HJK W vs Ilves W — Kansallinen Liiga
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HJK W and Ilves W meet in the Kansallinen Liiga 2026 season on 24 October 2026. HJK W have recorded 17 wins from 21 matches this season (81% win rate), averaging 2.57 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Ilves W have won 37% of their 19 matches, with 1.63 goals scored and 2.05 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 79%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.36 for HJK W and 1.36 for Ilves W. The models give HJK W a 66% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Ilves W win at 14%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 72% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| HJK W | Home | Away | Ilves W | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 95% | 89% | 100% | 84% | 89% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 76% | 89% | 67% | 53% | 56% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 48% | 56% | 42% | 21% | 11% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 5% | 11% | 0% | 16% | 11% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| HJK W | Home | Away | Ilves W | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 44% | 67% | 79% | 78% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 11% | 42% | 68% | 78% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 17% | 32% | 44% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 56% | 33% | 21% | 22% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| HJK W | Ilves W | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 | 52% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 32% |
| BTTS | 52% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 5% | 5% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 63% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| HJK W | Ilves W | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 57% | 37% |
| Draw 1st Half | 24% | 26% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 37% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 68% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 62% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 19% | 16% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 53% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 76% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 68% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 52% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 13 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | +29 | 39 | |
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +22 | 28 | |
| 3 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +10 | 28 | |
| 4 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 24 | |
| 5 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | +1 | 22 | |
| 6 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | -11 | 13 | |
| 7 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 7 | |
| 8 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -32 | 2 |
Team Insights
- ●HJK W have won their last 2 matches.
- ●HJK W failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●HJK W have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●HJK W have been undefeated in their last 8 away matches.
- ●HJK W have scored in each of their last 10 away matches.
- ●HJK W have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●HJK W have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 9 home matches.
- ●HJK W have scored in 8 of their 9 home matches.
- ●HJK W failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 10 away matches.
- ●HJK W have won 8 of their 10 away matches.
- ●HJK W have scored in 10 of their 10 away matches.
- ●71% of HJK W's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Ilves W have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Ilves W have lost their last 5 matches.
- ●Ilves W failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Ilves W have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ilves W failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ilves W have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Ilves W failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ilves W failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Ilves W have lost 6 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Ilves W have scored in 8 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Ilves W failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Ilves W have won 5 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Ilves W have scored in 8 of their 10 away matches.
- ●68% of Ilves W's points have been earned away.

