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Forli vs Perugia — Serie C - Girone B

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Forli
Forli
14º · 1.15 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 34d 21h
vs
–
–
Perugia
Perugia
11º · 1.42 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 33d 21h
Stadio Tullo Morgagni·Forlì·Italy·3,466
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Forli and Perugia meet in the Serie C - Girone B 2026 season on 12 December 2026. Forli have recorded 4 wins from 17 matches this season (24% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 35%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Perugia have won 38% of their 13 matches, with 1.31 goals scored and 1.54 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 15%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for Forli and 1.30 for Perugia. The models give Forli a 43% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Perugia win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.

Season Statistics

Forli
—
Perugia
14º
Position
11º
1.15
PPG
1.42
23%
Win %
42%
1.31
Goals / game
1.33
1.38
Conceded / game
1.50
65%
BTTS %
54%
18%
Clean sheet %
15%
35%
Over 2.5 %
62%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Forli
Home (6)
—
Perugia
Away (6)
2.00
PPG
1.33
50%
Win %
33%
1.83
Goals / game
1.83
1.00
Conceded / game
1.67
57%
BTTS %
67%
43%
Clean sheet %
0%
29%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

ForliHomeAwayPerugiaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored71%71%70%71%71%71%
Over 1.5 Scored29%29%30%36%14%57%
Over 2.5 Scored12%14%10%14%0%29%
Failed To Score29%29%30%29%29%29%

Goals Conceded

ForliHomeAwayPerugiaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded82%57%100%86%71%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded35%14%50%57%57%57%
Over 2.5 Conceded12%14%10%21%14%29%
Clean Sheets18%43%0%14%29%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

ForliPerugia
Over 0.588%100%
Over 1.576%86%
Over 2.535%64%
Over 3.524%29%
Over 4.512%14%
BTTS65%57%
BTTS & Win18%21%
BTTS & Draw35%14%
BTTS & Over 2.535%50%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%14%

1st Half / 2nd Half

ForliPerugia
Win 1st Half12%21%
Draw 1st Half53%43%
Loss 1st Half35%36%
Scored 1st Half35%50%
Conceded 1st Half65%57%
Win 2nd Half35%36%
Draw 2nd Half59%21%
Loss 2nd Half6%43%
Scored 2nd Half53%50%
Conceded 2nd Half35%50%
Over 0.5 HT71%79%
Over 1.5 HT47%36%

Recent Venue Form

Forli (H)
WGubbio1–0
DPianese0–0
DLivorno1–1
DTorres1–1
WVis Pesaro2–1
WPescara6–3
Perugia (A)
LPianese2–3
DGuidonia Montecelio 19371–1
WCampobasso FC5–1
WGubbio3–1
LGrosseto0–2
LRavenna0–3

Head to Head · 3 matches

0
Forli
0%
1
Draws
33%
2
Perugia
67%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
67%
Over 3.5
2/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
26/04/26
Forli
1–1
Perugia
21/12/25
Perugia
4–0
Forli
30/07/24
Perugia
4–2
Forli
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Spezia131120+1935
2Ravenna13922+1729
3Grosseto12651+1023
4Reggiana13625+420
5Pescara12543+219
6Livorno12543+119
7Torres12543+119
8Campobasso FC12534-218
9Atalanta II13607-318
10Guidonia Montecelio 193712453+217
11Perugia12525-217
12Vado13445-116
13Latina12363015
14Forli13364-115
15Pineto12354-314
16Sambenedettese12246-410
17Pianese12174-410
18Ostia Mare13238-99
19Gubbio13229-128
20Vis Pesaro12129-155

Team Insights

Forli
  • ●Forli have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Forli have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Forli have lost their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Forli failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
  • ●Forli failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Forli failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●65% of Forli's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●67% of Forli's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●80% of Forli's points have been earned at home.
  • ●Forli have conceded 72% of their goals in the first half.
Perugia
  • ●Perugia have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Perugia failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Perugia failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
  • ●Perugia have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Perugia failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Perugia failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Perugia have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●72% of Perugia's goals have been scored away.
WHGubbio19º1–0
LACampobasso FC8º0–2
DHPianese17º0–0
DHLivorno6º1–1
LAVado12º0–1
DAOstia Mare18º1–1
DHTorres7º1–1
DAPineto15º1–1
WHVis Pesaro20º2–1
LAPianese17º2–3
LHPescara5º1–2
WACampobasso FC8º5–1
LHVado12º0–2
WAGubbio19º3–1
WHReggiana4º1–0
LAGrosseto3º0–2
LHSpezia1º0–3
LARavenna2º0–3

Season Schedule

Forli
WHGubbio1–0
LACampobasso FC0–2
DHPianese0–0
LAGuidonia Montecelio 19372–3
DHLivorno1–1
LAVado0–1
–ARavenna15/11
–HReggiana22/11
–AAtalanta II29/11
Perugia
LAPianese2–3
DAGuidonia Montecelio 19371–1
LHPescara1–2
WACampobasso FC5–1
LHVado0–2
WAGubbio3–1
–HTorres16/11
–ASambenedettese22/11
–HLivorno29/11

Top Scorers

Forli
V. Coveri6 ⚽
E. Petrelli4 ⚽
D. Macri3 ⚽
G. Perini3 ⚽
L. Munaretti2 ⚽
N. Tordiglione2 ⚽
Perugia
L. Canotto4 ⚽
A. Tozzuolo3 ⚽
A. Sabbatani3 ⚽
G. Carriero2 ⚽
D. Riccardi1 ⚽
E. Agnissan1 ⚽

Cards Given

Forli
L. Munaretti3 🟨
V. Coveri3 🟨
N. Farinelli2 🟨
F. Valentini2 🟨
M. Rosetti2 🟨
M. Onofri2 🟨
Perugia
E. Kabashi5 🟨
D. Papazov4 🟨
D. Riccardi3 🟨
A. Sabbatani3 🟨
D. Stramaccioni3 🟨
A. Diana2 🟨