Grosseto vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 — Serie C - Girone B
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Grosseto and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 meet in the Serie C - Girone B 2026 season on 23 November 2026. Grosseto have recorded 6 wins from 14 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have won 45% of their 11 matches, with 1.55 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 73%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for Grosseto and 1.16 for Guidonia Montecelio 1937. The models give Grosseto a 48% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Guidonia Montecelio 1937 win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Grosseto—
Guidonia Montecelio 19373º
Position
5º
1.90
PPG
1.60
50%
Win %
40%
2.10
Goals / game
1.40
1.30
Conceded / game
1.00
71%
BTTS %
73%
29%
Clean sheet %
27%
71%
Over 2.5 %
45%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Grosseto
Home (5)
—
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Away (4)
1.60
PPG
0.50
40%
Win %
0%
1.60
Goals / game
1.00
1.20
Conceded / game
1.50
78%
BTTS %
100%
22%
Clean sheet %
0%
67%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Grosseto | Home | Away | Guidonia Montecelio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 93% | 100% | 80% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 64% | 56% | 80% | 27% | 33% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 11% | 60% | 27% | 33% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Grosseto | Home | Away | Guidonia Montecelio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 78% | 60% | 73% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 56% | 40% | 36% | 17% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 22% | 40% | 27% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Grosseto | Guidonia Montecelio | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 57% | 18% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 18% |
| BTTS | 71% | 73% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 36% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 64% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Grosseto | Guidonia Montecelio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 57% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 21% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 45% |
| Scored 1st Half | 71% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 55% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 9% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 82% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 27% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 93% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 57% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Grosseto (H)L
Sambenedettese1–3
Sambenedettese1–3W
Perugia2–0
Perugia2–0D
Campobasso FC2–2
Campobasso FC2–2L
Latina1–4
Latina1–4W
Torres2–0
Torres2–0D
Spezia1–1
Spezia1–1Guidonia Montecelio (A)D
Pescara1–1
Pescara1–1L
Vis Pesaro1–2
Vis Pesaro1–2DLatina1–1
Latina1–1L
Atalanta II1–2
Atalanta II1–2WGrosseto3–2
Grosseto3–2L
Ascoli0–1
Ascoli0–1Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Grosseto
33%
0
Draws
0%
2
Guidonia Montecelio
67%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
33%
BTTS
1/3
14/08/26Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Grosseto
2–3Guidonia Montecelio 193716/02/20Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Grosseto
1–0Guidonia Montecelio 193713/10/19Grosseto
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
3–0Grosseto| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +14 | 28 |
| 2 |  Ravenna | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 | Grosseto | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 19 |
| 4 |  Reggiana | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 6 |  Livorno | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 | Perugia | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 8 | Pescara | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 | Torres | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Latina | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 |  Vado | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Atalanta II | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Campobasso FC | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 |  Forli | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 15 |  Ostia Mare | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 |  Pianese | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 |  Pineto | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Sambenedettese | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 |  Gubbio | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 7 |
| 20 | Vis Pesaro | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 4 |
Team Insights
Grosseto- ●Grosseto have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Grosseto have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Grosseto have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Grosseto have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Grosseto have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Grosseto have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●62% of Grosseto's goals have been scored away.
- ●Grosseto have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Guidonia Montecelio- ●Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●71% of Guidonia Montecelio 1937's goals have been scored at home.
- ●87% of Guidonia Montecelio 1937's points have been earned at home.
- ●Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
GrossetoDALivorno4–4
Livorno4–4WAVis Pesaro3–2
Vis Pesaro3–2LHSambenedettese1–3
Sambenedettese1–3WAPineto4–0
Pineto4–0WHPerugia2–0
Perugia2–0DHCampobasso FC2–2
Campobasso FC2–2–HReggiana25/10
Reggiana25/10–AVado31/10
Vado31/10–HPescara08/11
Pescara08/11Guidonia MontecelioWHForli3–2
Forli3–2DAPescara1–1
Pescara1–1WHPineto1–0
Pineto1–0LAVis Pesaro1–2
Vis Pesaro1–2DHLivorno1–1
Livorno1–1DALatina1–1
Latina1–1–ATorres25/10
Torres25/10–HPerugia31/10
Perugia31/10–ASambenedettese08/11
Sambenedettese08/11Top Scorers
GrossetoP. Fiorini3 ⚽
F. Fabri3 ⚽
L. Sabattini3 ⚽
M. Gaddini3 ⚽
L. Gori3 ⚽
3 ⚽
Guidonia MontecelioE. Vertainen3 ⚽
M. Tonetto2 ⚽
P. Giannotti2 ⚽
D. Borghini2 ⚽
V. Mastrantonio2 ⚽
D. Sannipoli2 ⚽
Cards Given
GrossetoM. Damiani4 🟨
P. Fiorini3 🟨
D. Brenna3 🟨
F. Fabri3 🟨
L. Sabattini2 🟨
F. Ampollini2 🟨
Guidonia MontecelioS. Esempio3 🟨
S. Santoro2 🟨
S. Tascone2 🟨
D. Borghini2 🟨
R. Baroni1 🟨
A. Murgia1 🟨