Bari vs Crotone — Serie C - Girone C
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Bari and Crotone meet in the Serie C - Girone C 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Bari have recorded 7 wins from 11 matches this season (64% win rate), averaging 1.36 goals scored and 0.64 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 27% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 64% of games. Crotone have won 10% of their 10 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for Bari and 0.87 for Crotone. The models give Bari a 53% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Crotone win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Bari
CrotoneHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Bari | Home | Away | Crotone | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 86% | 75% | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 29% | 50% | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 14% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 14% | 25% | 40% | 50% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Bari | Home | Away | Crotone | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 36% | 14% | 75% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 18% | 0% | 50% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 25% | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 64% | 86% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bari | Crotone | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 10% |
| BTTS | 27% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 18% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 27% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bari | Crotone | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 55% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 9% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 18% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 30% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 27% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Bari (H)
Giugliano2–0
Cosenza1–0
Potenza0–0
Casarano1–0
AZ Picerno1–1
Cavese3–0Crotone (A)
Catania1–2
SS Monopoli2–2
Savoia1–1
Sorrento0–1
Casertana1–1Casarano2–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 22 |
| 2 | Bari | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 3 | Sorrento | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +4 | 18 |
| 4 | Catania | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 16 |
| 5 | Casertana | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 |  Audace Cerignola | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 14 |
| 7 |  Scafatese | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 |  Salernitana | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 | AZ Picerno | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Cavese | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | SS Monopoli | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 |  Foggia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 | Casarano | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 |  Inter U23 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Savoia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 16 |  Barletta | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 17 |  Team Altamura | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 | Cosenza | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 5 |
| 20 | Crotone | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
Team Insights
Bari- ●Bari have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Bari have kept a clean sheet in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Bari have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
Crotone- ●Crotone failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Crotone failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Crotone failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Crotone have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
BariGiugliano2–0Salernitana1–2Cosenza1–0Sorrento2–1Potenza0–0Team Altamura3–0Crotone18/10Casertana23/10Scafatese31/10CrotoneAudace Cerignola2–3Catania1–2Salernitana2–1SS Monopoli2–2Inter U230–2Savoia1–1Bari18/10Casarano26/10Potenza01/11Top Scorers
BariCrotoneCards Given
BariCrotone