ES Setif vs USM Alger — Ligue 1
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ES Setif and USM Alger meet in the Ligue 1 2026 season on 26 December 2026. ES Setif have recorded 2 wins from 7 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. USM Alger have won 57% of their 7 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 0.71 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 29%, Over 2.5 at 29%, and clean sheets at 57%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.28 for ES Setif and 1.05 for USM Alger. The models give ES Setif a 40% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an USM Alger win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
ES Setif
USM AlgerHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| ES Setif | Home | Away | USM Alger | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 57% | 75% | 33% | 71% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 25% | 33% | 57% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 25% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 25% | 67% | 29% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| ES Setif | Home | Away | USM Alger | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 100% | 67% | 43% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 14% | 25% | 0% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 0% | 33% | 57% | 67% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| ES Setif | USM Alger | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS | 57% | 29% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| ES Setif | USM Alger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 86% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 29% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
ES Setif (H)
Témouchent1–2
JS Kabylie1–1
CS Constantine5–1
Ben Aknoun0–1
MC Alger1–0
CR Belouizdad3–1USM Alger (A)CS Constantine2–0
MB Rouisset0–1
Olympique Akbou3–2
Khenchela0–0
MC Oran2–2Ben Aknoun2–2Head to Head · 31 matches
ES SetifUSM AlgerES SetifUSM AlgerES SetifUSM AlgerUSM AlgerES SetifUSM AlgerES SetifUSM AlgerES SetifUSM AlgerES SetifUSM AlgerUSM AlgerES SetifES SetifUSM AlgerUSM Alger| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Belouizdad | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 17 |
| 2 | JS Kabylie | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 | MC Oran | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +5 | 15 |
| 4 | USM Alger | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 | MB Rouisset | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 | MC Alger | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 13 |
| 7 | Olympique Akbou | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 | Témouchent | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 9 | ES Setif | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  JS El Biar | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Ben Aknoun | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | CS Constantine | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 13 | Khenchela | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 14 |  ASO Chlef | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 15 |  JS Saoura | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 16 |  US Biskra | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
Team Insights
ES Setif- ●78% of ES Setif's goals have been scored at home.
USM Alger- ●USM Alger have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●USM Alger have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●USM Alger have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
ES SetifASO Chlef2–1Témouchent1–2JS Kabylie1–1MC Oran0–0CS Constantine5–1CR Belouizdad0–1MB Rouisset07/11JS El Biar21/11Olympique Akbou28/11USM AlgerCS Constantine2–0CR Belouizdad2–2JS Saoura1–0MB Rouisset0–1Olympique Akbou3–2JS El Biar2–0Témouchent21/11ASO Chlef28/11ES Setif26/12Top Scorers
ES SetifUSM AlgerCards Given
ES SetifUSM Alger