HPS W vs IF Gnistan — Kansallinen Liiga
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HPS W and IF Gnistan meet in the Kansallinen Liiga 2026 season on 24 October 2026. HPS W have recorded 9 wins from 18 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. IF Gnistan have won 28% of their 18 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 2.28 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.29 for HPS W and 1.25 for IF Gnistan. The models give HPS W a 62% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an IF Gnistan win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
HPS WIF GnistanHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| HPS W | Home | Away | IF Gnistan | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 100% | 50% | 72% | 78% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 50% | 25% | 39% | 44% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 28% | 40% | 13% | 17% | 22% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 0% | 50% | 28% | 22% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| HPS W | Home | Away | IF Gnistan | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 60% | 63% | 83% | 78% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 50% | 38% | 67% | 56% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 10% | 13% | 39% | 44% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 40% | 38% | 17% | 22% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| HPS W | IF Gnistan | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 39% |
| BTTS | 50% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| HPS W | IF Gnistan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 28% |
| Loss 1st Half | 39% | 39% |
| Scored 1st Half | 28% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 56% | 28% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 28% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 78% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 61% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 17% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
HPS W (H)
Ilves W1–0
HJK W3–3
KuPS W3–2Ilves W1–2
VIFK W1–1IF Gnistan4–0IF Gnistan (A)KuPS W0–2Ilves W2–1Ilves W2–2VIFK W1–0HPS W0–4KuPS W1–2Head to Head · 2 matches
IF GnistanHPS W| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HJK W | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | +29 | 39 |
| 2 |  Åland United W | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +22 | 28 |
| 3 | KuPS W | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +10 | 28 |
| 4 | HPS W | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 24 |
| 5 | Ilves W | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | +1 | 22 |
| 6 | IF Gnistan | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | -11 | 13 |
| 7 |  PK-35 Vantaa W | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 7 |
| 8 | VIFK W | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -32 | 2 |
Team Insights
HPS W- ●HPS W have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●HPS W have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●HPS W have scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
- ●HPS W have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●HPS W have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 10 home matches.
- ●HPS W have scored in 10 of their 10 home matches.
- ●HPS W have won 3 of their 8 away matches.
- ●74% of HPS W's goals have been scored at home.
IF Gnistan- ●IF Gnistan failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●IF Gnistan have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●IF Gnistan have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●IF Gnistan failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 home matches.
- ●IF Gnistan have lost 7 of their 9 home matches.
- ●IF Gnistan failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 9 away matches.
- ●62% of IF Gnistan's goals have been scored at home.
- ●63% of IF Gnistan's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
HPS WIlves W1–0HJK W3–3Åland United W1–2KuPS W3–2Ilves W1–2HJK W0–4IF Gnistan12/09KuPS W19/09Åland United W26/09IF GnistanKuPS W0–2Åland United W2–3Ilves W2–1HJK W1–3KuPS W0–1Ilves W2–2HPS W12/09HJK W19/09Ilves W26/09Top Scorers
HPS WIF GnistanCards Given
HPS WIF Gnistan