignano Valchiampo0–3DANovara2–2
Novara2–2–HRenate01/11
Renate01/11–AFolgore Caratese08/11
Folgore Caratese08/11–HGiana Erminio14/11
Giana Erminio14/11LeccoDHFolgore Caratese2–2
Folgore Caratese2–2WAPRO Vercelli5–0
PRO Vercelli5–0DHAlcione1–1
Alcione1–1DHUnion Brescia2–2
Union Brescia2–2LACittadella0–3
Cittadella0–3DHPergolettese0–0
Pergolettese0–0–ADolomiti Bellunesi01/11
Dolomiti Bellunesi01/11–HJuventus U2308/11
Juventus U2308/11–ANovara15/11
Novara15/11Top Scorers
Athletic CarpiF. Casarini5 ⚽
M. Figoli4 ⚽
M. Montipo4 ⚽
A. Sall3 ⚽
L. Morosini3 ⚽
F. Puletto2 ⚽
Lecco3 ⚽
G. Manetti2 ⚽
G. Pellegrino2 ⚽
M. Arena2 ⚽
A. Capello2 ⚽
M. Casarotto2 ⚽
Cards Given
Athletic CarpiA. Astrologo4 🟨
D. Zagnoni4 🟨
F. Desole4 🟨
M. Figoli4 🟨
M. Rossini3 🟨
L. Lombardi2 🟨
LeccoL. Sinn4 🟨
A. Mallamo3 🟨
M. Casarotto3 🟨
G. Manetti2 🟨
M. Arena2 🟨
M. Litti2 🟨