Livorno vs Grosseto — Serie C - Girone B
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Livorno and Grosseto meet in the Serie C - Girone B 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Livorno have recorded 5 wins from 10 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Grosseto have won 33% of their 9 matches, with 1.56 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 78%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.43 for Livorno and 1.07 for Grosseto. The models give Livorno a 43% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Grosseto win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
LivornoGrossetoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Livorno | Home | Away | Grosseto | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 100% | 0% | 90% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 57% | 0% | 60% | 63% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 29% | 0% | 10% | 13% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 0% | 100% | 10% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Livorno | Home | Away | Grosseto | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 86% | 33% | 70% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 14% | 33% | 40% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 14% | 67% | 30% | 25% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Livorno | Grosseto | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 20% |
| BTTS | 60% | 70% |
| BTTS & Win | 40% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Livorno | Grosseto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 60% |
| Draw 1st Half | 78% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 70% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 44% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Livorno (H)
Vado3–2
Atalanta II1–0
Torres2–1
Reggiana3–1
Empoli1–1
Cittadella Vis Modena2–1Grosseto (A)
Pianese0–0
Ostia Mare2–1
Desenzano Calvina1–0
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano3–0
Prato0–1
Robur Siena1–1Head to Head · 10 matches
LivornoGrossetoGrossetoLivornoLivornoGrossetoLivornoGrossetoGrossetoLivorno| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spezia | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 2 | Reggiana | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 11 |
| 3 |  Ravenna | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 11 |
| 4 | Livorno | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 5 | Torres | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Grosseto | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |  Forli | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 8 | Atalanta II | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 |  Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 8 |
| 10 |  Gubbio | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |  Campobasso FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |  Perugia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 |  Pineto | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Pescara | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Latina | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Vado | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | Ostia Mare | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Pianese | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 2 |
| 19 |  Sambenedettese | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 |  Vis Pesaro | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 1 |
Team Insights
Livorno- ●Livorno have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●90% of Livorno's points have been earned at home.
Grosseto- ●Grosseto have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Grosseto have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Grosseto have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●78% of Grosseto's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Grosseto have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
LivornoVado3–2Spezia0–2Atalanta II1–0Pineto0–0Torres2–1Guidonia Montecelio 193721/09Pianese26/09Pescara03/10GrossetoPerugia2–0Campobasso FC2–2Pianese0–0Torres2–0Ostia Mare2–1Spezia1–1Pineto26/09Sambenedettese03/10Vis Pesaro11/10Top Scorers
LivornoGrossetoCards Given
LivornoGrosseto