Lumezzane vs Desenzano Calvina — Serie C - Girone A
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Lumezzane and Desenzano Calvina meet in the Serie C - Girone A 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Lumezzane have recorded 3 wins from 14 matches this season (21% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Desenzano Calvina have won 36% of their 14 matches, with 0.86 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for Lumezzane and 1.12 for Desenzano Calvina. The models give Lumezzane a 43% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Desenzano Calvina win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
LumezzaneDesenzano CalvinaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Lumezzane | Home | Away | Desenzano Calvina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 83% | 50% | 64% | 60% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 50% | 13% | 21% | 20% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 17% | 50% | 36% | 40% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Lumezzane | Home | Away | Desenzano Calvina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 67% | 75% | 50% | 40% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 64% | 67% | 63% | 21% | 40% | 11% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 13% | 14% | 20% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 33% | 25% | 50% | 60% | 44% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lumezzane | Desenzano Calvina | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 79% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 36% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 7% |
| BTTS | 57% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lumezzane | Desenzano Calvina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 7% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 64% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 14% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 7% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 64% | 64% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 29% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 36% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 21% |
Recent Venue Form
Lumezzane (H)
Albinoleffe3–2
Folgore Caratese1–2
Novara0–0
Renate2–2
Giana Erminio1–0Renate2–2Desenzano Calvina (A)
Dolomiti Bellunesi1–0
Alcione1–4Folgore Caratese2–1
Treviso0–0
Arzignano Valchiampo2–1
Union Brescia0–1Head to Head · 2 matches
Desenzano CalvinaLumezzane| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +12 | 27 |
| 2 |  Trento | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | +11 | 23 |
| 3 | Union Brescia | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 4 | Arzignano Valchiampo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 20 |
| 5 | Treviso | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 6 |  Ospitaletto | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 18 |
| 7 |  Pergolettese | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 | Alcione | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Lecco | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 10 | Albinoleffe | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 | Desenzano Calvina | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Lumezzane | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 |  Athletic Carpi | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 |  PRO Vercelli | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 12 |
| 15 | Giana Erminio | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Novara | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 18 |  Juventus U23 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 19 | Folgore Caratese | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -6 | 7 |
| 20 | Renate | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -7 | 5 |
Team Insights
Lumezzane- ●Lumezzane have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Lumezzane have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Lumezzane failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Lumezzane have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Lumezzane have scored 75% of their goals in the first half.
Desenzano Calvina- ●Desenzano Calvina have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Desenzano Calvina failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●62% of Desenzano Calvina's points have been earned away.
- ●Desenzano Calvina have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
LumezzanePergolettese1–2Athletic Carpi1–3Juventus U230–0Albinoleffe3–2Folgore Caratese1–2Dolomiti Bellunesi2–1Arzignano Valchiampo01/11Alcione06/11Trento14/11Desenzano CalvinaGiana Erminio1–2Alcione1–4Dolomiti Bellunesi2–0Folgore Caratese2–1Juventus U230–0Treviso0–0Novara02/11Ospitaletto08/11Renate14/11Top Scorers
LumezzaneDesenzano CalvinaCards Given
LumezzaneDesenzano Calvina