Livorno vs Ostia Mare — Serie C - Girone B
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Livorno and Ostia Mare meet in the Serie C - Girone B 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Livorno have recorded 6 wins from 14 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 36%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Ostia Mare have won 17% of their 12 matches, with 0.83 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for Livorno and 1.24 for Ostia Mare. The models give Livorno a 44% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Ostia Mare win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
LivornoOstia MareHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Livorno | Home | Away | Ostia Mare | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 89% | 40% | 58% | 40% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 56% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 11% | 60% | 42% | 60% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Livorno | Home | Away | Ostia Mare | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 89% | 60% | 83% | 80% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 21% | 22% | 20% | 33% | 40% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 11% | 40% | 17% | 20% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Livorno | Ostia Mare | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 36% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 8% |
| BTTS | 64% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 36% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Livorno | Ostia Mare | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 62% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 8% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 23% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 8% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 67% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 46% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 54% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Livorno (H)
Pescara0–1
Pianese3–2
Vado3–2
Atalanta II1–0
Torres2–1
Reggiana3–1Ostia Mare (A)
Latina1–1
Gubbio2–0Torres2–3
Vis Pesaro2–1
Perugia0–1Latina1–1Head to Head · 4 matches
LivornoOstia MareLivornoOstia Mare| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spezia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +13 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ravenna | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 3 |  Grosseto | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 | Torres | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 15 |
| 5 | Livorno | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 15 |
| 6 | Reggiana | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 7 |  Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 | Perugia | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 13 |
| 9 |  Campobasso FC | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Pescara | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |  Forli | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 12 | Vado | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | Ostia Mare | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Atalanta II | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Latina | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Pianese | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 |  Pineto | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Gubbio | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |  Sambenedettese | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 | Vis Pesaro | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
Livorno- ●Livorno failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Livorno failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●82% of Livorno's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of Livorno's points have been earned at home.
- ●Livorno have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Ostia Mare- ●Ostia Mare have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Ostia Mare have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Ostia Mare have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ostia Mare failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●78% of Ostia Mare's goals have been scored away.
- ●78% of Ostia Mare's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
LivornoForli1–1Pescara0–1Pianese3–2Guidonia Montecelio 19371–1Vado3–2Spezia0–2Grosseto16/10Sambenedettese24/10Ostia Mare01/11Ostia MarePianese0–0Latina1–1Forli1–1Gubbio2–0Ravenna0–1Torres2–3Pescara18/10Vado23/10Livorno01/11Top Scorers
LivornoOstia MareCards Given
LivornoOstia Mare