Sambenedettese vs Livorno — Serie C - Girone B
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Sambenedettese and Livorno meet in the Serie C - Girone B 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Sambenedettese have recorded 2 wins from 13 matches this season (15% win rate), averaging 1.23 goals scored and 1.77 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 77% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Livorno have won 43% of their 14 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.24 for Sambenedettese and 1.19 for Livorno. The models give Sambenedettese a 36% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Livorno win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Sambenedettese—
Livorno19º
Position
5º
0.67
PPG
1.67
11%
Win %
44%
1.33
Goals / game
1.22
1.67
Conceded / game
1.11
77%
BTTS %
64%
8%
Clean sheet %
21%
62%
Over 2.5 %
36%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Sambenedettese
Home (5)
—
Livorno
Away (4)
0.40
PPG
0.75
0%
Win %
0%
1.40
Goals / game
0.50
2.00
Conceded / game
1.00
83%
BTTS %
40%
0%
Clean sheet %
40%
83%
Over 2.5 %
0%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Sambenedettese | Home | Away | Livorno | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 83% | 86% | 71% | 89% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 33% | 29% | 36% | 56% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 0% | 14% | 21% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 17% | 14% | 29% | 11% | 60% |
Goals Conceded
| Sambenedettese | Home | Away | Livorno | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 92% | 100% | 86% | 79% | 89% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 54% | 83% | 29% | 21% | 22% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 8% | 0% | 14% | 21% | 11% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sambenedettese | Livorno | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 36% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 14% |
| BTTS | 77% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 38% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sambenedettese | Livorno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 46% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 23% | 62% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 8% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 23% |
| Win 2nd Half | 8% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 54% | 46% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 85% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 54% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 15% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Sambenedettese (H)D
Latina1–1
Latina1–1L
Campobasso FC1–2
Campobasso FC1–2L
Atalanta II2–3
Atalanta II2–3L
Spezia1–2
Spezia1–2D
Forli2–2
Forli2–2L
Avellino0–5
Avellino0–5Livorno (A)DForli1–1
Forli1–1D
Guidonia Montecelio 19371–1
Guidonia Montecelio 19371–1LSpezia0–2
Spezia0–2D
Novara0–0
Novara0–0D
Pineto0–0
Pineto0–0W
Pontedera2–0
Pontedera2–0Head to Head · 3 matches
0
Sambenedettese
0%
1
Draws
33%
2
Livorno
67%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
28/02/26Livorno
Sambenedettese
0–0Livorno18/10/25Sambenedettese
Livorno
2–1Sambenedettese14/05/25Livorno
Sambenedettese
2–3Livorno| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +13 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ravenna | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 3 |  Grosseto | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 |  Torres | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 15 |
| 5 | Livorno | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 15 |
| 6 |  Reggiana | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 7 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 |  Perugia | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 13 |
| 9 | Campobasso FC | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Pescara | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Forli | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 12 |  Vado | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 |  Ostia Mare | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Atalanta II | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Latina | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Pianese | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Pineto | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 |  Gubbio | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 | Sambenedettese | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 |  Vis Pesaro | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
Sambenedettese- ●Sambenedettese failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Sambenedettese have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Sambenedettese have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Sambenedettese failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Sambenedettese have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Sambenedettese failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●67% of Sambenedettese's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●67% of Sambenedettese's points have been earned away.
Livorno- ●Livorno failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Livorno failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●82% of Livorno's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of Livorno's points have been earned at home.
- ●Livorno have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
SambenedetteseDHLatina1–1
Latina1–1WAGrosseto3–1
Grosseto3–1LHCampobasso FC1–2
Campobasso FC1–2DAPianese1–1
Pianese1–1LHAtalanta II2–3
Atalanta II2–3LAPineto1–2
Pineto1–2–AVado17/10
Vado17/10–HLivorno24/10
Livorno24/10–AReggiana30/10
Reggiana30/10LivornoDAForli1–1
Forli1–1LHPescara0–1
Pescara0–1WHPianese3–2
Pianese3–2DAGuidonia Montecelio 19371–1
Guidonia Montecelio 19371–1WHVado3–2
Vado3–2LASpezia0–2
Spezia0–2–HGrosseto16/10
Grosseto16/10–ASambenedettese24/10
Sambenedettese24/10–HOstia Mare01/11
Ostia Mare01/11Top Scorers
SambenedetteseL. Sgarbi4 ⚽
K. Candellori3 ⚽
D. P. Stabile2 ⚽
E. Plicco2 ⚽
G. Tunjov2 ⚽
S. Nicoli2 ⚽
LivornoM. Malotti3 ⚽
M. Aramu3 ⚽
G. Gabbiani3 ⚽
A. Bacciardi3 ⚽
T. Mancini2 ⚽
J. C. Mawete2 ⚽
Cards Given
SambenedetteseA. Zini4 🟨
L. Pezzola3 🟨
S. Magnaghi3 🟨
K. Candellori2 🟨
J. Machin2 🟨
G. Tunjov2 🟨
LivornoN. Falasco3 🟨
T. Arrigoni3 🟨
K. Djidji2 🟨
A. Bacciardi2 🟨
S. Regazzetti2 🟨
T. Mancini2 🟨