Casertana vs Bari — Serie C - Girone C
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Casertana and Bari meet in the Serie C - Girone C 2026 season on 23 October 2026. Casertana have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Bari have won 64% of their 11 matches, with 1.36 goals scored and 0.64 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 27%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 64%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for Casertana and 1.36 for Bari. The models give Casertana a 46% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Bari win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Casertana
BariHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Casertana | Home | Away | Bari | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 100% | 50% | 82% | 86% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 36% | 29% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 33% | 25% | 18% | 14% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 50% | 18% | 14% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Casertana | Home | Away | Bari | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 83% | 75% | 36% | 14% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 60% | 67% | 50% | 18% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 17% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% | 64% | 86% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Casertana | Bari | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 0% |
| BTTS | 70% | 27% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 70% | 18% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 27% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Casertana | Bari | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 55% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 9% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 70% | 18% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 27% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Casertana (H)
SS Monopoli3–1
Catania1–2
Team Altamura1–0
Scafatese2–2
Barletta3–3
Savoia1–2Bari (A)
Salernitana1–2
Sorrento2–1Team Altamura3–0Barletta0–3
Sudtirol0–0
Catanzaro3–2Head to Head · 3 matches
CasertanaBariBari| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Potenza | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 22 |
| 2 | Bari | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 3 | Sorrento | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +4 | 18 |
| 4 | Catania | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 16 |
| 5 | Casertana | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 |  Audace Cerignola | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 14 |
| 7 |  Inter U23 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 | Scafatese | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 | Salernitana | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 10 |  AZ Picerno | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 |  Cavese | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | SS Monopoli | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 |  Foggia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 |  Casarano | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Savoia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 16 | Barletta | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 17 | Team Altamura | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
| 18 |  Giugliano | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 7 |
| 19 |  Cosenza | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 5 |
| 20 |  Crotone | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
Team Insights
Casertana- ●Casertana have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Casertana failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●67% of Casertana's goals have been scored at home.
Bari- ●Bari have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Bari have kept a clean sheet in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Bari have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
Season Schedule
CasertanaSS Monopoli3–1Cavese0–2Catania1–2Audace Cerignola0–0Team Altamura1–0Inter U233–2Sorrento18/10Bari23/10Giugliano31/10BariGiugliano2–0Salernitana1–2Cosenza1–0Sorrento2–1Potenza0–0Team Altamura3–0Crotone18/10Casertana23/10Scafatese31/10Top Scorers
CasertanaBariCards Given
CasertanaBari