MatchPulse

Covadonga vs Astur — Tercera División RFEF - Group 2

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Covadonga
Covadonga
2º · 2.29 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 6h
vs
–
–
Astur
Astur
16º · 0.57 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 7h
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Covadonga and Astur meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Covadonga have recorded 5 wins from 7 matches this season (71% win rate), averaging 2.86 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 100%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Astur have won 0% of their 7 matches, with 0.86 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 14%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.18 for Covadonga and 1.09 for Astur. The models give Covadonga a 65% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Astur win at 14%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 59%.

Season Statistics

Covadonga
—
Astur
2º
Position
16º
2.29
PPG
0.57
71%
Win %
0%
2.86
Goals / game
0.86
1.14
Conceded / game
1.57
57%
BTTS %
57%
43%
Clean sheet %
14%
100%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Covadonga
Home (4)
—
Astur
Away (3)
3.00
PPG
0.67
100%
Win %
0%
3.50
Goals / game
1.67
0.25
Conceded / game
2.00
25%
BTTS %
100%
75%
Clean sheet %
0%
100%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

CovadongaHomeAwayAsturHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored100%100%100%57%25%100%
Over 1.5 Scored100%100%100%29%0%67%
Over 2.5 Scored43%75%0%0%0%0%
Failed To Score0%0%0%43%75%0%

Goals Conceded

CovadongaHomeAwayAsturHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded57%25%100%86%75%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded29%0%67%57%25%100%
Over 2.5 Conceded14%0%33%14%25%0%
Clean Sheets43%75%0%14%25%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

CovadongaAstur
Over 0.5100%86%
Over 1.5100%71%
Over 2.5100%57%
Over 3.571%29%
Over 4.514%0%
BTTS57%57%
BTTS & Win29%0%
BTTS & Draw14%43%
BTTS & Over 2.557%43%
BTTS No & Over 2.543%14%

1st Half / 2nd Half

CovadongaAstur
Win 1st Half29%14%
Draw 1st Half57%29%
Loss 1st Half14%57%
Scored 1st Half71%14%
Conceded 1st Half43%71%
Win 2nd Half86%14%
Draw 2nd Half0%57%
Loss 2nd Half14%29%
Scored 2nd Half86%43%
Conceded 2nd Half29%57%
Over 0.5 HT71%71%
Over 1.5 HT43%43%

Recent Venue Form

Covadonga (H)
WMosconia4–0
WSiero2–1
WCaudal4–0
WAvilés Stadium4–0
LCaudal2–4
WMosconia2–1
Astur (A)
DGijón Industrial2–2
DSan Martín2–2
LColunga1–2
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Sporting Gijón II7520+917
2Covadonga7511+1216
3Condal7430+815
4Mosconia7331+312
5Siero7403+312
6Caudal7331+212
7Praviano7322+511
8Gijón Industrial7322+311
9Lealtad7322+211
10Colunga7322-211
11San Martín7232-39
12Avilés Stadium7214-67
13Langreo7133-36
14L'Entregu7124-75
15Ceares7115-54
16Astur7043-54
17Llanes7043-74
18Andes7025-92

Team Insights

Covadonga
  • ●Covadonga have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Covadonga have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Covadonga have won their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Covadonga have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Covadonga have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●70% of Covadonga's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●87% of Covadonga's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●75% of Covadonga's points have been earned at home.
  • ●Covadonga have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Astur
  • ●Astur have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Astur have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Astur have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Astur have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
WHMosconia4º4–0
LASan Martín11º2–4
WHSiero5º2–1
WAColunga10º2–1
WHCaudal6º4–0
DALangreo13º2–2
WHAvilés Stadium12º4–0
LHCaudal4º2–4
LHCaudal4º2–4
LACaudal4º1–2
DHCondal3º1–1
DHMosconia4º0–0
DASan Martín11º2–2
LHSiero5º0–1
LAColunga10º1–2
LHCaudal6º0–3
LHValladolid1–4

Season Schedule

Covadonga
WHMosconia4–0
LASan Martín2–4
WHSiero2–1
WAColunga2–1
WHCaudal4–0
DALangreo2–2
–AGijón Industrial25/10
–HCondal01/11
–AAndes08/11
Astur
DHCondal1–1
DAGijón Industrial2–2
DHMosconia0–0
DASan Martín2–2
LHSiero0–1
LAColunga1–2
–AAndes25/10
–ALlanes01/11
–HCeares08/11

Top Scorers

Covadonga
4 ⚽
C. Cid2 ⚽
G. Fassani2 ⚽
M. Secades2 ⚽
A. Arias2 ⚽
V. Alvarez2 ⚽
Astur
A. Barrera3 ⚽
I. Garcia1 ⚽
M. Farpon1 ⚽
U. Carrera1 ⚽

Cards Given

Covadonga
1 🟨
Astur