Novara vs Union Brescia — Serie C - Girone A
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Novara and Union Brescia meet in the Serie C - Girone A 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Novara have recorded 6 wins from 18 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 0.94 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Union Brescia have won 53% of their 17 matches, with 1.94 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 35%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.96 for Novara and 1.51 for Union Brescia. The models give Novara a 23% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Union Brescia win at 51%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Novara | Home | Away | Union Brescia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 50% | 60% | 88% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 38% | 40% | 53% | 67% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 50% | 40% | 12% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Novara | Home | Away | Union Brescia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 75% | 80% | 65% | 78% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 50% | 40% | 41% | 44% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 25% | 20% | 35% | 22% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Novara | Union Brescia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 12% |
| BTTS | 44% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Novara | Union Brescia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 28% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 59% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 61% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 53% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 11% | 41% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | +13 | 30 | |
| 2 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +15 | 28 | |
| 3 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | +12 | 27 | |
| 4 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 21 | |
| 5 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +7 | 19 | |
| 6 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 19 | |
| 7 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 18 | |
| 8 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +7 | 17 | |
| 9 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 17 | |
| 10 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 17 | |
| 11 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 16 | |
| 12 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 16 | |
| 13 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 13 | |
| 14 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 | |
| 15 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 12 | |
| 16 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 11 | |
| 17 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 11 | |
| 18 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 | |
| 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -12 | 10 | |
| 20 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -10 | 7 |
Team Insights
- ●Novara have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Novara have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Novara failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Novara failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●62% of Novara's points have been earned away.
- ●Union Brescia have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Union Brescia have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Union Brescia have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Union Brescia have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Union Brescia have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Union Brescia have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Union Brescia failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Union Brescia have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Union Brescia have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Union Brescia have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Union Brescia have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Union Brescia have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.