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Novara vs Alcione — Serie C - Girone A

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Italy · Serie C - Girone A · Girone A - 16
Novara
Novara
14º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 40d 22h
vs
–
–
Alcione
Alcione
7º · 1.36 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 34d 22h
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Novara and Alcione meet in the Serie C - Girone A 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Novara have recorded 5 wins from 15 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.07 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Alcione have won 21% of their 14 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 1.79 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 7%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.12 for Novara and 1.36 for Alcione. The models give Novara a 34% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Alcione win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.

Season Statistics

Novara
—
Alcione
14º
Position
7º
1.00
PPG
1.36
20%
Win %
27%
1.00
Goals / game
1.64
1.40
Conceded / game
1.55
53%
BTTS %
71%
20%
Clean sheet %
7%
53%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Novara
Home (5)
—
Alcione
Away (5)
0.40
PPG
1.40
0%
Win %
20%
0.80
Goals / game
1.40
1.80
Conceded / game
1.20
43%
BTTS %
71%
14%
Clean sheet %
14%
43%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

NovaraHomeAwayAlcioneHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored60%43%75%71%71%71%
Over 1.5 Scored47%43%50%43%43%43%
Over 2.5 Scored0%0%0%21%29%14%
Failed To Score40%57%25%29%29%29%

Goals Conceded

NovaraHomeAwayAlcioneHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded80%86%75%93%100%86%
Over 1.5 Conceded40%57%25%43%43%43%
Over 2.5 Conceded0%0%0%14%14%14%
Clean Sheets20%14%25%7%0%14%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

NovaraAlcione
Over 0.587%93%
Over 1.567%79%
Over 2.553%57%
Over 3.520%50%
Over 4.50%21%
BTTS53%71%
BTTS & Win27%21%
BTTS & Draw20%36%
BTTS & Over 2.553%50%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%7%

1st Half / 2nd Half

NovaraAlcione
Win 1st Half27%29%
Draw 1st Half27%43%
Loss 1st Half47%29%
Scored 1st Half33%43%
Conceded 1st Half60%50%
Win 2nd Half27%14%
Draw 2nd Half47%50%
Loss 2nd Half27%36%
Scored 2nd Half40%57%
Conceded 2nd Half47%79%
Over 0.5 HT80%71%
Over 1.5 HT13%43%

Recent Venue Form

Novara (H)
LCittadella0–2
LOspitaletto0–2
DAthletic Carpi2–2
LPergolettese0–1
DLivorno0–0
DFolgore Caratese2–2
Alcione (A)
DLecco1–1
DAlbinoleffe1–1
DPRO Vercelli2–2
WFolgore Caratese3–2
DDolomiti Bellunesi0–0
LMantova2–6

Head to Head · 5 matches

3
Novara
60%
1
Draws
20%
1
Alcione
20%
60%
Over 1.5
3/5
40%
Over 2.5
2/5
0%
Over 3.5
0/5
40%
BTTS
2/5
16/08/26
Alcione
0–1
Novara
22/03/26
Novara
3–0
Alcione
16/11/25
Alcione
0–1
Novara
09/02/25
Novara
1–1
Alcione
28/09/24
Alcione
2–1
Novara
Serie C - Girone A
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Cittadella11902+1227
2Union Brescia11641+1022
3Trento10550+1020
4Treviso11542+419
5Ospitaletto10532+818
6Arzignano Valchiampo10523+317
7Alcione11362+115
8Pergolettese10352014
9Lecco10343+313
10Albinoleffe10343+113
11Desenzano Calvina10343-213
12Lumezzane10334-312
13Athletic Carpi11335-512
14Novara10244-410
15Juventus U2310244-610
16Dolomiti Bellunesi11245-610
17PRO Vercelli10235-109
18Giana Erminio10154-38
19Folgore Caratese10136-66
20Renate10046-74

Team Insights

Novara
  • ●Novara failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Novara have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Novara failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Novara have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Novara failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Novara failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●80% of Novara's points have been earned away.
Alcione
  • ●Alcione failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
  • ●Alcione have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Alcione failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Alcione have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Alcione have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Alcione failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Alcione failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●65% of Alcione's goals conceded were conceded at home.
NovaraNovara
DAAlbinoleffe10º2–2
LHCittadella1º0–2
WADolomiti Bellunesi16º2–1
LHOspitaletto5º0–2
DHAthletic Carpi13º2–2
DALumezzane12º0–0
LHPergolettese8º0–1
WARenate20º2–1
DHLivorno0–0
DHFolgore Caratese19º2–2
AlcioneAlcione
LHAthletic Carpi13º1–2
WHDesenzano Calvina11º4–1
DALecco9º1–1
DHTrento3º2–2
DAAlbinoleffe10º1–1
LHUnion Brescia2º0–4
DAPRO Vercelli17º2–2
WAFolgore Caratese19º3–2
DHTreviso4º1–1
DADolomiti Bellunesi16º0–0

Season Schedule

Novara
DAAlbinoleffe2–2
LHCittadella0–2
WADolomiti Bellunesi2–1
LHOspitaletto0–2
DHAthletic Carpi2–2
DALumezzane0–0
–AArzignano Valchiampo25/10
–HDesenzano Calvina02/11
–ATreviso08/11
Alcione
LHAthletic Carpi1–2
WHDesenzano Calvina4–1
DALecco1–1
DHTrento2–2
DAAlbinoleffe1–1
LHUnion Brescia0–4
–AGiana Erminio31/10
–HLumezzane06/11
–AArzignano Valchiampo14/11

Top Scorers

Novara
F. Lorenzini2 ⚽
C. Donadio1 ⚽
C. da Graca1 ⚽
D. Dell'Erba1 ⚽
D. Zuppel1 ⚽
A. Valdesi1 ⚽
Alcione
A. Rolfini5 ⚽
F. Morselli4 ⚽
J. Pitou2 ⚽
2 ⚽
L. Zini1 ⚽
M. Marconi1 ⚽

Cards Given

Novara
G. Basso4 🟨
M. Miceli4 🟨
E. Zambataro2 🟨
D. Zuppel2 🟨
A. Valdesi2 🟨
F. Lorenzini2 🟨
Alcione
E. Lopes3 🟨
F. Pirola2 🟨
A. Rolfini2 🟨
E. Sadotti2 🟨
D. Ciappellano2 🟨
N. Trapani2 🟨