Independiente Res. vs Defensa y Justicia Res. — Reserve League
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Independiente Res. and Defensa y Justicia Res. meet in the Reserve League 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Independiente Res. have recorded 19 wins from 31 matches this season (61% win rate), averaging 2.03 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. Defensa y Justicia Res. have won 37% of their 30 matches, with 1.87 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 70%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.00 for Independiente Res. and 1.23 for Defensa y Justicia Res.. The models give Independiente Res. a 58% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Defensa y Justicia Res. win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Independiente Res. | Home | Away | Defensa y | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 87% | 100% | 73% | 87% | 100% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 55% | 56% | 53% | 47% | 60% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 31% | 13% | 23% | 20% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 27% | 13% | 0% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Independiente Res. | Home | Away | Defensa y | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 56% | 67% | 83% | 73% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 25% | 20% | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 6% | 7% | 13% | 7% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 44% | 33% | 17% | 27% | 7% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Independiente Res. | Defensa y | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 23% |
| BTTS | 52% | 70% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 37% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Independiente Res. | Defensa y | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 55% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 16% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 74% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 35% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 5 matches
Team Insights
- ●Independiente Res. have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Independiente Res. have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Independiente Res. have scored in each of their last 16 home matches.
- ●Independiente Res. have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Independiente Res. have scored in 16 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Independiente Res. have won 8 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Independiente Res. have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●63% of Independiente Res.'s goals have been scored at home.
- ●Defensa y Justicia Res. failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Defensa y Justicia Res. have scored in each of their last 15 home matches.
- ●Defensa y Justicia Res. failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 away matches.
- ●Defensa y Justicia Res. failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Defensa y Justicia Res. have scored in 15 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Defensa y Justicia Res. failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Defensa y Justicia Res. have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●65% of Defensa y Justicia Res.'s goals conceded were conceded away.