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Perugia vs Livorno — Serie C - Girone B

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Italy · Serie C - Girone B · Girone B - 16
Perugia
Perugia
8º · 1.45 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 36d 19h
vs
–
–
Livorno
Livorno
7º · 1.45 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 36d 1h
Stadio Renato Curi·Perugia·Italy·23,625
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Perugia and Livorno meet in the Serie C - Girone B 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Perugia have recorded 5 wins from 12 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Livorno have won 38% of their 16 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 19%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.16 for Perugia and 1.04 for Livorno. The models give Perugia a 41% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Livorno win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 37% and BTTS at 44%.

Season Statistics

Perugia
—
Livorno
8º
Position
7º
1.45
PPG
1.45
45%
Win %
36%
1.36
Goals / game
1.45
1.55
Conceded / game
1.45
50%
BTTS %
69%
17%
Clean sheet %
19%
67%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Perugia
Home (6)
—
Livorno
Away (5)
1.50
PPG
0.60
50%
Win %
0%
0.83
Goals / game
0.60
1.33
Conceded / game
1.20
43%
BTTS %
50%
29%
Clean sheet %
33%
57%
Over 2.5 %
17%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

PerugiaHomeAwayLivornoHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored67%71%60%75%90%50%
Over 1.5 Scored33%14%60%38%60%0%
Over 2.5 Scored17%0%40%25%40%0%
Failed To Score33%29%40%25%10%50%

Goals Conceded

PerugiaHomeAwayLivornoHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded83%71%100%81%90%67%
Over 1.5 Conceded58%57%60%31%30%33%
Over 2.5 Conceded17%14%20%6%10%0%
Clean Sheets17%29%0%19%10%33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

PerugiaLivorno
Over 0.5100%88%
Over 1.583%75%
Over 2.567%44%
Over 3.525%25%
Over 4.58%19%
BTTS50%69%
BTTS & Win25%31%
BTTS & Draw8%31%
BTTS & Over 2.550%44%
BTTS No & Over 2.517%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

PerugiaLivorno
Win 1st Half25%27%
Draw 1st Half50%60%
Loss 1st Half25%13%
Scored 1st Half58%53%
Conceded 1st Half50%33%
Win 2nd Half33%33%
Draw 2nd Half17%27%
Loss 2nd Half50%40%
Scored 2nd Half42%53%
Conceded 2nd Half50%53%
Over 0.5 HT75%60%
Over 1.5 HT42%40%

Recent Venue Form

Perugia (H)
LPescara1–2
LVado0–2
WReggiana1–0
LSpezia0–3
WPineto2–1
WOstia Mare1–0
Livorno (A)
LSambenedettese1–2
DForli1–1
DGuidonia Montecelio 19371–1
LSpezia0–2
DNovara0–0
DPineto0–0

Head to Head · 6 matches

6
Perugia
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Livorno
0%
67%
Over 1.5
4/6
50%
Over 2.5
3/6
33%
Over 3.5
2/6
50%
BTTS
3/6
04/03/26
Livorno
1–2
Perugia
27/10/25
Perugia
2–0
Livorno
27/01/20
Perugia
1–0
Livorno
31/08/19
Livorno
0–1
Perugia
30/03/19
Perugia
3–1
Livorno
04/11/18
Livorno
2–3
Perugia
Serie C - Girone B
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Spezia11920+1429
2Ravenna11722+1423
3Grosseto10541+819
4Pescara11533+218
5Reggiana10523+517
6Guidonia Montecelio 193710442+416
7Livorno11443016
8Perugia11515-216
9Vado11434+115
10Torres10433-115
11Campobasso FC11434-415
12Latina11353014
13Pineto11353-214
14Atalanta II10406-412
15Forli10253011
16Sambenedettese11245-210
17Ostia Mare11236-49
18Pianese10154-48
19Gubbio11218-117
20Vis Pesaro10118-144

Team Insights

Perugia
  • ●Perugia have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Perugia failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Perugia failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Perugia failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●67% of Perugia's goals have been scored away.
Livorno
  • ●Livorno have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Livorno failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
  • ●Livorno failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Livorno failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●81% of Livorno's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●81% of Livorno's points have been earned at home.
PerugiaPerugia
LHPescara4º1–2
WACampobasso FC11º5–1
LHVado9º0–2
WAGubbio19º3–1
WHReggiana5º1–0
LAGrosseto3º0–2
LHSpezia1º0–3
LARavenna2º0–3
WHPineto13º2–1
DAVis Pesaro20º2–2
LivornoLivorno
LASambenedettese16º1–2
DHGrosseto3º4–4
DAForli15º1–1
LHPescara4º0–1
WHPianese18º3–2
DAGuidonia Montecelio 19376º1–1
WHVado9º3–2
LASpezia1º0–2
WHAtalanta II14º1–0
DANovara0–0

Season Schedule

Perugia
LHPescara1–2
WACampobasso FC5–1
LHVado0–2
WAGubbio3–1
WHReggiana1–0
LAGrosseto0–2
–AGuidonia Montecelio 193731/10
–APianese08/11
–HTorres16/11
Livorno
LASambenedettese1–2
DHGrosseto4–4
DAForli1–1
LHPescara0–1
WHPianese3–2
DAGuidonia Montecelio 19371–1
–HOstia Mare01/11
–ACampobasso FC08/11
–AReggiana14/11

Top Scorers

Perugia
L. Canotto4 ⚽
A. Tozzuolo3 ⚽
A. Sabbatani2 ⚽
C. Langella1 ⚽
D. Riccardi1 ⚽
E. Agnissan1 ⚽
Livorno
M. Malotti4 ⚽
G. Gabbiani4 ⚽
T. Mancini3 ⚽
L. Malagrida3 ⚽
M. Aramu3 ⚽
A. Bacciardi3 ⚽

Cards Given

Perugia
E. Kabashi5 🟨
D. Papazov4 🟨
A. Sabbatani3 🟨
A. Diana2 🟨
D. Riccardi2 🟨
C. Langella2 🟨
Livorno
T. Arrigoni3 🟨
N. Falasco3 🟨
F. Veseli2 🟨
A. Bacciardi2 🟨
K. Djidji2 🟨
G. Gabbiani2 🟨