Potenza vs Crotone — Serie C - Girone C
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Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani·Potenza·Italy·5,500
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Potenza and Crotone meet in the Serie C - Girone C 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Potenza have recorded 7 wins from 12 matches this season (58% win rate), averaging 2.17 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Crotone have won 10% of their 10 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.94 for Potenza and 1.22 for Crotone. The models give Potenza a 56% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Crotone win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Potenza—
Crotone1º
Position
20º
2.44
PPG
0.67
78%
Win %
11%
2.67
Goals / game
1.11
1.33
Conceded / game
1.67
75%
BTTS %
60%
17%
Clean sheet %
0%
75%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Potenza
Home (4)
—
Crotone
Away (4)
3.00
PPG
0.50
100%
Win %
0%
3.25
Goals / game
1.00
1.25
Conceded / game
1.50
67%
BTTS %
75%
17%
Clean sheet %
0%
67%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Potenza | Home | Away | Crotone | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 83% | 83% | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 50% | 67% | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 42% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 17% | 17% | 40% | 50% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Potenza | Home | Away | Crotone | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 83% | 83% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 50% | 33% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 17% | 33% | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 17% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Potenza | Crotone | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 67% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 42% | 10% |
| BTTS | 75% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 50% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Potenza | Crotone | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 30% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Potenza (H)W
AZ Picerno4–2
AZ Picerno4–2W
Cavese4–2
Cavese4–2W
SS Monopoli1–0
SS Monopoli1–0DSS Monopoli1–1
SS Monopoli1–1W
Casarano4–1
Casarano4–1L
Juve Stabia0–4
Juve Stabia0–4Crotone (A)L
Catania1–2
Catania1–2DSS Monopoli2–2
SS Monopoli2–2D
Savoia1–1
Savoia1–1L
Sorrento0–1
Sorrento0–1D
Casertana1–1
Casertana1–1WCasarano2–1
Casarano2–1Head to Head · 9 matches
1
Potenza
11%
5
Draws
56%
3
Crotone
33%
89%
Over 1.5
8/9
67%
Over 2.5
6/9
56%
Over 3.5
5/9
78%
BTTS
7/9
24/01/26Potenza
Crotone
2–0Potenza10/12/25Crotone
Potenza
3–1Crotone12/09/25Crotone
Potenza
3–3Crotone08/02/25Potenza
Crotone
4–1Potenza29/09/24Crotone
Potenza
3–3Crotone30/03/24Crotone
Potenza
2–2Crotone26/11/23Potenza
Crotone
2–1Potenza29/01/23Potenza
Crotone
0–0Potenza24/09/22Crotone
Potenza
1–1Crotone| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 22 |
| 2 |  Bari | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 3 | Sorrento | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +4 | 18 |
| 4 | Catania | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 16 |
| 5 | Casertana | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 |  Audace Cerignola | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 14 |
| 7 |  Inter U23 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 |  Scafatese | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Salernitana | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 10 | AZ Picerno | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Cavese | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | SS Monopoli | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 |  Foggia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Casarano | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Savoia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 16 |  Barletta | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 17 |  Team Altamura | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
| 18 |  Giugliano | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 7 |
| 19 |  Cosenza | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 5 |
| 20 | Crotone | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
Team Insights
Potenza- ●Potenza have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Potenza have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Potenza have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Potenza have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Potenza have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Potenza failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Potenza have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
Crotone- ●Crotone failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Crotone failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Crotone failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Crotone have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
PotenzaWAFoggia3–1
Foggia3–1WHAZ Picerno4–2
AZ Picerno4–2WABarletta4–1
Barletta4–1WHCavese4–2
Cavese4–2DABari0–0
Bari0–0LASalernitana2–4
Salernitana2–4–HCatania17/10
Catania17/10–ATeam Altamura23/10
Team Altamura23/10–HCrotone01/11
Crotone01/11CrotoneLHAudace Cerignola2–3
Audace Cerignola2–3LACatania1–2
Catania1–2WHSalernitana2–1
Salernitana2–1DASS Monopoli2–2
SS Monopoli2–2LHInter U230–2
Inter U230–2DASavoia1–1
Savoia1–1–ABari18/10
Bari18/10–HCasarano26/10
Casarano26/10–APotenza01/11
Potenza01/11Top Scorers
PotenzaG. Selleri6 ⚽
G. D'Auria4 ⚽
L. Petrungaro4 ⚽
M. Ghisolfi3 ⚽
J. Murano2 ⚽
A. De Marco2 ⚽
CrotoneM. Zunno4 ⚽
A. Musso3 ⚽
A. Veltri1 ⚽
E. Brignola1 ⚽
G. J. Tanco1 ⚽
Cards Given
PotenzaN. Bruschi3 🟨
2 🟨
L. Petrungaro2 🟨
M. Castorani2 🟨
M. Ghisolfi2 🟨
N. Kirwan2 🟨
CrotoneK. Barcella2 🟨
N. Armini2 🟨
F. Groppelli2 🟨
G. J. Tanco2 🟨
F. Crapisto2 🟨
P. Rodriguez2 🟨