Ceares vs Covadonga — Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
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Ceares and Covadonga meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Ceares have recorded 1 wins from 7 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Covadonga have won 71% of their 7 matches, with 2.86 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 100%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.60 for Ceares and 1.63 for Covadonga. The models give Ceares a 29% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Covadonga win at 47%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Ceares
CovadongaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Ceares | Home | Away | Covadonga | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 75% | 67% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 50% | 33% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 25% | 0% | 43% | 75% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 25% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Ceares | Home | Away | Covadonga | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 57% | 25% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 71% | 50% | 100% | 29% | 0% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 25% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 43% | 75% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ceares | Covadonga | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS | 71% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 71% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 43% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ceares | Covadonga | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 86% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 0% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 57% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 86% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 29% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Ceares (H)
Gijón Industrial0–1
San Martín1–2
Colunga3–4
Langreo2–1
Navarro3–0
Praviano3–2Covadonga (A)San Martín2–4Colunga2–1Langreo2–2
Caudal1–2
Mosconia0–0
Llanes4–1Head to Head · 8 matches
CearesCovadongaCearesCovadongaCovadongaCearesCovadongaCeares| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sporting Gijón II | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +9 | 17 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 16 |
| 3 |  Condal | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 4 | Mosconia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |  Siero | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 | Caudal | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 | Praviano | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 11 |
| 8 | Gijón Industrial | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Lealtad | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | Colunga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | San Martín | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 |  Avilés Stadium | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 13 | Langreo | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 14 |  L'Entregu | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | Ceares | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Astur | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Llanes | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 |  Andes | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 2 |
Team Insights
Ceares- ●Ceares have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Ceares failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Ceares have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Ceares have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●67% of Ceares's goals have been scored at home.
Covadonga- ●Covadonga have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Covadonga have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Covadonga have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Covadonga have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Covadonga have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●70% of Covadonga's goals have been scored at home.
- ●87% of Covadonga's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Covadonga's points have been earned at home.
- ●Covadonga have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
CearesGijón Industrial0–1Mosconia2–2San Martín1–2Siero0–2Colunga3–4Caudal1–2Condal25/10Andes01/11Astur08/11CovadongaMosconia4–0San Martín2–4Siero2–1Colunga2–1Caudal4–0Langreo2–2Gijón Industrial25/10Condal01/11Andes08/11Top Scorers
CearesCovadongaCards Given
CearesCovadonga